HarrisDemocratic53.8%28,611TrumpRepublican43.9%23,364OtherAll other candidates2.3%1,217
D+9.9- Lead
- 5,247
- Total
- 53,192
- vs nation
- D+11.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate senate district
Massachusetts First Essex District
Contests in this Place (41 available)
President38 · 1876–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic63.9%37,017TrumpRepublican34.3%19,847OtherAll other candidates1.8%1,067
D+29.6- Lead
- 17,170
- Total
- 57,931
- vs nation
- D+25.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic64.7%36,462TrumpRepublican29.0%16,366OtherAll other candidates6.3%3,526
D+35.7- Lead
- 20,096
- Total
- 56,354
- vs nation
- D+33.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic65.1%34,219RomneyRepublican34.2%17,976OtherAll other candidates0.6%339
D+30.9- Lead
- 16,243
- Total
- 52,534
- vs nation
- D+27.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic66.6%34,303McCainRepublican32.0%16,450OtherAll other candidates1.4%719
D+34.7- Lead
- 17,853
- Total
- 51,472
- vs nation
- D+27.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic65.8%31,828BushRepublican33.6%16,249OtherAll other candidates0.7%321
D+32.2- Lead
- 15,579
- Total
- 48,398
- vs nation
- D+34.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic65.2%29,264BushRepublican29.5%13,233OtherAll other candidates5.3%2,400
D+35.7- Lead
- 16,031
- Total
- 44,897
- vs nation
- D+35.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic66.9%28,043DoleRepublican25.6%10,720OtherAll other candidates7.5%3,145
D+41.3- Lead
- 17,323
- Total
- 41,908
- vs nation
- D+32.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+9.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 167,0272024 5-year
- Population density
- 5,203 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 32.1 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $69,8722024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 32.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 59.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+59.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+39.5 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 33, NJ · twin score 92.4
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts First Essex District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
79.9%
34,466 votes · D+59.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · 68.7%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
66.6%
11,334 votes · R+37.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 65.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
37,017votes
63.9% of the vote · D+29.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 36,462 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
23,364votes
43.9% of the vote · D+9.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 19,904 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+45.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+21.8 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +40.3 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+30.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+36.5 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · +14.3 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DPavel PayanoState Senate · First Essex
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Spanning communities along Massachusetts's northeastern coastline, the First Essex District delivered a roughly 9.9-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024, reflecting an electorate that trends blue but stops well short of the state's most lopsided districts.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 59.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 39.5 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 19.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.9 points.
A population of 167,027, a 32% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,872 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 33 and State Senate District 16.
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State Senate District 33
New Jersey
92.4twin score
% Latino2008–2016 trajectory≠ 12-yr trend
State Senate District 16
Rhode Island
89.9twin score
% Latino% Catholic2016 margin≠ 12-yr trend
State Senate District 35
New Jersey
89.8twin score
% Latinoelasticity% Catholic≠ 12-yr trend
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Massachusetts First Essex District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/25D19/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Massachusetts at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Massachusetts First Essex District
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did Massachusetts First Essex District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Massachusetts First Essex District voted Democratic by 9.9 points (D+9.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 53,192 votes cast, 28,611 went Democratic and 23,364 went Republican.
When did Massachusetts First Essex District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Massachusetts First Essex District voted Republican was 1956.
How many people live in Massachusetts First Essex District?
Massachusetts First Essex District has a population of 167,027 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Massachusetts First Essex District?
Median household income in Massachusetts First Essex District is $69,872 — below the national median of $80,734. The Massachusetts state median is $103,960.
What is the political history of Massachusetts First Essex District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Massachusetts First Essex District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 28 went Democratic and 10 went Republican.