Carver County, Minnesota

Year	Democrat	Republican	Others	Total
2024	31,869	35,586	1,705	69,160
2020	30,774	34,009	1,578	66,361
2016	21,508	29,056	5,132	55,696
2012	20,745	31,155	999	52,899
2008	20,654	28,156	873	49,683
2004	16,456	28,510	445	45,411

Year

Democrat

Republican

Others

Total

2024

31,869

35,586

1,705

69,160

2020

30,774

34,009

1,578

66,361

2016

21,508

29,056

5,132

55,696

2012

20,745

31,155

999

52,899

2008

20,654

28,156

873

49,683

2004

16,456

28,510

445

45,411

Measure	Carver County	Minnesota	United States
Median age	39	39	39.1
Age 18–24	8.0%	8.8%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	14.5%	17.2%	17.2%

Measure

Carver County

Minnesota

United States

Median age

39.1

Age 18–24

8.0%

8.8%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

14.5%

17.2%

Measure	Carver County	Minnesota	United States
Median household income	$125,946	$89,062	$84,427
Poverty rate	4.4%	9.3%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	50.4%	39.4%	35.6%

Measure

Carver County

Minnesota

United States

Median household income

$125,946

$89,062

$84,427

Poverty rate

4.4%

9.3%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

50.4%

39.4%

35.6%

Measure	Carver County	Minnesota	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	8.0%	12.5%	22.3%
Spanish	3.5%	4.2%	13.6%
Other Asian & Pacific Island	1.3%	2.3%	1.1%

Measure

Carver County

Minnesota

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

8.0%

12.5%

22.3%

Spanish

3.5%

4.2%

13.6%

Other Asian & Pacific Island

1.3%

2.3%

1.1%

Measure	Carver County	Minnesota	United States
Catholic	26.0%	19.5%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	14.1%	11.8%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	49.3%	50.6%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	8.7%	13.5%	5.2%

