state house districtOregon 51st State House District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+14.6
2008R+2.8
2012R+10.0
2016R+16.3
2020R+15.4
2024R+18.7
net swing · 2004→2024R+4.2R+14.6 → R+18.7
vs. U.S. · 2024R+17.3R+18.7 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 79.9% of 54,489 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
16,909
25,066
1,549
43,524
54,489
79.9%
2020
17,678
24,389
1,458
43,525
52,854†
82.3%
2016
12,801
18,525
3,766
35,092
49,699†
70.6%
2012
13,561
16,661
861
31,083
46,450†
66.9%
2008
14,926
15,816
734
31,476
45,820†
68.7%
2004
13,732
18,463
233
32,428
45,189†
71.8%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupOR HD 51OregonUnited States
German20.4%16.3%12.5%
English16.1%14.1%9.5%
Irish12.7%11.1%9.4%
American4.8%4.3%5.3%
Italian3.9%3.5%4.8%
Norwegian3.8%3.1%—
Scottish3.6%3.0%1.3%
French2.8%2.1%1.6%
Mexican8.0%11.5%11.3%
Spaniard0.4%0.4%—
Spanish0.4%0.4%—
Puerto Rican0.3%0.4%1.8%
Cuban0.2%0.2%0.7%
Salvadoran0.2%0.2%0.7%
Colombian0.2%—0.4%
Peruvian0.2%——
Chinese0.4%0.9%1.3%
Filipino0.2%0.5%0.9%
Vietnamese0.2%0.7%0.6%
Korean0.2%0.4%0.4%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
OR HD 51
Oregon
United States
Median age
43
40.6
39.1
Age 18–24
7.1%
8.5%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
20.0%
18.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
OR HD 51
Oregon
United States
Median household income
$103,481
$83,011
$84,427
Poverty rate
8.7%
12.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
40.5%
36.7%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
OR HD 51
Oregon
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
12.3%
15.3%
22.3%
Spanish
5.5%
9.0%
13.6%
Russian, Polish, or other Slavic
1.5%
0.8%
0.7%
Other Indo-European
1.2%
1.0%
2.0%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)
1.0%
0.7%
1.1%
Religious landscape
Measure
OR HD 51
Oregon
United States
Catholic
—
11.3%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
12.8%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
66.9%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Oregon 51st State House District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−14.6%
2008
−2.8%
2012
−10.0%
2016
−16.3%
2020
−15.4%
2024
−18.7%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
38.8%Harris16,909
57.6%Trump25,066
3.6%
R+18.7
R+3.3
R+17.3
43,524
R
40.6%Biden17,678
56.0%Trump24,389
3.3%
R+15.4
D+0.9
R+19.9
43,525
R
36.5%Clinton12,801
52.8%Trump18,525
10.7%
R+16.3
R+6.3
R+18.4
35,092
R
43.6%Obama13,561
53.6%Romney16,661
2.8%
R+10.0
R+7.1
R+13.8
31,083
R
47.4%Obama14,926
50.2%McCain15,816
2.3%
R+2.8
D+11.8
R+10.1
31,476
R
42.3%Kerry13,732
56.9%Bush18,463
0.7%
R+14.6
—
R+12.1
32,428
current representation
Current officeholders
RMatt BunchState House · 51
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+61.6, this Portland-area district ranks among the most Democratic in the state, reflecting dense urban demographics and consistently high left-leaning turnout across election cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 18.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.7 points.
A population of 71,223, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $103,481 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 31 and State House District 18.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Oregon 51st State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/41051/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Oregon 51st State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Oregon 51st State House District voted Republican by 18.7 points (R+18.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 43,524 votes cast, 16,909 went Democratic and 25,066 went Republican.
How many people live in Oregon 51st State House District?
Oregon 51st State House District has a population of 71,223 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Oregon 51st State House District?
Median household income in Oregon 51st State House District is $103,481 — above the national median of $80,734. The Oregon state median is $83,011.
What is the political history of Oregon 51st State House District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Oregon 51st State House District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
