Nelson County, Virginia
Precinct data
Results by precinct
18 precincts · 9,430 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -502 - NELLYSFORD502 - NELLYSFORD | 1,079 | 696 | 32 | 1,807 | 59.7% | 38.5% | D+21.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -101 - ROCKFISH101 - ROCKFISH | 876 | 888 | 33 | 1,797 | 48.7% | 49.4% | R+0.7 |
| Precinct -401 - ROSELAND401 - ROSELAND | 567 | 958 | 13 | 1,538 | 36.9% | 62.3% | R+25.4 |
| Precinct -301 - SHIPMAN301 - SHIPMAN | 595 | 828 | 12 | 1,435 | 41.5% | 57.7% | R+16.2 |
| Precinct -201 - LOVINGSTON201 - LOVINGSTON | 428 | 618 | 18 | 1,064 | 40.2% | 58.1% | R+17.9 |
| Precinct -202 - SCHUYLER202 - SCHUYLER | 268 | 441 | 9 | 718 | 37.3% | 61.4% | R+24.1 |
| Precinct -501 - FABER501 - FABER | 359 | 318 | 9 | 686 | 52.3% | 46.4% | D+6.0 |
| Precinct -302 - GLADSTONE302 - GLADSTONE | 75 | 170 | 1 | 246 | 30.5% | 69.1% | R+38.6 |
| Precinct -402 - MONTEBELLO402 - MONTEBELLO | 51 | 87 | 1 | 139 | 36.7% | 62.6% | R+25.9 |
| Faber51125000501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Gladstone51125000302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Lovingston51125000201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Montebello51125000402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Nellysford51125000502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Rockfish51125000101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Roseland51125000401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Schuyler51125000202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Shipman51125000301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +15.2% |
| 1896 | +11.4% |
| 1900 | +13.6% |
| 1904 | +51.3% |
| 1908 | +41.1% |
| 1912 | +55.9% |
| 1916 | +62.0% |
| 1920 | +42.5% |
| 1924 | +48.4% |
| 1928 | +32.6% |
| 1932 | +71.6% |
| 1936 | +52.9% |
| 1940 | +59.1% |
| 1944 | +52.9% |
| 1948 | +47.8% |
| 1952 | +24.5% |
| 1956 | +22.0% |
| 1960 | +31.1% |
| 1964 | −8.6% |
| 1968 | −0.3% |
| 1972 | −39.7% |
| 1976 | +22.6% |
| 1980 | +12.1% |
| 1984 | −15.6% |
| 1988 | −4.7% |
| 1992 | +7.7% |
| 1996 | +15.1% |
| 2000 | −0.1% |
| 2004 | +0.1% |
| 2008 | +9.1% |
| 2012 | +2.7% |
| 2016 | −5.6% |
| 2020 | −5.2% |
| 2024 | −7.5% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 11,236 |
| 2018 | 11,125 |
| 2020 | 11,646 |
| 2022 | 11,879 |
| 2024 | 12,107 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+121 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +645 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $88,028 in average income, against $82,290 for residents who stayed — 7% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+25.4 on average — 33 points more Democratic-leaning than Nelson County, VA itself (R+7.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Albemarle County, VA60D+33.9
- Charlottesville city, VA30D+68.3
- Amherst County, VA29R+36.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Albemarle County, VA63
- Amherst County, VA34
- Waynesboro city, VA20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +81 |
| 2012 | −190 |
| 2013 | +48 |
| 2014 | +76 |
| 2015 | −23 |
| 2016 | +122 |
| 2017 | +55 |
| 2018 | +69 |
| 2019 | +82 |
| 2021 | +151 |
| 2022 | −70 |
| 2023 | −24 |
| 2024 | +147 |
| 2025 | +121 |
Nelson County's small, rural population clusters along the Rockfish Valley corridor, and its modest R+7.5 presidential margin in 2024 reflects a gradual rightward drift from the competitive results it posted a decade ago.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 71.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 39.7 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 7.5 points.
A population of 14,732, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,589 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of San Juan County and Jefferson County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Nelson County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51125/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.