Delaware
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +1.5% |
| 1896 | −8.3% |
| 1900 | −6.3% |
| 1904 | −14.4% |
| 1908 | −6.1% |
| 1912 | +13.6% |
| 1916 | −2.4% |
| 1920 | −13.6% |
| 1924 | −20.9% |
| 1928 | −32.0% |
| 1932 | −2.4% |
| 1936 | +9.8% |
| 1940 | +9.7% |
| 1944 | +9.1% |
| 1948 | −1.3% |
| 1952 | −3.9% |
| 1956 | −10.5% |
| 1960 | +1.6% |
| 1964 | +22.2% |
| 1968 | −3.5% |
| 1972 | −20.4% |
| 1976 | +5.4% |
| 1980 | −2.3% |
| 1984 | −19.9% |
| 1988 | −12.4% |
| 1992 | +8.2% |
| 1996 | +15.2% |
| 2000 | +13.1% |
| 2004 | +7.6% |
| 2008 | +25.0% |
| 2012 | +18.6% |
| 2016 | +11.4% |
| 2020 | +19.0% |
| 2024 | +14.7% |
On the ballot
Primary is Sept 15, 2026 (not yet held as of 2026-06-25). Coons (incumbent, seeking a third full term) is the cleared-field Democratic frontrunner; his only primary challenger, Christopher Beardsley, withdrew to run for state senate. GOP field is Shulli vs. Katz. Race rated Solid/Safe D.
U.S. House
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 1.6 points.
805,335 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+6,855 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +90,234 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +2,854 |
| 2012 | +3,202 |
| 2013 | +3,298 |
| 2014 | +4,230 |
| 2015 | +4,052 |
| 2016 | +3,379 |
| 2017 | +4,430 |
| 2018 | +6,851 |
| 2019 | +6,961 |
| 2021 | +13,680 |
| 2022 | +12,530 |
| 2023 | +9,872 |
| 2024 | +8,040 |
| 2025 | +6,855 |
Joe Biden’s home state held Democratic in 2024 by 14.7 points — its three counties splitting from New Castle’s D+32.6 to Sussex’s R+11.0.
- Held with the national tide
- D+19.0 (2020) → D+14.7 (2024) — a 4.3-pt shift toward Trump, near the national average · MIT Election Lab
- Biden’s home state
- Democratic for president every cycle since 1992; Biden the only Delawarean to hold the office · MIT Election Lab
- Three counties, north to south
- New Castle (Wilmington) D+32.6, Kent (Dover) D+2.0, Sussex R+11.0 — the state’s three counties · County returns, 2024
- Above the U.S. median
- Median household income $84,954 — above the U.S. $80,734; 35.8% hold a bachelor’s degree · ACS 2024 5-year
- Among the least affiliated
- 58.8% claim no religion — 12th-highest of 50; Catholic 19.8%, the largest single tradition · 2020 U.S. Religion Census
- Senate seat in 2026
- Sen. Chris Coons (D) seeks a third full term — rated Safe D; no governor’s race; one at-large U.S. House seat · Akashic 2026 forecast
The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Delaware. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/DE/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.