Carver County, Minnesota: Realigning Affluent Suburb county. In 2024, voted R+5%. Republican peak: R+78 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+5MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Realigning Affluent SuburbAkashic typology
- Population
- 110,0412024 5-year
- Median household income
- $125,9462024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+78 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Walla Walla County, WA · similarity 0.98
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Carver CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Carver County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −9.2% |
| 1896 | −18.5% |
| 1900 | −21.1% |
| 1904 | −43.2% |
| 1908 | −22.0% |
| 1912 | +9.6% |
| 1916 | −33.3% |
| 1920 | −77.6% |
| 1924 | −33.7% |
| 1928 | −15.9% |
| 1932 | +26.4% |
| 1936 | −3.9% |
| 1940 | −57.5% |
| 1944 | −57.3% |
| 1948 | −23.6% |
| 1952 | −51.0% |
| 1956 | −45.3% |
| 1960 | −22.0% |
| 1964 | −2.9% |
| 1968 | −17.5% |
| 1972 | −26.6% |
| 1976 | −3.8% |
| 1980 | −17.8% |
| 1984 | −27.8% |
| 1988 | −19.4% |
| 1992 | −7.0% |
| 1996 | −2.9% |
| 2000 | −23.8% |
| 2004 | −26.5% |
| 2008 | −15.1% |
| 2012 | −19.7% |
| 2016 | −13.6% |
| 2020 | −4.9% |
| 2024 | −5.4% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 31,869 | 35,586 | 69,160 | ||
| R | 30,774 | 34,009 | 66,361 | ||
| R | 21,508 | 29,056 | 55,696 | ||
| R | 20,745 | 31,155 | 52,899 | ||
| R | 20,654 | 28,156 | 49,683 | ||
| R | 16,456 | 28,510 | 45,411 | ||
| R | 12,462 | 20,790 | 35,021 | ||
| R | 11,554 | 12,380 | 28,168 | ||
| R | 8,349 | 10,201 | 26,604 | ||
| R | 8,439 | 12,560 | 21,228 | ||
| R | 6,725 | 11,963 | 18,809 | ||
| R | 6,621 | 9,909 | 18,481 | ||
| R | 7,574 | 8,199 | 16,347 | ||
| R | 4,852 | 8,546 | 13,905 | ||
| R | 4,590 | 6,649 | 11,780 | ||
| R | 5,123 | 5,424 | 10,558 | ||
| R | 3,982 | 6,231 | 10,227 | ||
| R | 2,334 | 6,226 | 8,589 | ||
| R | 2,159 | 6,674 | 8,848 | ||
| R | 2,816 | 4,582 | 7,482 | ||
| R | 1,565 | 5,823 | 7,427 | ||
| R | 1,753 | 6,528 | 8,303 | ||
| R | 2,814 | 3,095 | 7,292 | ||
| D | 4,328 | 2,508 | 6,902 | ||
| R | 2,885 | 3,983 | 6,901 | ||
| O | 358 | 2,214 | 5,508 | ||
| R | 562 | 5,073 | 5,810 | ||
| R | 960 | 1,950 | 2,974 | ||
| O | 1,008 | 742 | 2,762 | ||
| R | 1,101 | 1,739 | 2,897 | ||
| R | 672 | 1,735 | 2,463 | ||
| R | 1,146 | 1,775 | 2,981 | ||
| R | 1,268 | 1,856 | 3,186 | ||
| R | 1,191 | 1,462 | 2,952 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
37.3%
Irish
11.1%
English
8.4%
Polish
3.6%
American
3.1%
Italian
2.9%
French
2.8%
African American
1.4%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$125,946
Carver County ranks in the top 0.5% of US counties.
Carver County$125,946
Minnesota$89,062
United States$80,734
Carver County ranks in the top 0.5% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
4.4%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 183.5%
Working age (18–64)4.4%
Seniors (65+)9.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
92.0%
speak English only
Spanish3.5%
Other Indo-European2.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.0%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 49.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Carver County sits on the southwestern edge of the Minneapolis–St. Paul metro, where rapid population growth since 2000 has gradually compressed what was once a double-digit Republican presidential margin to single digits by 2024.
Once reliably Republican — a margin of seventy-eight points in 1920 at its widest — Carver County has trended Democratic. The 2024 margin was five points.
A median household income of $125,946 — among the higher at this geographic scale — and a population of 110,041 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Walla Walla County and Houston County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Carver County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions
How did Carver County, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Carver County, Minnesota voted Republican by 5.4 points (R+5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 69,160 votes cast, 31,869 went Democratic and 35,586 went Republican.
What is Carver County, Minnesota's political typology?
Akashic places Carver County, Minnesota in the "Realigning Affluent Suburb" typology — College-educated, affluent suburbs — the one bloc moving toward the Democratic Party. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 1 times, Republican 31 times, and other 2 times.
When did Carver County, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Carver County, Minnesota voted Democratic was 1932.
How many people live in Carver County, Minnesota?
Carver County, Minnesota has a population of 110,041 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Carver County, Minnesota?
Median household income in Carver County, Minnesota is $125,946 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Carver County, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Carver County, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 31 went Republican. The county's typology — "Realigning Affluent Suburb" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.