HarrisDemocratic31.4%25,684TrumpRepublican67.3%54,960OliverLibertarian0.5%380
R+35.8- Lead
- 29,276
- Total
- 81,681
- vs nation
- R+34.4
- Turnout
- 54.4%
Akashiccounty
Onslow County, NC
Contests in this Place (90 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 54.4% of 153,538 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic33.6%24,266TrumpRepublican63.8%46,078JorgensenLibertarian2.1%1,506
R+30.2- Lead
- 21,812
- Total
- 72,235
- vs nation
- R+34.7
- Turnout
- 48.9%
ClintonDemocratic30.7%17,514TrumpRepublican65.0%37,122JohnsonLibertarian3.4%1,926
R+34.3- Lead
- 19,608
- Total
- 57,135
- vs nation
- R+36.4
- Turnout
- 42.2%
ObamaDemocratic35.9%18,490RomneyRepublican62.7%32,243OtherAll other candidates1.4%702
R+26.7- Lead
- 13,753
- Total
- 51,435
- vs nation
- R+30.6
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic38.8%19,499McCainRepublican60.3%30,278OtherAll other candidates0.8%426
R+21.5- Lead
- 10,779
- Total
- 50,203
- vs nation
- R+28.7
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic30.2%11,250BushRepublican69.5%25,890OtherAll other candidates0.4%137
R+39.3- Lead
- 14,640
- Total
- 37,277
- vs nation
- R+36.8
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic34.0%10,269BushRepublican65.1%19,657OtherAll other candidates1.0%289
R+31.1- Lead
- 9,388
- Total
- 30,215
- vs nation
- R+31.6
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic36.1%8,685DoleRepublican55.7%13,396PerotReform7.7%1,857
R+19.6- Lead
- 4,711
- Total
- 24,049
- vs nation
- R+28.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+35.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 207,9062024 5-year
- Population density
- 273 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 762 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $68,1482024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 64.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 14.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+84.3 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61.3 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Pulaski County, MO · twin score 86.4
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 54.4%83,501 participants ÷ 153,538 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +18.9 ptsPersistently low turnout
- Drop-off vs state
- -4.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 35.5%–36.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83,501 | 153,538 ± 960 | 54.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 45,376 | 151,362 ± 1,076 | 30.0% | Audited | C/A |
| 72,357 | 148,023 ± 955 | 48.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 37,571 | 144,189 ± 971 | 26.1% | Audited | A/A |
| 57,135 | 135,386 ± 807 | 42.2% | Audited | C/A | |
| 51,435 | 128,158 | 40.1% | Derived | — | |
| 50,203 | 121,977 | 41.2% | Derived | — | |
| 37,277 | 115,796 extrapolated | 32.2% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Onslow County only. The complete district District 1 result is shown below for comparison.
Onslow County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Asa Buck0—
Ashley-Nicole Russell0—
Bobby Hanig0—
Eric Rouse0—
Laurie Buckhout0—
District District 1 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 24 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
24 precincts · 81,681 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -EN03EN03 | 3,579 | 4,089 | 114 | 7,782 | 46.0% | 52.5% | R+6.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -SF18SF18 | 1,176 | 3,849 | 73 | 5,098 | 23.1% | 75.5% | R+52.4 |
| Precinct -BM08BM08 | 2,343 | 2,531 | 74 | 4,948 | 47.4% | 51.2% | R+3.8 |
| Precinct -RL09RL09 | 1,156 | 3,630 | 46 | 4,832 | 23.9% | 75.1% | R+51.2 |
| Precinct -SW19SW19 | 1,239 | 3,262 | 53 | 4,554 | 27.2% | 71.6% | R+44.4 |
| Precinct -BC21BC21 | 1,059 | 3,271 | 68 | 4,398 | 24.1% | 74.4% | R+50.3 |
| Precinct -GB12GB12 | 1,269 | 2,983 | 49 | 4,301 | 29.5% | 69.4% | R+39.9 |
| Precinct -FS16FS16 | 1,038 | 3,201 | 53 | 4,292 | 24.2% | 74.6% | R+50.4 |
| Precinct -NE22BNE22B | 1,583 | 2,560 | 60 | 4,203 | 37.7% | 60.9% | R+23.2 |
| Precinct -WN04WN04 | 1,337 | 2,385 | 50 | 3,772 | 35.4% | 63.2% | R+27.8 |
| Precinct -CR07CR07 | 1,004 | 2,633 | 43 | 3,680 | 27.3% | 71.5% | R+44.3 |
| Precinct -HM05HM05 | 1,322 | 2,080 | 35 | 3,437 | 38.5% | 60.5% | R+22.1 |
| Precinct -NE22ANE22A | 1,508 | 1,769 | 34 | 3,311 | 45.5% | 53.4% | R+7.9 |
| Precinct -JA01JA01 | 1,014 | 2,130 | 46 | 3,190 | 31.8% | 66.8% | R+35.0 |
| Precinct -HR17HR17 | 802 | 2,278 | 37 | 3,117 | 25.7% | 73.1% | R+47.4 |
| Precinct -TL06TL06 | 838 | 2,033 | 28 | 2,899 | 28.9% | 70.1% | R+41.2 |
| Precinct -HU20HU20 | 615 | 2,162 | 36 | 2,813 | 21.9% | 76.9% | R+55.0 |
| Precinct -CL10CL10 | 481 | 1,967 | 29 | 2,477 | 19.4% | 79.4% | R+60.0 |
| Precinct -HN14HN14 | 495 | 1,604 | 28 | 2,127 | 23.3% | 75.4% | R+52.1 |
| Precinct -MT24MT24 | 377 | 1,550 | 18 | 1,945 | 19.4% | 79.7% | R+60.3 |
| Precinct -VR15VR15 | 384 | 1,325 | 28 | 1,737 | 22.1% | 76.3% | R+54.2 |
| Precinct -ML23ML23 | 261 | 681 | 12 | 954 | 27.4% | 71.4% | R+44.0 |
