HarrisDemocratic23.6%8,249TrumpRepublican75.4%26,345OtherAll other candidates1.0%340
R+51.8- Lead
- 18,096
- Total
- 34,934
- vs nation
- R+50.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Pennsylvania 86th State House District
Contests in this Place (46 available)
President38 · 1876–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic23.0%7,791TrumpRepublican75.4%25,518OtherAll other candidates1.5%518
R+52.4- Lead
- 17,727
- Total
- 33,827
- vs nation
- R+56.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic20.9%6,145TrumpRepublican74.1%21,807OtherAll other candidates5.0%1,458
R+53.3- Lead
- 15,662
- Total
- 29,410
- vs nation
- R+55.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic29.3%7,784RomneyRepublican68.6%18,252OtherAll other candidates2.1%553
R+39.4- Lead
- 10,468
- Total
- 26,589
- vs nation
- R+43.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic32.6%8,969McCainRepublican65.1%17,911OtherAll other candidates2.2%618
R+32.5- Lead
- 8,942
- Total
- 27,498
- vs nation
- R+39.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic28.5%7,740BushRepublican71.0%19,272OtherAll other candidates0.4%121
R+42.5- Lead
- 11,532
- Total
- 27,133
- vs nation
- R+40.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic29.2%6,660BushRepublican68.1%15,523OtherAll other candidates2.7%609
R+38.9- Lead
- 8,863
- Total
- 22,792
- vs nation
- R+39.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic33.8%7,027DoleRepublican54.1%11,254OtherAll other candidates12.1%2,519
R+20.3- Lead
- 4,227
- Total
- 20,800
- vs nation
- R+28.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+51.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 63,9562024 5-year
- Population density
- 72 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 883 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $74,9042024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+21.0 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58.1 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 81, PA · twin score 98.4
presidential history
Party record book
Pennsylvania 86th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
55.1%
9,494 votes · D+10.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Samuel J. Tilden, 1876 · 53.6%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
78.7%
9,761 votes · R+58.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 75.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
9,494votes
55.1% of the vote · D+10.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 8,969 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
26,345votes
75.4% of the vote · R+51.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 25,518 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+6.1pts D vs U.S.
Place R+19.0 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +5.6 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+56.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+52.4 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +55.3 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RPerry StambaughState House · 86
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+51.8, this rural Pennsylvania district ranks among the state's most politically homogeneous, leaving general-election competition effectively absent at the legislative level.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 58.1 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.6 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 51.8 points.
A population of 63,956, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,904 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 81 and State House District 90.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 81
Pennsylvania
98.4twin score
2008–2024 trajectory
State House District 90
Pennsylvania
97.9twin score
2008–2024 trajectory
State House District 78
Pennsylvania
96.4twin score
2008–2024 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Pennsylvania 86th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/42086/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Pennsylvania at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Pennsylvania 86th State House District
counties it covers2
Frequently asked questions
How did Pennsylvania 86th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Pennsylvania 86th State House District voted Republican by 51.8 points (R+51.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 34,934 votes cast, 8,249 went Democratic and 26,345 went Republican.
When did Pennsylvania 86th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Pennsylvania 86th State House District voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Pennsylvania 86th State House District?
Pennsylvania 86th State House District has a population of 63,956 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Pennsylvania 86th State House District?
Median household income in Pennsylvania 86th State House District is $74,904 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Pennsylvania 86th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Pennsylvania 86th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 31 went Republican.