state house districtOregon 45th State House District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004D+49.2
2008D+60.8
2012D+61.3
2016D+64.6
2020D+69.5
2024D+71.2
net swing · 2004→2024D+21.9D+49.2 → D+71.2
vs. U.S. · 2024D+72.7D+71.2 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 71.2% of 54,839 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
32,593
4,808
1,627
39,028
54,839
71.2%
2020
36,207
6,053
1,109
43,369
54,103†
80.2%
2016
29,879
5,085
3,426
38,390
50,660†
75.8%
2012
27,830
6,137
1,410
35,377
47,206†
74.9%
2008
27,753
6,507
681
34,941
44,288†
78.9%
2004
25,783
8,599
513
34,895
41,369†
84.4%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupOR HD 45OregonUnited States
German16.1%16.3%12.5%
English13.9%14.1%9.5%
Irish12.3%11.1%9.4%
Italian4.4%3.5%4.8%
American4.2%4.3%5.3%
Scottish3.3%3.0%1.3%
Norwegian3.1%3.1%—
French2.6%2.1%1.6%
Mexican6.9%11.5%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.4%0.4%1.8%
Cuban0.4%0.2%0.7%
Guatemalan0.3%0.4%0.5%
Salvadoran0.2%0.2%0.7%
Spaniard0.2%0.4%—
Spanish0.2%0.4%—
Vietnamese2.0%0.7%0.6%
Chinese1.9%0.9%1.3%
Filipino0.7%0.5%0.9%
Asian Indian0.5%0.7%1.4%
Japanese0.4%0.3%0.2%
Korean0.3%0.4%0.4%
Hmong0.3%——
Burmese0.2%——
African American†4.7%1.2%9.9%
African0.5%—0.5%
Ethiopian0.5%——
Jamaican0.2%—0.4%
Aztec0.7%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
OR HD 45
Oregon
United States
Median age
42.5
40.6
39.1
Age 18–24
7.7%
8.5%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
14.7%
18.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
OR HD 45
Oregon
United States
Median household income
$97,734
$83,011
$84,427
Poverty rate
10.2%
12.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
48.9%
36.7%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
OR HD 45
Oregon
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
18.8%
15.3%
22.3%
Spanish
8.1%
9.0%
13.6%
Russian, Polish, or other Slavic
1.8%
0.8%
0.7%
Vietnamese
1.9%
0.6%
0.5%
Other Asian & Pacific Island
1.7%
1.1%
1.1%
Religious landscape
Measure
OR HD 45
Oregon
United States
Catholic
—
11.3%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
12.8%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
66.9%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Oregon 45th State House District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+49.2%
2008
+60.8%
2012
+61.3%
2016
+64.6%
2020
+69.5%
2024
+71.2%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
83.5%Harris32,593
12.3%Trump4,808
4.2%
D+71.2
D+1.7
D+72.7
39,028
D
83.5%Biden36,207
14.0%Trump6,053
2.6%
D+69.5
D+4.9
D+65.1
43,369
D
77.8%Clinton29,879
13.2%Trump5,085
8.9%
D+64.6
D+3.3
D+62.5
38,390
D
78.7%Obama27,830
17.3%Romney6,137
4.0%
D+61.3
D+0.5
D+57.5
35,377
D
79.4%Obama27,753
18.6%McCain6,507
1.9%
D+60.8
D+11.6
D+53.5
34,941
D
73.9%Kerry25,783
24.6%Bush8,599
1.5%
D+49.2
—
D+51.7
34,895
current representation
Current officeholders
DThuy TranState House · 45
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+44.1, this rural district ranks among the most heavily Republican in the state, reflecting the deep conservative alignment common to Oregon's interior counties far from the Willamette Valley.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 71.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.7 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 71.2 points.
A population of 69,962, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $97,734 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 28 and State House District 41.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Oregon 45th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/41045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Oregon 45th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Oregon 45th State House District voted Democratic by 71.2 points (D+71.2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 39,028 votes cast, 32,593 went Democratic and 4,808 went Republican.
How many people live in Oregon 45th State House District?
Oregon 45th State House District has a population of 69,962 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Oregon 45th State House District?
Median household income in Oregon 45th State House District is $97,734 — above the national median of $80,734. The Oregon state median is $83,011.
What is the political history of Oregon 45th State House District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Oregon 45th State House District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
