state house districtNew Hampshire State House District Strafford 15
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004D+30.7
2008D+37.2
2012D+33.1
2016D+33.8
2020D+41.4
2024D+30.8
net swing · 2004→2024D+0.1D+30.7 → D+30.8
vs. U.S. · 2024D+32.3D+30.8 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 65.2% of 4,964 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
2,098
1,101
38
3,237
4,964
65.2%
2020
2,165
883
52
3,100
4,775†
64.9%
2016
1,779
836
178
2,793
4,534†
61.6%
2012
1,809
897
52
2,758
4,427†
62.3%
2008
1,724
787
11
2,522
4,322†
58.4%
2004
1,625
858
14
2,497
4,216†
59.2%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupNH HD 15New HampshireUnited States
English21.8%18.3%9.5%
Irish21.7%20.6%9.4%
French10.7%10.5%1.6%
German9.7%8.6%12.5%
Italian8.5%9.8%4.8%
French Canadian6.3%7.2%—
Scottish4.0%2.1%1.3%
American4.0%4.2%5.3%
Asian Indian0.9%0.7%1.4%
Indonesian0.9%——
Chinese0.7%0.4%1.3%
Filipino0.7%0.3%0.9%
Korean0.5%0.2%0.4%
Vietnamese0.3%0.2%0.6%
Nepalese0.3%——
Puerto Rican0.9%1.4%1.8%
Mexican0.8%0.8%11.3%
Dominican0.3%0.8%0.7%
Spanish0.3%0.2%—
Spaniard0.2%——
African American†0.7%0.5%9.9%
Jamaican0.4%—0.4%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
NH HD 15
New Hampshire
United States
Median age
31.6
43.5
39.1
Age 18–24
14.4%
8.7%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
17.1%
20.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
NH HD 15
New Hampshire
United States
Median household income
$84,917
$99,031
$84,427
Poverty rate
7.0%
7.3%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
39.3%
40.7%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
NH HD 15
New Hampshire
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
5.3%
8.0%
22.3%
Spanish
1.4%
2.6%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
NH HD 15
New Hampshire
United States
Catholic
—
16.0%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
4.8%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
72.8%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
New Hampshire State House District Strafford 15
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+30.7%
2008
+37.2%
2012
+33.1%
2016
+33.8%
2020
+41.4%
2024
+30.8%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
64.8%Harris2,098
34.0%Trump1,101
1.2%
D+30.8
R+10.6
D+32.3
3,237
D
69.8%Biden2,165
28.5%Trump883
1.7%
D+41.4
D+7.6
D+36.9
3,100
D
63.7%Clinton1,779
29.9%Trump836
6.4%
D+33.8
D+0.7
D+31.7
2,793
D
65.6%Obama1,809
32.5%Romney897
1.9%
D+33.1
R+4.1
D+29.2
2,758
D
68.4%Obama1,724
31.2%McCain787
0.4%
D+37.2
D+6.4
D+29.9
2,522
D
65.1%Kerry1,625
34.4%Bush858
0.6%
D+30.7
—
D+33.2
2,497
current representation
Current officeholders
DAlice WadeState House · Strafford 15
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Strafford 15 posted a D+30.8 margin in the 2024 presidential race, placing it well outside the competitive range in a state otherwise known for razor-thin statewide contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 41.4 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 10.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.8 points.
A population of 5,422, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,917 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District Strafford 14 and State House District 132.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New Hampshire State House District Strafford 15. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/33815/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did New Hampshire State House District Strafford 15 vote in 2024?
In 2024, New Hampshire State House District Strafford 15 voted Democratic by 30.8 points (D+30.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 3,237 votes cast, 2,098 went Democratic and 1,101 went Republican.
How many people live in New Hampshire State House District Strafford 15?
New Hampshire State House District Strafford 15 has a population of 5,422 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New Hampshire State House District Strafford 15?
Median household income in New Hampshire State House District Strafford 15 is $84,917 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Hampshire state median is $99,031.
What is the political history of New Hampshire State House District Strafford 15?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in New Hampshire State House District Strafford 15 from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