Measure

Carver County

Minnesota

United States

Catholic

26.0%

19.5%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

14.1%

11.8%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

49.3%

50.6%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

8.7%

13.5%

5.2%

Precinct data

Results by precinct

71 precincts · 69,160 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Carver County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -CHASKA W-1 P-2CHASKA W-1 P-2	2,303	2,132	128	4,563	50.5%	46.7%	D+3.7
Precinct -CARVERCARVER	1,870	1,810	99	3,779	49.5%	47.9%	D+1.6
Precinct -CHASKA W-4CHASKA W-4	1,932	1,577	91	3,600	53.7%	43.8%	D+9.9
Precinct -CHASKA W-3CHASKA W-3	1,838	1,527	100	3,465	53.0%	44.1%	D+9.0
Precinct -WACONIA P-3WACONIA P-3	1,422	1,888	83	3,393	41.9%	55.6%	R+13.7
Precinct -CHANHASSEN P-3CHANHASSEN P-3	1,726	1,323	96	3,145	54.9%	42.1%	D+12.8
Precinct -CHANHASSEN P-4CHANHASSEN P-4	1,585	1,265	62	2,912	54.4%	43.4%	D+11.0
Precinct -CHANHASSEN P-5CHANHASSEN P-5	1,593	1,229	70	2,892	55.1%	42.5%	D+12.6
Precinct -CHANHASSEN P-6CHANHASSEN P-6	1,544	1,259	86	2,889	53.4%	43.6%	D+9.9
Precinct -WACONIA P-2WACONIA P-2	1,243	1,521	85	2,849	43.6%	53.4%	R+9.8
Precinct -WATERTOWNWATERTOWN	898	1,794	62	2,754	32.6%	65.1%	R+32.5
Precinct -CHANHASSEN P-1CHANHASSEN P-1	1,595	1,029	70	2,694	59.2%	38.2%	D+21.0
Precinct -VICTORIA P-2VICTORIA P-2	1,273	1,350	63	2,686	47.4%	50.3%	R+2.9
Precinct -CHASKA W-2 P-2CHASKA W-2 P-2	1,482	1,037	89	2,608	56.8%	39.8%	D+17.1
Precinct -CHANHASSEN P-2CHANHASSEN P-2	1,316	1,144	70	2,530	52.0%	45.2%	D+6.8
Precinct -WACONIA P-1WACONIA P-1	1,113	1,247	57	2,417	46.0%	51.6%	R+5.5
Precinct -NORWOOD YOUNG AMERICANORWOOD YOUNG AMERICA	731	1,471	42	2,244	32.6%	65.6%	R+33.0
Precinct -VICTORIA P-4VICTORIA P-4	1,026	1,127	38	2,191	46.8%	51.4%	R+4.6
Precinct -CHASKA W-2 P-1CHASKA W-2 P-1	970	1,021	39	2,030	47.8%	50.3%	R+2.5
Precinct -MAYERMAYER	400	1,053	24	1,477	27.1%	71.3%	R+44.2
Precinct -VICTORIA P-3VICTORIA P-3	590	792	25	1,407	41.9%	56.3%	R+14.4
Precinct -COLOGNECOLOGNE	467	832	29	1,328	35.2%	62.7%	R+27.5
Precinct -VICTORIA P-1VICTORIA P-1	601	638	29	1,268	47.4%	50.3%	R+2.9
Precinct -LAKETOWN TWPLAKETOWN TWP	416	773	23	1,212	34.3%	63.8%	R+29.5
Precinct -DAHLGREN TWPDAHLGREN TWP	306	592	17	915	33.4%	64.7%	R+31.3
Precinct -WATERTOWN TWPWATERTOWN TWP	254	604	19	877	29.0%	68.9%	R+39.9
Precinct -WACONIA TWPWACONIA TWP	227	545	19	791	28.7%	68.9%	R+40.2
Precinct -HOLLYWOOD TWPHOLLYWOOD TWP	163	521	11	695	23.5%	75.0%	R+51.5
Precinct -SAN FRANCISCO TWPSAN FRANCISCO TWP	195	428	14	637	30.6%	67.2%	R+36.6
Precinct -CAMDEN TWPCAMDEN TWP	141	462	12	615	22.9%	75.1%	R+52.2
Precinct -BENTON TWPBENTON TWP	112	366	16	494	22.7%	74.1%	R+51.4
Precinct -YOUNG AMERICA TWPYOUNG AMERICA TWP	97	358	7	462	21.0%	77.5%	R+56.5
Precinct -HAMBURGHAMBURG	65	252	7	324	20.1%	77.8%	R+57.7
Precinct -CHASKA W-1 P-1CHASKA W-1 P-1	144	124	11	279	51.6%	44.4%	D+7.2
Precinct -VICTORIA P-5VICTORIA P-5	124	148	7	279	44.4%	53.0%	R+8.6
Precinct -NEW GERMANYNEW GERMANY	50	187	3	240	20.8%	77.9%	R+57.1
Precinct -HANCOCK TWPHANCOCK TWP	57	160	2	219	26.0%	73.1%	R+47.0
