state house districtNorth Carolina 45th State House District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+8.0
2008D+13.1
2012D+15.6
2016D+13.4
2020D+17.3
2024D+15.0
net swing · 2004→2024D+23.0R+8.0 → D+15.0
vs. U.S. · 2024D+16.5D+15.0 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 62.8% of 57,197 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
20,395
15,004
511
35,910
57,197
62.8%
2020
21,920
15,359
673
37,952
56,886†
66.7%
2016
17,468
13,190
1,155
31,813
54,579†
58.3%
2012
18,050
13,129
292
31,471
52,800†
59.6%
2008
17,149
13,142
225
30,516
51,206†
59.6%
2004
10,510
12,348
38
22,896
49,613†
46.1%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupNC HD 45North CarolinaUnited States
German7.9%9.4%12.5%
English7.7%12.7%9.5%
Irish7.2%8.4%9.4%
American7.0%8.3%5.3%
Italian2.6%3.3%4.8%
Scottish1.8%2.3%1.3%
Polish1.1%1.0%2.2%
French1.1%—1.6%
African American†34.6%18.3%9.9%
Jamaican1.2%0.2%0.4%
African0.7%0.7%0.5%
Haitian0.4%—0.3%
Nigerian0.2%0.2%0.2%
Puerto Rican4.3%1.2%1.8%
Mexican4.1%5.6%11.3%
Panamanian0.6%——
Dominican0.5%0.3%0.7%
Cuban0.4%0.3%0.7%
Colombian0.4%0.3%0.4%
Honduran0.3%0.7%0.3%
Salvadoran0.3%0.7%0.7%
Filipino0.9%0.2%0.9%
Korean0.6%0.2%0.4%
Asian Indian0.5%1.2%1.4%
Chinese0.3%0.4%1.3%
Vietnamese0.3%0.3%0.6%
Lumbee1.7%0.4%—
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
NC HD 45
North Carolina
United States
Median age
33.3
39.5
39.1
Age 18–24
12.6%
9.5%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
13.0%
17.2%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
NC HD 45
North Carolina
United States
Median household income
$65,797
$72,388
$84,427
Poverty rate
15.6%
13.1%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
27.8%
35.8%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
NC HD 45
North Carolina
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
12.5%
13.5%
22.3%
Spanish
7.6%
8.7%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
NC HD 45
North Carolina
United States
Catholic
—
8.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
26.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
48.0%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
North Carolina 45th State House District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−8.0%
2008
+13.1%
2012
+15.6%
2016
+13.4%
2020
+17.3%
2024
+15.0%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
56.8%Harris20,395
41.8%Trump15,004
1.4%
D+15.0
R+2.3
D+16.5
35,910
D
57.8%Biden21,920
40.5%Trump15,359
1.8%
D+17.3
D+3.8
D+12.8
37,952
D
54.9%Clinton17,468
41.5%Trump13,190
3.6%
D+13.4
R+2.2
D+11.4
31,813
D
57.4%Obama18,050
41.7%Romney13,129
0.9%
D+15.6
D+2.5
D+11.8
31,471
D
56.2%Obama17,149
43.1%McCain13,142
0.7%
D+13.1
D+21.2
D+5.9
30,516
R
45.9%Kerry10,510
53.9%Bush12,348
0.2%
R+8.0
—
R+5.6
22,896
current representation
Current officeholders
DFrances JacksonState House · 45
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+34.9, this district ranks among the most politically homogeneous in the state, suggesting a rural or small-town electorate where statewide ticket-splitting is historically rare.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 17.3 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 8.0 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 15.0 points.
A population of 83,745, a 38% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,797 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 44 and State House District 137.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
North Carolina 45th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/37045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did North Carolina 45th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, North Carolina 45th State House District voted Democratic by 15.0 points (D+15.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 35,910 votes cast, 20,395 went Democratic and 15,004 went Republican.
When did North Carolina 45th State House District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which North Carolina 45th State House District voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in North Carolina 45th State House District?
North Carolina 45th State House District has a population of 83,745 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in North Carolina 45th State House District?
Median household income in North Carolina 45th State House District is $65,797 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of North Carolina 45th State House District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in North Carolina 45th State House District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 1 went Republican.