| Precinct -NM13NM13 | 136 | 772 | 2 | 910 | 14.9% | 84.8% | R+69.9 |
| Precinct -NR02NR02 | 668 | 215 | 21 | 904 | 73.9% | 23.8% | D+50.1 |
presidential history
Party record book
Onslow County, NC · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
92.1%
2,758 votes · D+84.3
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 90.9%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
80.0%
10,343 votes · R+61.3
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 70.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
25,684votes
31.4% of the vote · R+35.8
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 24,266 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
54,960votes
67.3% of the vote · R+35.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 46,078 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Harry S. Truman1948
+74.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+79.0 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · +69.6 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
+38.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+61.3 · U.S. R+23.2
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · +36.8 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RMichael LazzaraState Senate · 6
RWyatt GableState House · 14
RPhil ShepardState House · 15
RCarson SmithState House · 16
Seats representing Onslow County, NC. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 3 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024R+20.7
Presidential vote · 2024R+35.8
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 15 points more Republican than the rolls.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 81,512 | 30,204 | 29,034 | 22,205 | 69 |
| 2012 | 97,913 | 32,676 | 34,530 | 30,323 | 384 |
| 2016 | 106,447 | 29,562 | 38,166 | 37,926 | 793 |
| 2020 | 117,653 | 26,604 | 44,727 | 44,615 | 1,707 |
| 2022 | 118,517 | 24,406 | 45,390 | 47,015 | 1,706 |
| 2024 | 137,629 | 24,239 | 52,745 | 58,234 | 2,411 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+55 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −24,461 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $53,506 in average income, against $63,293 for residents who stayed — 15% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+0.02 on average — 36 points more Democratic-leaning than Onslow County, NC itself (R+35.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- San Diego County, CA455D+16.8
- Pender County, NC325R+34.9
- New Hanover County, NC286D+0.6
- Carteret County, NC245R+43.0
- Craven County, NC236R+20.4
- Wake County, NC190D+25.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- San Diego County, CA392
- Pender County, NC299
- New Hanover County, NC237
- Craven County, NC222
- Carteret County, NC206
- Wake County, NC201
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −5,730 |
| 2012 | −585 |
| 2013 | −3,415 |
| 2014 | −4,668 |
| 2015 | −3,458 |
| 2016 | −4,455 |
| 2017 | −181 |
| 2018 | −328 |
| 2019 | −1,813 |
| 2021 | −3,302 |
| 2022 | +816 |
| 2023 | +1,614 |
| 2024 | +989 |
| 2025 | +55 |
Onslow County's political profile is shaped heavily by its military population: Camp Lejeune and Marine Corps Air Station New River together drive one of the highest active-duty concentrations of any county in the country, contributing to a consistently wide Republican margin.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 84.3 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 61.3 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.8 points.
A population of 207,906, a 64% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,148 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pulaski County and Coryell County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Pulaski County
Missouri
86.4twin score
median ageelasticity2004 margin≠ Irish ancestry
Coryell County
Texas
84.1twin score
elasticitymedian age2000–2004 trajectory≠ Italian ancestry
Camden County
Georgia
82.8twin score
% unaffiliated2000–2004 trajectory12-yr trend≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Onslow County, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/37133/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Onslow County, North Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, Onslow County, North Carolina voted Republican by 35.8 points (R+35.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 81,681 votes cast, 25,684 went Democratic and 54,960 went Republican.
When did Onslow County, North Carolina last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Onslow County, North Carolina voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Onslow County, North Carolina?
Onslow County, North Carolina has a population of 207,906 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Onslow County, North Carolina?
Median household income in Onslow County, North Carolina is $68,148 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of Onslow County, North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Onslow County, North Carolina from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.