HarrisDemocratic34.0%13,276TrumpRepublican63.7%24,860OtherAll other candidates2.3%915
R+29.7- Lead
- 11,584
- Total
- 39,051
- vs nation
- R+28.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate senate district
Arkansas 16th State Senate District
Contests in this Place (44 available)
President38 · 1876–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic32.9%12,883TrumpRepublican64.7%25,292OtherAll other candidates2.4%944
R+31.7- Lead
- 12,409
- Total
- 39,119
- vs nation
- R+36.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic29.7%10,255TrumpRepublican67.0%23,155OtherAll other candidates3.3%1,124
R+37.4- Lead
- 12,900
- Total
- 34,534
- vs nation
- R+39.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic30.6%9,956RomneyRepublican66.4%21,629OtherAll other candidates3.0%967
R+35.9- Lead
- 11,673
- Total
- 32,552
- vs nation
- R+39.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic31.6%9,844McCainRepublican65.8%20,478OtherAll other candidates2.6%801
R+34.2- Lead
- 10,634
- Total
- 31,123
- vs nation
- R+41.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic38.9%10,844BushRepublican60.1%16,744OtherAll other candidates1.0%289
R+21.2- Lead
- 5,900
- Total
- 27,877
- vs nation
- R+18.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic41.5%9,603BushRepublican54.8%12,683OtherAll other candidates3.7%868
R+13.3- Lead
- 3,080
- Total
- 23,154
- vs nation
- R+13.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic50.4%10,642DoleRepublican39.0%8,240OtherAll other candidates10.6%2,231
D+11.4- Lead
- 2,402
- Total
- 21,113
- vs nation
- D+2.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+29.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 88,0362024 5-year
- Population density
- 564 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 156 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $79,0702024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 74.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+83.3 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+37.4 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 24, OK · twin score 94.3
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 16th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
90.9%
1,593 votes · D+83.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 85.8%
Republican
Donald Trump2016
67.0%
23,155 votes · R+37.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 66.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
13,276votes
34.0% of the vote · R+29.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 12,883 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
25,292votes
64.7% of the vote · R+31.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 24,860 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+75.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+50.1 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · +72.3 pts
Republican
John McCain2008
+41.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+34.2 · U.S. D+7.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +39.7 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RKim HammerState Senate · 16
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 31.4%12,084 | 68.6%26,365 | 38,449 |
| 2020 | R | 31.0%12,111 | 69.0%27,006 | 39,117 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+29.7 across a population of roughly 88,000, this district reflects the strong Republican lean that has defined much of rural Arkansas over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 83.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 37.4 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.1 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 29.7 points.
A population of 88,036, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,070 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 24 and State Senate District 18.
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State Senate District 24
Oklahoma
94.3twin score
elasticity2008–2016 trajectory
State Senate District 18
Oklahoma
93.7twin score
elasticity2008–2020 trajectory
State Senate District 25
Oklahoma
92.8twin score
elasticity2008–2016 trajectory≠ % unaffiliated
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Arkansas 16th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/05016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Arkansas at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Arkansas 16th State Senate District
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did Arkansas 16th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Arkansas 16th State Senate District voted Republican by 29.7 points (R+29.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 39,051 votes cast, 13,276 went Democratic and 24,860 went Republican.
When did Arkansas 16th State Senate District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Arkansas 16th State Senate District voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Arkansas 16th State Senate District?
Arkansas 16th State Senate District has a population of 88,036 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arkansas 16th State Senate District?
Median household income in Arkansas 16th State Senate District is $79,070 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Arkansas 16th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Arkansas 16th State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 27 went Democratic and 10 went Republican.