state senate districtKentucky 15th State Senate District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+49.9
2008R+52.7
2012R+59.4
2016R+67.1
2020R+64.9
2024R+67.7
net swing · 2004→2024R+17.7R+49.9 → R+67.7
vs. U.S. · 2024R+66.2R+67.7 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 62.8% of 91,809 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
9,027
48,074
582
57,683
91,809
62.8%
2020
9,806
47,440
727
57,973
92,156†
62.9%
2016
7,738
42,446
1,541
51,725
91,226†
56.7%
2012
9,482
38,078
605
48,165
90,624†
53.1%
2008
10,820
35,940
944
47,704
87,106†
54.8%
2004
12,020
36,305
300
48,625
83,589†
58.2%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupKY SD 15KentuckyUnited States
English16.2%14.5%9.5%
American14.0%11.5%5.3%
German9.9%12.7%12.5%
Irish9.5%11.0%9.4%
Scottish1.9%2.0%1.3%
Scotch-Irish1.1%0.8%—
Italian1.0%2.0%4.8%
French0.8%1.1%1.6%
Mexican1.6%2.4%11.3%
Guatemalan0.5%0.3%0.5%
Cuban0.4%0.7%0.7%
Puerto Rican0.3%0.5%1.8%
Dominican0.2%—0.7%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
KY SD 15
Kentucky
United States
Median age
42.7
39.2
39.1
Age 18–24
7.2%
9.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
20.3%
17.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
KY SD 15
Kentucky
United States
Median household income
$49,207
$63,726
$84,427
Poverty rate
21.2%
16.1%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
17.0%
27.7%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
KY SD 15
Kentucky
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
3.0%
6.8%
22.3%
Spanish
2.0%
3.4%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
KY SD 15
Kentucky
United States
Catholic
—
7.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
31.3%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
50.7%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Kentucky 15th State Senate District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−49.9%
2008
−52.7%
2012
−59.4%
2016
−67.1%
2020
−64.9%
2024
−67.7%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004, 2020 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for these cycles was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
15.6%Harris9,027
83.3%Trump48,074
1.0%
R+67.7
R+2.8
R+66.2
57,683
R
16.9%Biden9,806
81.8%Trump47,440
1.3%
R+64.9
D+2.2
R+69.4
57,973
R
15.0%Clinton7,738
82.1%Trump42,446
3.0%
R+67.1
R+7.7
R+69.2
51,725
R
19.7%Obama9,482
79.1%Romney38,078
1.3%
R+59.4
R+6.7
R+63.2
48,165
R
22.7%Obama10,820
75.3%McCain35,940
2.0%
R+52.7
R+2.7
R+59.9
47,704
R
24.7%Kerry12,020
74.7%Bush36,305
0.6%
R+49.9
—
R+47.5
48,625
current representation
Current officeholders
RRick GirdlerState Senate · 15
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 37 points, this central Kentucky senate district ranks among the state's most lopsided, reflecting the deep partisan homogeneity that has reshaped rural and small-town Kentucky over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 67.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 67.7 points.
A population of 117,721, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,207 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 4 and State Senate District 21.
Akashic
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Kentucky 15th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/21015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Kentucky 15th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Kentucky 15th State Senate District voted Republican by 67.7 points (R+67.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 57,683 votes cast, 9,027 went Democratic and 48,074 went Republican.
How many people live in Kentucky 15th State Senate District?
Kentucky 15th State Senate District has a population of 117,721 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Kentucky 15th State Senate District?
Median household income in Kentucky 15th State Senate District is $49,207 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Kentucky 15th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Kentucky 15th State Senate District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
