† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupBakersfield-Delano, CACaliforniaUnited States
Mexican50.4%32.3%11.3%
Salvadoran1.5%2.0%0.7%
Guatemalan0.8%1.3%0.5%
Puerto Rican0.5%0.6%1.8%
Spaniard0.4%0.3%—
Spanish0.4%0.3%—
Honduran0.3%—0.3%
Cuban0.2%—0.7%
German5.7%6.8%12.5%
English5.6%6.3%9.5%
Irish4.8%5.9%9.4%
American3.5%2.8%5.3%
Italian1.9%3.4%4.8%
French1.0%1.3%1.6%
Scottish1.0%0.9%1.3%
Polish0.6%0.9%2.2%
Filipino2.2%3.3%0.9%
Asian Indian1.5%2.3%1.4%
Chinese0.4%3.9%1.3%
Vietnamese0.3%1.7%0.6%
Korean0.2%1.2%0.4%
African American†4.3%4.4%9.9%
African0.2%0.3%0.5%
Aztec0.4%0.3%—
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Bakersfield-Delano, CA
California
United States
Median age
32.7
37.9
39.1
Age 18–24
9.9%
9.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
11.9%
15.6%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Bakersfield-Delano, CA
California
United States
Median household income
$70,210
$99,122
$84,427
Poverty rate
19.1%
12.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
18.8%
36.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Bakersfield-Delano, CA
California
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
45.7%
44.4%
22.3%
Spanish
40.1%
28.4%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
1.6%
3.4%
2.0%
Tagalog (incl. Filipino)
1.3%
2.1%
0.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Bakersfield-Delano, CA
California
United States
Catholic
26.0%
26.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
13.1%
9.0%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
54.6%
55.2%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Bakersfield-Delano, CA
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+10.9%
1896
+10.2%
1900
+7.2%
1904
−13.9%
1908
−1.1%
1912
+51.7%
1916
+24.7%
1920
−6.8%
1924
−29.2%
1928
−26.2%
1932
+45.2%
1936
+50.4%
1940
+24.5%
1944
+11.6%
1948
+14.6%
1952
−10.4%
1956
−3.0%
1960
−1.3%
1964
+17.5%
1968
−4.1%
1972
−25.0%
1976
−6.7%
1980
−26.0%
1984
−31.0%
1988
−24.1%
1992
−11.3%
1996
−17.2%
2000
−24.5%
2004
−34.0%
2008
−17.7%
2012
−16.7%
2016
−12.7%
2020
−10.2%
2024
−21.1%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
38.2%Harris108,241
59.3%Trump167,879
1.3%Kennedy3,730 +4
R+21.1
R+10.9
R+19.6
283,246
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican59.3%167,879
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic38.2%108,241
Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent1.3%3,730
Jill SteinIndependent0.5%1,344
Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%1,038
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.4%1,006
OtherAll other candidates0.0%8
R
43.7%Biden133,366
53.9%Trump164,484
2.4%
R+10.2
D+2.5
R+14.6
305,292
R
40.4%Clinton98,689
53.1%Trump129,584
6.5%
R+12.7
D+4.1
R+14.7
244,163
R
40.3%Obama89,495
57.0%Romney126,618
2.7%
R+16.7
D+1.0
R+20.6
222,189
R
40.0%Obama93,457
57.7%McCain134,793
2.4%
R+17.7
D+16.3
R+25.0
233,808
R
32.5%Kerry68,603
66.5%Bush140,417
1.0%
R+34.0
R+9.5
R+31.5
211,174
R
36.2%Gore66,003
60.7%Bush110,663
3.1%
R+24.5
R+7.3
R+25.0
182,308
R
36.6%Clinton62,658
53.8%Dole92,151
9.7%
R+17.2
R+5.9
R+25.7
171,391
R
33.8%Clinton60,510
45.1%Bush80,762
21.2%
R+11.3
D+12.8
R+16.9
179,263
R
37.4%Dukakis55,083
61.5%Bush90,550
1.1%
R+24.1
D+6.9
R+16.4
147,293
R
34.0%Mondale49,567
65.0%Reagan94,776
1.0%
R+31.0
R+5.0
R+12.8
145,744
R
33.7%Carter41,097
59.6%Reagan72,842
6.7%
R+26.0
R+19.3
R+16.3
122,121
R
45.6%Carter50,567
52.3%Ford58,023
2.1%
R+6.7
D+18.2
R+8.8
110,961
R
35.2%McGovern41,937
60.1%Nixon71,686