Benton Twp. Voting District27_270190005	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Camden Twp. Voting District27_270190010	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Carver Voting District27_270190015	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Chanhassen P-127_270190020	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Chanhassen P-227_270190025	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Chanhassen P-327_270190030	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Chanhassen P-427_270190035	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Chanhassen P-527_270190036	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Chanhassen P-627_270190037	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Chanhassen P-727_270190038	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Chaska W-1 P-127_270190040	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Chaska W-1 P-227_270190043	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Chaska W-2 P-127_270190045	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Chaska W-2 P-227_270190047	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Chaska W-327_270190050	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Chaska W-427_270190055	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Cologne Voting District27_270190065	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Dahlgren Twp. Voting District27_270190070	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Hamburg Voting District27_270190075	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Hancock Twp. Voting District27_270190080	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Hollywood Twp. Voting District27_270190085	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Laketown Twp. Voting District27_270190090	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Mayer Voting District27_270190095	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
New Germany Voting District27_270190100	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Norwood Young America Voting District27_270190105	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
San Francisco Twp. Voting District27_270190110	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Victoria P-127_270190115	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Victoria P-227_270190117	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Waconia Twp. Voting District27_270190130	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Waconia W-127_270190120	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Waconia W-227_270190125	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Watertown Twp. Voting District27_270190140	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Watertown Voting District27_270190135	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Young America Twp. Voting District27_270190150	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+9.2%
1896	−18.5%
1900	−21.1%
1904	−43.2%
1908	−22.0%
1912	+9.6%
1916	−33.3%
1920	−77.6%
1924	−33.7%
1928	−15.9%
1932	+26.4%
1936	−3.9%
1940	−57.5%
1944	−57.3%
1948	−23.6%
1952	−51.0%
1956	−45.3%
1960	−22.0%
1964	−2.9%
1968	−17.5%
1972	−26.6%
1976	−3.8%
1980	−17.8%
1984	−27.8%
1988	−19.4%
1992	−7.0%
1996	−2.9%
2000	−23.8%
2004	−26.5%
2008	−15.1%
2012	−19.7%
2016	−13.6%
2020	−4.9%
2024	−5.4%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	46.1%Harris31,869	51.5%Trump35,586	0.8%Kennedy561 +7	R+5.4	R+0.5	R+3.9	69,160
