HarrisDemocratic26.1%13,494TrumpRepublican72.1%37,201OtherAll other candidates1.8%930
R+45.9- Lead
- 23,707
- Total
- 51,625
- vs nation
- R+44.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate senate district
West Virginia 15th State Senate District
Contests in this Place (46 available)
President38 · 1876–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic27.8%13,296TrumpRepublican70.4%33,703OtherAll other candidates1.8%883
R+42.6- Lead
- 20,407
- Total
- 47,882
- vs nation
- R+47.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic24.3%9,919TrumpRepublican69.7%28,449OtherAll other candidates6.0%2,447
R+45.4- Lead
- 18,530
- Total
- 40,815
- vs nation
- R+47.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic34.6%12,521RomneyRepublican62.6%22,633OtherAll other candidates2.7%990
R+28.0- Lead
- 10,112
- Total
- 36,144
- vs nation
- R+31.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic39.6%14,498McCainRepublican58.7%21,469OtherAll other candidates1.7%629
R+19.0- Lead
- 6,971
- Total
- 36,596
- vs nation
- R+26.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic33.9%11,449BushRepublican65.3%22,075OtherAll other candidates0.8%268
R+31.4- Lead
- 10,626
- Total
- 33,792
- vs nation
- R+29.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic35.6%8,836BushRepublican61.5%15,281OtherAll other candidates2.9%718
R+26.0- Lead
- 6,445
- Total
- 24,835
- vs nation
- R+26.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic39.4%8,836DoleRepublican49.2%11,015OtherAll other candidates11.4%2,554
R+9.7- Lead
- 2,179
- Total
- 22,405
- vs nation
- R+18.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+45.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 109,6032024 5-year
- Population density
- 101 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,080 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $76,5412024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+30.4 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45.9 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 27, IN · twin score 95.1
presidential history
Party record book
West Virginia 15th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Samuel J. Tilden1876
65.2%
3,152 votes · D+30.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 60.8%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
72.1%
37,201 votes · R+45.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 70.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
14,498votes
39.6% of the vote · R+19.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 13,494 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
37,201votes
72.1% of the vote · R+45.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 33,703 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+27.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+8.0 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +26.7 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+47.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+45.4 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +47.1 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RDarren ThorneState Senate · 15
RTom WillisState Senate · 15
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
West Virginia 15th State Senate District sits in southern Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.4 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 45.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 45.9 points.
A population of 109,603, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,541 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 27 and State Senate District 18.
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State Senate District 27
Indiana
95.1twin score
elasticity2016–2024 trajectory
State Senate District 18
Indiana
95.1twin score
elasticity2016–2024 trajectory
State Senate District 11
West Virginia
94.7twin score
2016–2024 trajectoryelasticity≠ median income
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
West Virginia 15th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/54015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
West Virginia at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within West Virginia 15th State Senate District
counties it covers3
Frequently asked questions
How did West Virginia 15th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, West Virginia 15th State Senate District voted Republican by 45.9 points (R+45.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 51,625 votes cast, 13,494 went Democratic and 37,201 went Republican.
When did West Virginia 15th State Senate District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which West Virginia 15th State Senate District voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in West Virginia 15th State Senate District?
West Virginia 15th State Senate District has a population of 109,603 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in West Virginia 15th State Senate District?
Median household income in West Virginia 15th State Senate District is $76,541 — below the national median of $80,734. The West Virginia state median is $59,608.
What is the political history of West Virginia 15th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in West Virginia 15th State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 20 went Republican.