Kern County, California: New American county. In 2024, voted R+21%. Democratic peak: D+52 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+21MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- New AmericanAkashic typology
- Population
- 915,0752024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,2102024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 43.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 56.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+52 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+34 in 2004MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Tulare County, CA · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Kern CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Kern County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | +20.6% |
| 1880 | +17.5% |
| 1884 | +14.1% |
| 1888 | +14.5% |
| 1892 | +10.9% |
| 1896 | +10.2% |
| 1900 | +7.2% |
| 1904 | −13.9% |
| 1908 | −1.1% |
| 1912 | +51.7% |
| 1916 | +24.7% |
| 1920 | −6.8% |
| 1924 | −29.2% |
| 1928 | −26.2% |
| 1932 | +45.2% |
| 1936 | +50.4% |
| 1940 | +24.5% |
| 1944 | +11.6% |
| 1948 | +14.6% |
| 1952 | −10.4% |
| 1956 | −3.0% |
| 1960 | −1.3% |
| 1964 | +17.5% |
| 1968 | −4.1% |
| 1972 | −25.0% |
| 1976 | −6.7% |
| 1980 | −26.0% |
| 1984 | −31.0% |
| 1988 | −24.1% |
| 1992 | −11.3% |
| 1996 | −17.2% |
| 2000 | −24.5% |
| 2004 | −34.0% |
| 2008 | −17.7% |
| 2012 | −16.7% |
| 2016 | −12.7% |
| 2020 | −10.2% |
| 2024 | −21.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 108,241 | 167,879 | 283,246 | ||
| R | 133,366 | 164,484 | 305,292 | ||
| R | 98,689 | 129,584 | 244,163 | ||
| R | 89,495 | 126,618 | 222,189 | ||
| R | 93,457 | 134,793 | 233,808 | ||
| R | 68,603 | 140,417 | 211,174 | ||
| R | 66,003 | 110,663 | 182,308 | ||
| R | 62,658 | 92,151 | 171,391 | ||
| R | 60,510 | 80,762 | 179,263 | ||
| R | 55,083 | 90,550 | 147,293 | ||
| R | 49,567 | 94,776 | 145,744 | ||
| R | 41,097 | 72,842 | 122,121 | ||
| R | 50,567 | 58,023 | 110,961 | ||
| R | 41,937 | 71,686 | 119,193 | ||
| R | 49,284 | 53,990 | 115,832 | ||
| D | 64,174 | 45,014 | 109,308 | ||
| R | 51,440 | 52,800 | 104,705 | ||
| R | 43,533 | 46,220 | 90,075 | ||
| R | 36,151 | 44,600 | 81,332 | ||
| D | 33,029 | 24,464 | 58,811 | ||
| D | 26,205 | 20,730 | 47,161 | ||
| D | 32,202 | 19,445 | 52,126 | ||
| D | 25,726 | 8,345 | 34,479 | ||
| D | 19,634 | 7,011 | 27,920 | ||
| R | 8,541 | 14,692 | 23,445 | ||
| R | 3,159 | 8,646 | 18,763 | ||
| R | 6,095 | 7,079 | 14,444 | ||
| D | 9,566 | 5,611 | 15,981 | ||
| D | 5,569 | 0 | 10,765 | ||
| R | 2,215 | 2,270 | 4,978 | ||
| R | 1,724 | 2,359 | 4,571 | ||
| D | 1,960 | 1,692 | 3,746 | ||
| D | 1,763 | 1,430 | 3,265 | ||
| D | 1,266 | 992 | 2,513 | ||
| D | 1,229 | 910 | 2,195 | ||
| D | 798 | 598 | 1,423 | ||
| D | 661 | 463 | 1,131 | ||
| D | 844 | 556 | 1,400 |
Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
5.7%
English
5.6%
Irish
4.8%
American
3.5%
Italian
1.9%
French
1.0%
Scottish
1.0%
African American
4.1%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 32.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$70,210
Kern County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Kern County$70,210
California$99,122
United States$80,734
Kern County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
19.1%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1825.6%
Working age (18–64)16.4%
Seniors (65+)17.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
54.3%
speak English only
Spanish40.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.8%
Other Indo-European2.0%
Other languages0.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Kern's economy anchors on oil extraction and agriculture, drawing a working-class electorate that has backed Republican presidential nominees by double digits for decades, even as the state tilts sharply the other way.
Kern County has leaned Republican in recent presidential elections, reaching a Democratic margin of fifty-two points in 1912. Between 2020 and 2024 it moved eleven points toward the Republican candidate — part of the sharpest rightward shift recorded among any group of places in the country.
Its demographics describe the shift: a 44% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $70,210, and a population of 915,075. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Tulare County and Colusa County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Kern County, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/06029/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in California
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Frequently asked questions
How did Kern County, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Kern County, California voted Republican by 21.1 points (R+21), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 283,246 votes cast, 108,241 went Democratic and 167,879 went Republican.
What is Kern County, California's political typology?
Akashic places Kern County, California in the "New American" typology — Communities where a large share of households speak a language other than English — multilingual, Democratic-leaning overall, yet the hardest-swinging bloc toward the Republican Party in 2024. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 15 times, Republican 23 times, and other 0 times.
When did Kern County, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Kern County, California voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Kern County, California?
Kern County, California has a population of 915,075 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Kern County, California?
Median household income in Kern County, California is $70,210 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Kern County, California?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Kern County, California from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 23 went Republican. The county's typology — "New American" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.