state house districtNorth Carolina 16th State House District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+26.3
2008R+21.3
2012R+26.9
2016R+35.2
2020R+34.6
2024R+39.2
net swing · 2004→2024R+12.9R+26.3 → R+39.2
vs. U.S. · 2024R+37.8R+39.2 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 76.4% of 70,045 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
15,971
36,974
599
53,544
70,045
76.4%
2020
14,611
30,474
771
45,856
67,127†
68.3%
2016
10,972
23,587
1,257
35,816
60,938†
58.8%
2012
11,049
19,329
363
30,741
57,066†
53.9%
2008
11,423
17,728
397
29,548
54,084†
54.6%
2004
7,919
13,592
65
21,576
51,103†
42.2%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupNC HD 16North CarolinaUnited States
English15.3%12.7%9.5%
German13.0%9.4%12.5%
Irish12.8%8.4%9.4%
Italian5.9%3.3%4.8%
American5.6%8.3%5.3%
Scottish2.5%2.3%1.3%
Polish2.2%1.0%2.2%
Scotch-Irish1.3%1.4%—
African American†9.7%18.3%9.9%
African0.3%0.7%0.5%
Mexican4.4%5.6%11.3%
Puerto Rican1.3%1.2%1.8%
Dominican0.4%0.3%0.7%
Salvadoran0.2%0.7%0.7%
Spaniard0.2%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
NC HD 16
North Carolina
United States
Median age
39
39.5
39.1
Age 18–24
12.3%
9.5%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
14.8%
17.2%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
NC HD 16
North Carolina
United States
Median household income
$82,967
$72,388
$84,427
Poverty rate
9.1%
13.1%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
28.7%
35.8%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
NC HD 16
North Carolina
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
8.9%
13.5%
22.3%
Spanish
7.0%
8.7%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
NC HD 16
North Carolina
United States
Catholic
—
8.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
26.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
48.0%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
North Carolina 16th State House District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−26.3%
2008
−21.3%
2012
−26.9%
2016
−35.2%
2020
−34.6%
2024
−39.2%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
29.8%Harris15,971
69.1%Trump36,974
1.1%
R+39.2
R+4.6
R+37.8
53,544
R
31.9%Biden14,611
66.5%Trump30,474
1.7%
R+34.6
D+0.6
R+39.0
45,856
R
30.6%Clinton10,972
65.9%Trump23,587
3.5%
R+35.2
R+8.3
R+37.3
35,816
R
35.9%Obama11,049
62.9%Romney19,329
1.2%
R+26.9
R+5.6
R+30.8
30,741
R
38.7%Obama11,423
60.0%McCain17,728
1.3%
R+21.3
D+5.0
R+28.6
29,548
R
36.7%Kerry7,919
63.0%Bush13,592
0.3%
R+26.3
—
R+23.8
21,576
current representation
Current officeholders
RCarson SmithState House · 16
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With a 39-point Republican presidential margin, this western North Carolina district sits well outside the state's competitive zone, reflecting the heavily rural and small-town character common to the region's legislative seats.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 39.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.2 points.
A population of 85,097, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $82,967 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 78 and State House District 66.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
North Carolina 16th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/37016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did North Carolina 16th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, North Carolina 16th State House District voted Republican by 39.2 points (R+39.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 53,544 votes cast, 15,971 went Democratic and 36,974 went Republican.
How many people live in North Carolina 16th State House District?
North Carolina 16th State House District has a population of 85,097 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in North Carolina 16th State House District?
Median household income in North Carolina 16th State House District is $82,967 — above the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of North Carolina 16th State House District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in North Carolina 16th State House District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
