HarrisDemocratic48.8%27,043TrumpRepublican48.6%26,949OtherAll other candidates2.5%1,410
D+0.2- Lead
- 94
- Total
- 55,402
- vs nation
- D+1.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate senate district
Minnesota 48th State Senate District
Contests in this Place (45 available)
President38 · 1876–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic49.3%26,303TrumpRepublican48.3%25,774OtherAll other candidates2.4%1,270
D+1.0- Lead
- 529
- Total
- 53,347
- vs nation
- R+3.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic41.1%18,365TrumpRepublican49.4%22,103OtherAll other candidates9.5%4,234
R+8.4- Lead
- 3,738
- Total
- 44,702
- vs nation
- R+10.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic41.8%17,681RomneyRepublican56.1%23,716OtherAll other candidates2.0%856
R+14.3- Lead
- 6,035
- Total
- 42,253
- vs nation
- R+18.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic44.3%17,603McCainRepublican53.8%21,392OtherAll other candidates1.9%738
R+9.5- Lead
- 3,789
- Total
- 39,733
- vs nation
- R+16.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic38.9%14,050BushRepublican60.0%21,663OtherAll other candidates1.1%393
R+21.1- Lead
- 7,613
- Total
- 36,106
- vs nation
- R+18.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic37.9%10,599BushRepublican56.6%15,822OtherAll other candidates5.4%1,512
R+18.7- Lead
- 5,223
- Total
- 27,933
- vs nation
- R+19.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic43.3%9,847DoleRepublican41.4%9,413OtherAll other candidates15.3%3,475
D+1.9- Lead
- 434
- Total
- 22,735
- vs nation
- R+6.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+0.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 85,6272024 5-year
- Population density
- 631 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 136 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $131,4972024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+31.8 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+74.2 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 57, MN · twin score 96.3
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota 48th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
65.4%
3,726 votes · D+31.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Samuel J. Tilden, 1876 · 62.5%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
85.4%
3,859 votes · R+74.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Wendell Willkie, 1940 · 76.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
27,043votes
48.8% of the vote · D+0.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 26,303 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
26,949votes
48.6% of the vote · D+0.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 25,774 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+14.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+31.8 · U.S. D+17.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Grover Cleveland, 1892 · +8.3 pts
Republican
Wendell Willkie1940
+62.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+52.7 · U.S. D+9.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · +59.8 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RJulia ColemanState Senate · 48
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 42.7%22,284 | 57.3%29,881 | 52,165 |
Minnesota Senate District 48 ranks among the state's most evenly divided legislative districts, where a presidential margin of two-tenths of a point signals a constituency that neither party can take for granted.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 74.2 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.2 points.
A population of 85,627, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $131,497 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 57 and State Senate District 37.
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State Senate District 57
Minnesota
96.3twin score
12-yr trendmedian income2008–2012 trajectory
State Senate District 37
Minnesota
92.2twin score
12-yr trendmedian incomecollege share≠ French ancestry
State Senate District 54
Minnesota
90.2twin score
12-yr trendmedian incomeNorwegian ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Minnesota 48th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/27048/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Minnesota at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Minnesota 48th State Senate District
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did Minnesota 48th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Minnesota 48th State Senate District voted a near-tie (D+0.2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 55,402 votes cast, 27,043 went Democratic and 26,949 went Republican.
When did Minnesota 48th State Senate District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Minnesota 48th State Senate District voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in Minnesota 48th State Senate District?
Minnesota 48th State Senate District has a population of 85,627 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Minnesota 48th State Senate District?
Median household income in Minnesota 48th State Senate District is $131,497 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Minnesota 48th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Minnesota 48th State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.