All 10 candidates in 2024 · 8 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican51.5%35,586 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic46.1%31,869 Robert F KennedyIndependent0.8%561 Chase OliverLibertarian0.6%413 OtherAll other candidates0.5%356 Jill SteinIndependent0.4%262 Shiva AyyaduraiIndependent0.1%53 Cornel WestIndependent0.0%30 Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.0%23 Rachele FruitIndependent0.0%7
2020	R	46.4%Biden30,774	51.2%Trump34,009	1.2%Jorgensen822	R+4.9	D+8.7	R+9.3	66,361
2016	R	38.6%Clinton21,508	52.2%Trump29,056	4.4%Johnson2,461	R+13.6	D+6.1	R+15.6	55,696
2012	R	39.2%Obama20,745	58.9%Romney31,155	1.0%GRAY555	R+19.7	R+4.6	R+23.5	52,899
2008	R	41.6%Obama20,654	56.7%McCain28,156	1.8%	R+15.1	D+11.4	R+22.4	49,683
2004	R	36.2%Kerry16,456	62.8%Bush28,510	1.0%	R+26.5	R+2.8	R+24.1	45,411
2000	R	35.6%Gore12,462	59.4%Bush20,790	3.9%Nader1,381	R+23.8	R+20.8	R+24.3	35,021
1996	R	41.0%Clinton11,554	44.0%Dole12,380	13.4%Perot3,781	R+2.9	D+4.0	R+11.5	28,168
1992	R	31.4%Clinton8,349	38.3%Bush10,201	29.9%Perot7,942	R+7.0	D+12.5	R+12.5	26,604
1988	R	39.8%Dukakis8,439	59.2%Bush12,560	1.1%	R+19.4	D+8.4	R+11.7	21,228
1984	R	35.8%Mondale6,725	63.6%Reagan11,963	0.6%	R+27.8	R+10.1	R+9.6	18,809
1980	R	35.8%Carter6,621	53.6%Reagan9,909	10.6%	R+17.8	R+14.0	R+8.1	18,481
1976	R	46.3%Carter7,574	50.2%Ford8,199	3.5%	R+3.8	D+22.7	R+5.9	16,347
1972	R	34.9%McGovern4,852	61.5%Nixon8,546	3.6%	R+26.6	R+9.1	R+3.4	13,905
1968	R	39.0%Humphrey4,590	56.4%Nixon6,649	4.6%	R+17.5	R+14.6	R+16.8	11,780
1964	R	48.5%Johnson5,123	51.4%Goldwater5,424	0.1%	R+2.9	D+19.1	R+25.4	10,558
1960	R	38.9%Kennedy3,982	60.9%Nixon6,231	0.1%	R+22.0	D+23.3	R+22.2	10,227
1956	R	27.2%Stevenson2,334	72.5%Eisenhower6,226	0.3%	R+45.3	D+5.7	R+29.9	8,589
1952	R	24.4%Stevenson2,159	75.4%Eisenhower6,674	0.2%	R+51.0	R+27.4	R+40.3	8,848
1948	R	37.6%Truman2,816	61.2%Dewey4,582	1.1%	R+23.6	D+33.7	R+28.1	7,482
1944	R	21.1%Roosevelt1,565	78.4%Dewey5,823	0.5%	R+57.3	D+0.2	R+64.8	7,427
1940	R	21.1%Roosevelt1,753	78.6%Willkie6,528	0.3%	R+57.5	R+53.7	R+67.5	8,303
1936	R	38.6%Roosevelt2,814	42.4%Landon3,095	19.0%	R+3.9	R+30.2	R+28.1	7,292
1932	D	62.7%Roosevelt4,328	36.3%Hoover2,508	1.0%	D+26.4	D+42.3	D+8.6	6,902
1928	R	41.8%Smith2,885	57.7%Hoover3,983	0.5%	R+15.9	D+17.8	D+1.6	6,901
1924	O	6.5%Davis358	40.2%Coolidge2,214	52.8%La Follette2,907	La Follette +13.1	D+43.9	R+8.5	5,508
1920	R	9.7%Cox562	87.3%Harding5,073	3.0%	R+77.6	R+44.4	R+51.5	5,810
1916	R	32.3%Wilson960	65.6%Hughes1,950	2.2%	R+33.3	R+42.9	R+36.4	2,974
1912	O	36.5%Wilson1,008	26.9%Taft742	36.6%	Roosevelt +0.1	D+31.7	R+9.9	2,762
1908	R	38.0%Bryan1,101	60.0%Taft1,739	2.0%	R+22.0	D+21.1	R+12.5	2,897
1904	R	27.3%Parker672	70.4%Roosevelt1,735	2.3%	R+43.2	R+22.1	R+23.5	2,463
1900	R	38.4%Bryan1,146	59.5%McKinley1,775	2.0%	R+21.1	R+2.6	R+13.6	2,981
1896	R	39.8%Bryan1,268	58.3%McKinley1,856	1.9%	R+18.5	R+27.6	R+12.4	3,186
1892	D	49.5%Cleveland1,462	40.3%Harrison1,191	10.1%	D+9.2	—	D+7.5	2,952
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Congressional elections · 3 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	50.6%34,470	46.6%31,720	68,087
2020	R	42.2%27,616	51.4%33,623	65,459
2018	R	48.3%49,246	48.5%49,412	101,858

