HarrisDemocratic33.9%11,691TrumpRepublican64.4%22,192OtherAll other candidates1.7%597
R+30.5- Lead
- 10,501
- Total
- 34,480
- vs nation
- R+29.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Wisconsin 38th State House District
Contests in this Place (46 available)
President38 · 1876–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic34.7%11,568TrumpRepublican63.4%21,110OtherAll other candidates1.9%623
R+28.7- Lead
- 9,542
- Total
- 33,301
- vs nation
- R+33.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic32.4%9,544TrumpRepublican61.0%17,988OtherAll other candidates6.6%1,944
R+28.6- Lead
- 8,444
- Total
- 29,476
- vs nation
- R+30.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic40.4%12,167RomneyRepublican58.2%17,517OtherAll other candidates1.4%408
R+17.8- Lead
- 5,350
- Total
- 30,092
- vs nation
- R+21.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic43.8%12,692McCainRepublican54.7%15,844OtherAll other candidates1.5%420
R+10.9- Lead
- 3,152
- Total
- 28,956
- vs nation
- R+18.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic36.7%10,766BushRepublican62.3%18,299OtherAll other candidates1.0%300
R+25.7- Lead
- 7,533
- Total
- 29,365
- vs nation
- R+23.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic37.1%9,273BushRepublican58.8%14,700OtherAll other candidates4.1%1,012
R+21.7- Lead
- 5,427
- Total
- 24,985
- vs nation
- R+22.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic40.6%8,045DoleRepublican46.3%9,182OtherAll other candidates13.1%2,598
R+5.7- Lead
- 1,137
- Total
- 19,825
- vs nation
- R+14.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+30.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 59,2472024 5-year
- Population density
- 133 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 445 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $76,5652024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+39.6 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+67.4 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 37, WI · twin score 95.5
presidential history
Party record book
Wisconsin 38th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
69.3%
8,365 votes · D+39.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Grover Cleveland, 1892 · 62.6%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
81.9%
7,253 votes · R+67.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 73.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
12,692votes
43.8% of the vote · R+10.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 12,167 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
22,192votes
64.4% of the vote · R+30.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 21,110 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Grover Cleveland1892
+26.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+28.0 · U.S. D+1.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +21.8 pts
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
+41.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+67.4 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · +39.0 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RWill PentermanState House · 38
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Assembly District 38 has tilted Republican by double digits in recent presidential cycles, reflecting the rural and small-town demographics typical of this part of Wisconsin's legislative landscape.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 39.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 67.4 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.5 points.
A population of 59,247, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,565 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 37 and Assembly District 39.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Assembly District 37
Wisconsin
95.5twin score
2016–2024 trajectoryGerman ancestry
Assembly District 39
Wisconsin
94.6twin score
2016–2024 trajectoryGerman ancestry
Assembly District 3
Wisconsin
90.7twin score
German ancestry2016–2024 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Wisconsin 38th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/55038/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Wisconsin at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Wisconsin 38th State House District
counties it covers2
Frequently asked questions
How did Wisconsin 38th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Wisconsin 38th State House District voted Republican by 30.5 points (R+30.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 34,480 votes cast, 11,691 went Democratic and 22,192 went Republican.
When did Wisconsin 38th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Wisconsin 38th State House District voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Wisconsin 38th State House District?
Wisconsin 38th State House District has a population of 59,247 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Wisconsin 38th State House District?
Median household income in Wisconsin 38th State House District is $76,565 — below the national median of $80,734. The Wisconsin state median is $77,485.
What is the political history of Wisconsin 38th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Wisconsin 38th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 26 went Republican.