HarrisDemocratic64.2%2,098TrumpRepublican33.7%1,101OtherAll other candidates2.1%69
D+30.5- Lead
- 997
- Total
- 3,268
- vs nation
- D+32.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
New Hampshire State House District Strafford 15
Contests in this Place (47 available)
President38 · 1876–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic69.8%2,165TrumpRepublican28.5%883OtherAll other candidates1.8%55
D+41.3- Lead
- 1,282
- Total
- 3,103
- vs nation
- D+36.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic63.7%1,779TrumpRepublican29.9%836OtherAll other candidates6.4%178
D+33.8- Lead
- 943
- Total
- 2,793
- vs nation
- D+31.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic67.3%1,806RomneyRepublican30.9%828OtherAll other candidates1.8%49
D+36.5- Lead
- 978
- Total
- 2,683
- vs nation
- D+32.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic70.2%1,903McCainRepublican28.6%776OtherAll other candidates1.2%32
D+41.6- Lead
- 1,127
- Total
- 2,711
- vs nation
- D+34.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic65.1%1,625BushRepublican34.4%858OtherAll other candidates0.6%14
D+30.7- Lead
- 767
- Total
- 2,497
- vs nation
- D+33.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic61.4%1,252BushRepublican34.5%703OtherAll other candidates4.1%83
D+26.9- Lead
- 549
- Total
- 2,038
- vs nation
- D+26.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic65.2%1,158DoleRepublican26.9%478OtherAll other candidates7.8%139
D+38.3- Lead
- 680
- Total
- 1,775
- vs nation
- D+29.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+30.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 5,4222024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,259 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2.4 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $84,9172024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+52.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+23.2 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District Strafford 14, NH · twin score 96.4
presidential history
Party record book
New Hampshire State House District Strafford 15 · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
76.2%
875 votes · D+52.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 70.2%
Republican
William McKinley1896
59.5%
185 votes · R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 51.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
2,165votes
69.8% of the vote · D+41.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 2,098 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,101votes
33.7% of the vote · D+30.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 883 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
+36.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+41.3 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +34.3 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+17.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+23.2 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · −2.5 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DAlice WadeState House · Strafford 15
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Strafford 15 posted a D+30.5 margin in the 2024 presidential race, placing it well outside the competitive range in a state otherwise known for razor-thin statewide contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 52.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 23.2 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 10.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.5 points.
A population of 5,422, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,917 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District Strafford 14 and State House District 132.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District Strafford 14
New Hampshire
96.4twin score
2020–2024 trajectorypopulation scale% unaffiliated≠ elasticity
State House District 132
Maine
95.0twin score
elasticity2008–2024 trajectory
State House District Cheshire 03
New Hampshire
94.8twin score
2008–2020 trajectoryelasticitypopulation scale≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New Hampshire State House District Strafford 15. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/33815/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
New Hampshire at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did New Hampshire State House District Strafford 15 vote in 2024?
In 2024, New Hampshire State House District Strafford 15 voted Democratic by 30.5 points (D+30.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 3,268 votes cast, 2,098 went Democratic and 1,101 went Republican.
When did New Hampshire State House District Strafford 15 last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which New Hampshire State House District Strafford 15 voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in New Hampshire State House District Strafford 15?
New Hampshire State House District Strafford 15 has a population of 5,422 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New Hampshire State House District Strafford 15?
Median household income in New Hampshire State House District Strafford 15 is $84,917 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Hampshire state median is $99,031.
What is the political history of New Hampshire State House District Strafford 15?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in New Hampshire State House District Strafford 15 from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 33 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.