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Carver County, MN
Year	Total registered
2016	64,655
2018	65,210
2020	72,991
2022	74,048
2024	79,297

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+1,139 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net +10,788 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $105,522 in average income, against $149,239 for residents who stayed — 29% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean D+23.0 on average — 28 points more Democratic-leaning than Carver County, MN itself (R+5.4).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Hennepin County, MN1,553D+42.4
Scott County, MN341R+8.5
Dakota County, MN158D+12.8
McLeod County, MN105R+37.8
Ramsey County, MN95D+43.1
Wright County, MN94R+29.2

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Hennepin County, MN1,143
Scott County, MN249
Wright County, MN145
Dakota County, MN140
McLeod County, MN126
Ramsey County, MN104

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Carver County, MN in Carver County, MN: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	+661
2012	+318
2013	+1,041
2014	+944
2015	+495
2016	+967
2017	+1,059
2018	+716
2019	+905
2021	+997
2022	+623
2023	+162
2024	+761
2025	+1,139

Carver County sits on the southwestern edge of the Minneapolis–St. Paul metro, where rapid population growth since 2000 has gradually compressed what was once a double-digit Republican presidential margin to single digits by 2024.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 77.6 points in 1920. The 2024 margin was 5.4 points.

A population of 110,041, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $125,946 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Scott County and Washington County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Scott County

Minnesota

94.8twin score

median income12-yr trendcollege share≠ Swedish ancestry

Washington County

Minnesota

87.6twin score

12-yr trendmedian incomecollege share≠ % Asian

Dakota County

Minnesota

85.8twin score

12-yr trendcollege share2020–2024 trajectory≠ median income

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

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Cities & towns in Carver County

Norwood Young America

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Frequently asked questions

How did Carver County, Minnesota vote in 2024?

