HarrisDemocratic30.3%15,925TrumpRepublican68.9%36,273OtherAll other candidates0.8%442
R+38.7- Lead
- 20,348
- Total
- 52,640
- vs nation
- R+37.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Virginia 53rd State House District
Contests in this Place (45 available)
President38 · 1876–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic31.3%15,937TrumpRepublican66.9%34,130OtherAll other candidates1.8%921
R+35.7- Lead
- 18,193
- Total
- 50,988
- vs nation
- R+40.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic29.5%13,353TrumpRepublican65.5%29,644OtherAll other candidates4.9%2,232
R+36.0- Lead
- 16,291
- Total
- 45,229
- vs nation
- R+38.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic35.7%15,510RomneyRepublican62.8%27,296OtherAll other candidates1.5%666
R+27.1- Lead
- 11,786
- Total
- 43,472
- vs nation
- R+31.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic38.7%16,341McCainRepublican60.2%25,399OtherAll other candidates1.1%457
R+21.5- Lead
- 9,058
- Total
- 42,197
- vs nation
- R+28.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic36.1%13,299BushRepublican62.9%23,208OtherAll other candidates1.0%369
R+26.9- Lead
- 9,909
- Total
- 36,876
- vs nation
- R+24.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic38.1%12,279BushRepublican58.8%18,955OtherAll other candidates3.0%976
R+20.7- Lead
- 6,676
- Total
- 32,210
- vs nation
- R+21.2
modeled Census-place estimatereview required
ClintonDemocratic42.0%12,005DoleRepublican47.8%13,664OtherAll other candidates10.2%2,923
R+5.8- Lead
- 1,659
- Total
- 28,592
- vs nation
- R+14.3
modeled Census-place estimatereview required
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+38.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 86,1472024 5-year
- Population density
- 73 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,181 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $74,8622024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+73.2 in 1916MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.0 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 39, VA · twin score 97.5
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 53rd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
38.7%
16,341 votes · R+21.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 36.1%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
68.9%
36,273 votes · R+38.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 66.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
16,341votes
38.7% of the vote · R+21.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 15,937 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
36,273votes
68.9% of the vote · R+38.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 34,130 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
−24.4pts D vs U.S.
Place R+26.9 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · −28.7 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+40.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+35.7 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +38.1 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RTim GriffinState House · 53
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Virginia 53rd State House District sits in the Mid-Atlantic and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 73.2 points in 1916 and a Republican high of 48.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 38.7 points.
A population of 86,147, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,862 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 39 and State House District 51.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 39
Virginia
97.5twin score
2008–2024 trajectory
State House District 51
Virginia
97.1twin score
2008–2024 trajectory
State House District 4
Tennessee
95.2twin score
2008–2024 trajectory% Evangelical≠ American ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Virginia 53rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51053/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Virginia at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Virginia 53rd State House District
counties it covers3
Frequently asked questions
How did Virginia 53rd State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Virginia 53rd State House District voted Republican by 38.7 points (R+38.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 52,640 votes cast, 15,925 went Democratic and 36,273 went Republican.
When did Virginia 53rd State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Virginia 53rd State House District voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Virginia 53rd State House District?
Virginia 53rd State House District has a population of 86,147 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Virginia 53rd State House District?
Median household income in Virginia 53rd State House District is $74,862 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Virginia 53rd State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Virginia 53rd State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.