state house districtVirginia 16th State House District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004D+15.6
2008D+29.1
2012D+29.1
2016D+41.9
2020D+48.0
2024D+38.7
net swing · 2004→2024D+23.1D+15.6 → D+38.7
vs. U.S. · 2024D+40.2D+38.7 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 73.5% of 54,815 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
27,354
11,764
1,149
40,267
54,815
73.5%
2020
30,433
10,411
897
41,741
53,256†
78.4%
2016
24,365
9,244
2,442
36,051
51,130†
70.5%
2012
22,945
12,498
492
35,935
48,473†
74.1%
2008
22,986
12,552
295
35,833
45,123†
79.4%
2004
18,197
13,235
278
31,710
41,774†
75.9%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupVA HD 16VirginiaUnited States
English10.4%12.0%9.5%
German10.3%10.1%12.5%
Irish9.6%9.1%9.4%
Italian4.6%3.9%4.8%
American3.3%8.4%5.3%
Polish2.3%1.6%2.2%
Scottish1.9%1.9%1.3%
French1.6%1.3%1.6%
Salvadoran5.7%2.1%0.7%
Mexican3.0%2.4%11.3%
Bolivian2.6%0.4%—
Guatemalan2.4%0.7%0.5%
Honduran2.3%0.7%0.3%
Peruvian2.1%0.5%—
Puerto Rican1.8%1.4%1.8%
Colombian0.9%0.3%0.4%
African American†10.1%15.6%9.9%
Ethiopian3.0%0.5%—
African1.1%0.9%0.5%
Ghanaian0.7%0.2%—
Nigerian0.4%0.2%0.2%
Somali0.4%——
Sudanese0.4%——
Jamaican0.4%0.3%0.4%
Asian Indian1.6%1.8%1.4%
Korean1.3%0.8%0.4%
Chinese1.0%0.8%1.3%
Vietnamese1.0%0.7%0.6%
Filipino0.5%0.9%0.9%
Pakistani0.5%0.5%—
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
VA HD 16
Virginia
United States
Median age
38.9
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
8.3%
9.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
15.1%
16.7%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
VA HD 16
Virginia
United States
Median household income
$124,336
$93,170
$84,427
Poverty rate
6.8%
10.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
65.0%
42.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
VA HD 16
Virginia
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
39.0%
17.5%
22.3%
Spanish
13.6%
7.9%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
6.8%
2.6%
2.0%
Korean
3.1%
0.7%
0.3%
Other Asian & Pacific Island
2.8%
1.2%
1.1%
Religious landscape
Measure
VA HD 16
Virginia
United States
Catholic
—
10.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
19.9%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
54.3%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Virginia 16th State House District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+15.6%
2008
+29.1%
2012
+29.1%
2016
+41.9%
2020
+48.0%
2024
+38.7%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
67.9%Harris27,354
29.2%Trump11,764
2.9%
D+38.7
R+9.3
D+40.2
40,267
D
72.9%Biden30,433
24.9%Trump10,411
2.1%
D+48.0
D+6.0
D+43.5
41,741
D
67.6%Clinton24,365
25.6%Trump9,244
6.8%
D+41.9
D+12.9
D+39.9
36,051
D
63.9%Obama22,945
34.8%Romney12,498
1.4%
D+29.1
±0.0
D+25.2
35,935
D
64.1%Obama22,986
35.0%McCain12,552
0.8%
D+29.1
D+13.5
D+21.8
35,833
D
57.4%Kerry18,197
41.7%Bush13,235
0.9%
D+15.6
—
D+18.1
31,710
current representation
Current officeholders
DPaul KrizekState House · 16
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+38.7, this district ranks among the most reliably Democratic in the state, reflecting a dense, urban electorate that has shifted further left over successive election cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 48.0 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 9.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 38.7 points.
A population of 86,589, a 44% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $124,336 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 3 and State Legislative District 18.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Virginia 16th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Virginia 16th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Virginia 16th State House District voted Democratic by 38.7 points (D+38.7), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 40,267 votes cast, 27,354 went Democratic and 11,764 went Republican.
How many people live in Virginia 16th State House District?
Virginia 16th State House District has a population of 86,589 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Virginia 16th State House District?
Median household income in Virginia 16th State House District is $124,336 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Virginia 16th State House District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Virginia 16th State House District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