In 2024, Carver County, Minnesota voted Republican by 5.4 points (R+5.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 69,160 votes cast, 31,869 went Democratic and 35,586 went Republican.

When did Carver County, Minnesota last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Carver County, Minnesota voted Democratic was 1932.

How many people live in Carver County, Minnesota?

Carver County, Minnesota has a population of 110,041 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Carver County, Minnesota?

Median household income in Carver County, Minnesota is $125,946 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.

What is the political history of Carver County, Minnesota?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Carver County, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 30 went Republican.

Year	Democrat	Republican	Others	Total
2024	31,869	35,586	1,705	69,160
2020	30,774	34,009	1,578	66,361
2016	21,508	29,056	5,132	55,696
2012	20,745	31,155	999	52,899
2008	20,654	28,156	873	49,683
2004	16,456	28,510	445	45,411

Year

Democrat

Republican

Others

Total

2024

31,869

35,586

1,705

69,160

2020

30,774

34,009

1,578

66,361

2016

21,508

29,056

5,132

55,696

2012

20,745

31,155

999

52,899

2008

20,654

28,156

873

49,683

2004

16,456

28,510

445

45,411

Measure	Carver County	Minnesota	United States
Median age	39	39	39.1
Age 18–24	8.0%	8.8%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	14.5%	17.2%	17.2%

Measure

Carver County

Minnesota

United States

Median age

39.1

Age 18–24

8.0%

8.8%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

14.5%

17.2%

Measure	Carver County	Minnesota	United States
Median household income	$125,946	$89,062	$84,427
Poverty rate	4.4%	9.3%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	50.4%	39.4%	35.6%

Measure

Carver County

Minnesota

United States

Median household income

$125,946

$89,062

$84,427

Poverty rate

4.4%

9.3%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

50.4%

39.4%

35.6%

Measure	Carver County	Minnesota	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	8.0%	12.5%	22.3%
Spanish	3.5%	4.2%	13.6%
Other Asian & Pacific Island	1.3%	2.3%	1.1%

Measure

Carver County

Minnesota

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

8.0%

12.5%

22.3%

Spanish

3.5%

4.2%

13.6%

Other Asian & Pacific Island

1.3%

2.3%

1.1%

Measure	Carver County	Minnesota	United States
Catholic	26.0%	19.5%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	14.1%	11.8%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	49.3%	50.6%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	8.7%	13.5%	5.2%

Measure

Carver County

Minnesota

United States

Catholic

26.0%

19.5%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

14.1%

11.8%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

49.3%

50.6%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

8.7%

13.5%

5.2%

Carver County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -CHASKA W-1 P-2CHASKA W-1 P-2