4.7%
R+25.0
R+20.9
R+1.8
119,193
R
42.5%Humphrey49,284
46.6%Nixon53,990
10.8%
R+4.1
R+21.6
R+3.4
115,832
D
58.7%Johnson64,174
41.2%Goldwater45,014
0.1%
D+17.5
D+18.8
R+5.1
109,308
R
49.1%Kennedy51,440
50.4%Nixon52,800
0.4%
R+1.3
D+1.7
R+1.5
104,705
R
48.3%Stevenson43,533
51.3%Eisenhower46,220
0.4%
R+3.0
D+7.4
D+12.4
90,075
R
44.4%Stevenson36,151
54.8%Eisenhower44,600
0.7%
R+10.4
R+25.0
D+0.4
81,332
D
56.2%Truman33,029
41.6%Dewey24,464
2.2%
D+14.6
D+3.0
D+10.1
58,811
D
55.6%Roosevelt26,205
44.0%Dewey20,730
0.5%
D+11.6
R+12.9
D+4.1
47,161
D
61.8%Roosevelt32,202
37.3%Willkie19,445
0.9%
D+24.5
R+25.9
D+14.5
52,126
D
74.6%Roosevelt25,726
24.2%Landon8,345
1.2%
D+50.4
D+5.2
D+26.1
34,479
D
70.3%Roosevelt19,634
25.1%Hoover7,011
4.6%
D+45.2
D+71.4
D+27.4
27,920
R
36.4%Smith8,541
62.7%Hoover14,692
0.9%
R+26.2
D+3.0
R+8.8
23,445
R
16.8%Davis3,159
46.1%Coolidge8,646
37.1%
R+29.2
R+22.4
R+4.1
18,763
R
42.2%Cox6,095
49.0%Harding7,079
8.8%
R+6.8
R+31.6
D+19.4
14,444
D
59.9%Wilson9,566
35.1%Hughes5,611
5.0%
D+24.7
R+27.0
D+21.6
15,981
D
51.7%Wilson5,569
0.0%Taft0
48.3%
D+51.7
D+52.8
D+32.2
10,765
R
44.5%Bryan2,215
45.6%Taft2,270
9.9%
R+1.1
D+12.8
D+8.4
4,978
R
37.7%Parker1,724
51.6%Roosevelt2,359
10.7%
R+13.9
R+21.0
D+5.8
4,571
D
52.3%Bryan1,960
45.2%McKinley1,692
2.5%
D+7.2
R+3.0
D+14.7
3,746
D
54.0%Bryan1,763
43.8%McKinley1,430
2.2%
D+10.2
R+0.7
D+16.3
3,265
D
50.4%Cleveland1,266
39.5%Harrison992
10.1%
D+10.9
—
D+9.2
2,513
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
39.0%107,501
61.0%168,458
275,959
2022
R
39.4%73,779
60.6%113,428
187,207
2018
D
100.0%166,609
0.0%0
166,609
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024R+3.3
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+21.1
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 18 points more Democratic.
451,797 registered voters · 2024 · up from 433,887 in 2022
Domestic migration in Bakersfield-Delano, CA in Bakersfield-Delano, CA: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−2,631
2012
−4,189
2013
−1,435
2014
−2,226
2015
−2,531
2016
−4,426
2017
−1,634
2018
−288
2019
−291
2021
+1,877
2022
−2,064
2023
−8,569
2024
−2,626
2025
−2,628
Bakersfield-Delano anchors California's most reliably Republican media market, where petroleum extraction and large-scale agriculture shape a working-class electorate that consistently diverges from the coastal Democratic baseline by double-digit margins.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 51.7 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 34.0 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 10.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.1 points.
A population of 915,075, a 30% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,210 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Visalia, CA and Hanford-Corcoran, CA.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/12540/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California voted Republican by 21.1 points (R+21.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 283,246 votes cast, 108,241 went Democratic and 167,879 went Republican.
When did Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California?
Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California has a population of 915,075 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California?
Median household income in Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California is $70,210 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 23 went Republican.