2,303

2,132

128

4,563

50.5%

46.7%

D+3.7

Precinct -CARVERCARVER

1,870

1,810

3,779

49.5%

47.9%

D+1.6

Precinct -CHASKA W-4CHASKA W-4

1,932

1,577

3,600

53.7%

43.8%

D+9.9

Precinct -CHASKA W-3CHASKA W-3

1,838

1,527

100

3,465

53.0%

44.1%

D+9.0

Precinct -WACONIA P-3WACONIA P-3

1,422

1,888

3,393

41.9%

55.6%

R+13.7

Precinct -CHANHASSEN P-3CHANHASSEN P-3

1,726

1,323

3,145

54.9%

42.1%

D+12.8

Precinct -CHANHASSEN P-4CHANHASSEN P-4

1,585

1,265

2,912

54.4%

43.4%

D+11.0

Precinct -CHANHASSEN P-5CHANHASSEN P-5

1,593

1,229

2,892

55.1%

42.5%

D+12.6

Precinct -CHANHASSEN P-6CHANHASSEN P-6

1,544

1,259

2,889

53.4%

43.6%

D+9.9

Precinct -WACONIA P-2WACONIA P-2

1,243

1,521

2,849

43.6%

53.4%

R+9.8

Precinct -WATERTOWNWATERTOWN

898

1,794

2,754

32.6%

65.1%

R+32.5

Precinct -CHANHASSEN P-1CHANHASSEN P-1

1,595

1,029

2,694

59.2%

38.2%

D+21.0

Precinct -VICTORIA P-2VICTORIA P-2

1,273

1,350

2,686

47.4%

50.3%

R+2.9

Precinct -CHASKA W-2 P-2CHASKA W-2 P-2

1,482

1,037

2,608

56.8%

39.8%

D+17.1

Precinct -CHANHASSEN P-2CHANHASSEN P-2

1,316

1,144

2,530

52.0%

45.2%

D+6.8

Precinct -WACONIA P-1WACONIA P-1

1,113

1,247

2,417

46.0%

51.6%

R+5.5

Precinct -NORWOOD YOUNG AMERICANORWOOD YOUNG AMERICA

731

1,471

2,244

32.6%

65.6%

R+33.0

Precinct -VICTORIA P-4VICTORIA P-4

1,026

1,127

2,191

46.8%

51.4%

R+4.6

Precinct -CHASKA W-2 P-1CHASKA W-2 P-1

970

1,021

2,030

47.8%

50.3%

R+2.5

Precinct -MAYERMAYER

400

1,053

1,477

27.1%

71.3%

R+44.2

Precinct -VICTORIA P-3VICTORIA P-3

590

792

1,407

41.9%

56.3%

R+14.4

Precinct -COLOGNECOLOGNE

467

832

1,328

35.2%

62.7%

R+27.5

Precinct -VICTORIA P-1VICTORIA P-1

601

638

1,268

47.4%

50.3%

R+2.9

Precinct -LAKETOWN TWPLAKETOWN TWP

416

773

1,212

34.3%

63.8%

R+29.5

Precinct -DAHLGREN TWPDAHLGREN TWP

306

592

915

33.4%

64.7%

R+31.3

Precinct -WATERTOWN TWPWATERTOWN TWP

254

604

877

29.0%

68.9%

R+39.9

Precinct -WACONIA TWPWACONIA TWP

227

545

791

28.7%

68.9%

R+40.2

Precinct -HOLLYWOOD TWPHOLLYWOOD TWP

163

521

695

23.5%

75.0%

R+51.5

Precinct -SAN FRANCISCO TWPSAN FRANCISCO TWP

195

428

637

30.6%

67.2%

R+36.6

Precinct -CAMDEN TWPCAMDEN TWP

141

462

615

22.9%

75.1%

R+52.2

Precinct -BENTON TWPBENTON TWP

112

366

494

22.7%

74.1%

R+51.4

Precinct -YOUNG AMERICA TWPYOUNG AMERICA TWP

358

462

21.0%

77.5%

R+56.5

Precinct -HAMBURGHAMBURG

252

324

20.1%

77.8%

R+57.7

Precinct -CHASKA W-1 P-1CHASKA W-1 P-1

144

124

279

51.6%

44.4%

D+7.2

Precinct -VICTORIA P-5VICTORIA P-5

124

148

279

44.4%

53.0%

R+8.6

Precinct -NEW GERMANYNEW GERMANY

187

240

20.8%

77.9%

R+57.1

Precinct -HANCOCK TWPHANCOCK TWP

160

219

26.0%

73.1%

R+47.0

Benton Twp. Voting District27_270190005

—

Even

Camden Twp. Voting District27_270190010

—

Even

Carver Voting District27_270190015

—

Even

Chanhassen P-127_270190020

—

Even

Chanhassen P-227_270190025

—

Even

Chanhassen P-327_270190030

—

Even

Chanhassen P-427_270190035

—

Even

Chanhassen P-527_270190036

—

Even

Chanhassen P-627_270190037

—

Even

Chanhassen P-727_270190038

—

Even

Chaska W-1 P-127_270190040

—

Even

Chaska W-1 P-227_270190043

—

Even

Chaska W-2 P-127_270190045

—

Even

Chaska W-2 P-227_270190047

—

Even

Chaska W-327_270190050

—

Even

Chaska W-427_270190055

—

Even

Cologne Voting District27_270190065

—

Even

Dahlgren Twp. Voting District27_270190070

—

Even

Hamburg Voting District27_270190075

—

Even

Hancock Twp. Voting District27_270190080

—

Even

Hollywood Twp. Voting District27_270190085

—

Even

Laketown Twp. Voting District27_270190090

—

Even

Mayer Voting District27_270190095

—

Even

New Germany Voting District27_270190100

—

Even

Norwood Young America Voting District27_270190105

—

Even

San Francisco Twp. Voting District27_270190110

—

Even

Victoria P-127_270190115

—

Even

Victoria P-227_270190117

—

Even

Waconia Twp. Voting District27_270190130

—

Even

Waconia W-127_270190120

—

Even

Waconia W-227_270190125

—

Even

Watertown Twp. Voting District27_270190140

—

Even

Watertown Voting District27_270190135

—

Even

Young America Twp. Voting District27_270190150

—

Even

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+9.2%
1896	−18.5%
1900	−21.1%
1904	−43.2%
1908	−22.0%
1912	+9.6%
1916	−33.3%
1920	−77.6%
1924	−33.7%
1928	−15.9%
1932	+26.4%
1936	−3.9%
1940	−57.5%
1944	−57.3%
1948	−23.6%
1952	−51.0%
1956	−45.3%
1960	−22.0%
1964	−2.9%
1968	−17.5%
1972	−26.6%
1976	−3.8%
1980	−17.8%
1984	−27.8%
1988	−19.4%
1992	−7.0%
1996	−2.9%
2000	−23.8%
2004	−26.5%
2008	−15.1%
2012	−19.7%
2016	−13.6%
2020	−4.9%
2024	−5.4%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

46.1%Harris31,869

51.5%Trump35,586

0.8%Kennedy561 +7

R+5.4

R+0.5

R+3.9

69,160

All 10 candidates in 2024 · 8 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican51.5%35,586
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic46.1%31,869
Robert F KennedyIndependent0.8%561
Chase OliverLibertarian0.6%413
OtherAll other candidates0.5%356
Jill SteinIndependent0.4%262
Shiva AyyaduraiIndependent0.1%53
Cornel WestIndependent0.0%30
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.0%23
Rachele FruitIndependent0.0%7

2020

46.4%Biden30,774

51.2%Trump34,009

1.2%Jorgensen822

R+4.9

D+8.7

R+9.3

66,361

2016

38.6%Clinton21,508

52.2%Trump29,056

4.4%Johnson2,461

R+13.6

D+6.1

R+15.6

55,696

2012

39.2%Obama20,745

58.9%Romney31,155

1.0%GRAY555

R+19.7

R+4.6

R+23.5

52,899

2008

41.6%Obama20,654

56.7%McCain28,156

1.8%

R+15.1

D+11.4

R+22.4

49,683

2004

36.2%Kerry16,456

62.8%Bush28,510

1.0%

R+26.5

R+2.8

R+24.1

45,411

2000

35.6%Gore12,462

59.4%Bush20,790

3.9%Nader1,381

R+23.8

R+20.8

R+24.3

35,021

1996

41.0%Clinton11,554

44.0%Dole12,380

13.4%Perot3,781

R+2.9

D+4.0

R+11.5

28,168

1992

31.4%Clinton8,349

38.3%Bush10,201

29.9%Perot7,942

R+7.0

D+12.5

R+12.5

26,604

1988

39.8%Dukakis8,439

59.2%Bush12,560

1.1%

R+19.4

D+8.4

R+11.7

21,228

1984

35.8%Mondale6,725

63.6%Reagan11,963

0.6%

R+27.8

R+10.1

R+9.6

18,809

1980

35.8%Carter6,621

53.6%Reagan9,909

10.6%

R+17.8

R+14.0

R+8.1

18,481

1976

46.3%Carter7,574

50.2%Ford8,199

3.5%

R+3.8

D+22.7

R+5.9

16,347

1972

34.9%McGovern4,852

61.5%Nixon8,546

3.6%

R+26.6

R+9.1

R+3.4

13,905

1968

39.0%Humphrey4,590

56.4%Nixon6,649

4.6%

R+17.5

R+14.6

R+16.8

11,780

1964

48.5%Johnson5,123

51.4%Goldwater5,424

0.1%

R+2.9

D+19.1

R+25.4

10,558

1960

38.9%Kennedy3,982

60.9%Nixon6,231

0.1%

R+22.0

D+23.3

R+22.2

10,227

1956

27.2%Stevenson2,334

72.5%Eisenhower6,226

0.3%

R+45.3

D+5.7

R+29.9

8,589

1952

24.4%Stevenson2,159

75.4%Eisenhower6,674

0.2%

R+51.0

R+27.4

R+40.3

8,848

1948

37.6%Truman2,816

61.2%Dewey4,582

1.1%

R+23.6

D+33.7

R+28.1

7,482

1944

21.1%Roosevelt1,565

78.4%Dewey5,823

0.5%

R+57.3

D+0.2

R+64.8

7,427

1940

21.1%Roosevelt1,753

78.6%Willkie6,528

0.3%

R+57.5

R+53.7

R+67.5

8,303

1936

38.6%Roosevelt2,814

42.4%Landon3,095

19.0%

R+3.9

R+30.2

R+28.1

7,292

1932

62.7%Roosevelt4,328

36.3%Hoover2,508

1.0%

D+26.4

D+42.3

D+8.6

6,902

1928

41.8%Smith2,885

57.7%Hoover3,983

0.5%

R+15.9

D+17.8

D+1.6

6,901

1924

6.5%Davis358

40.2%Coolidge2,214

52.8%La Follette2,907

La Follette +13.1

D+43.9

R+8.5

5,508

1920

9.7%Cox562

87.3%Harding5,073

3.0%

R+77.6

R+44.4

R+51.5

5,810

1916

32.3%Wilson960

65.6%Hughes1,950

2.2%

R+33.3

R+42.9

R+36.4

2,974

1912

36.5%Wilson1,008

26.9%Taft742

36.6%

Roosevelt +0.1

D+31.7

R+9.9

2,762

1908

38.0%Bryan1,101

60.0%Taft1,739

2.0%

R+22.0

D+21.1

R+12.5

2,897

1904

27.3%Parker672

70.4%Roosevelt1,735

2.3%

R+43.2

R+22.1

R+23.5

2,463

1900

38.4%Bryan1,146

59.5%McKinley1,775

2.0%

R+21.1

R+2.6

R+13.6

2,981

1896

39.8%Bryan1,268

58.3%McKinley1,856

1.9%

R+18.5

R+27.6

R+12.4

3,186

1892

49.5%Cleveland1,462

40.3%Harrison1,191

10.1%

D+9.2

—

D+7.5

2,952

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

50.6%34,470

46.6%31,720

68,087

2020

42.2%27,616

51.4%33,623

65,459

2018

48.3%49,246

48.5%49,412

101,858

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Carver County, MN
Year	Total registered
2016	64,655
2018	65,210
2020	72,991
2022	74,048
2024	79,297

How did Carver County, Minnesota vote in 2024?

In 2024, Carver County, Minnesota voted Republican by 5.4 points (R+5.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 69,160 votes cast, 31,869 went Democratic and 35,586 went Republican.

When did Carver County, Minnesota last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Carver County, Minnesota voted Democratic was 1932.

How many people live in Carver County, Minnesota?

Carver County, Minnesota has a population of 110,041 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Carver County, Minnesota?

Median household income in Carver County, Minnesota is $125,946 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.

What is the political history of Carver County, Minnesota?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Carver County, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 30 went Republican.

presidential margin

presidential returns

Who lives here

Communities and origins

Age and life stage

Household economy

Languages at home

Religious landscape

Results by precinct

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

U.S. Senate

Registered voters

Who moves in and out

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions

presidential margin

presidential returns

Who lives here

Communities and origins

Age and life stage

Household economy

Languages at home

Religious landscape

Results by precinct

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

U.S. Senate

Registered voters

Who moves in and out

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions