† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupBay City, MIMichiganUnited States
German27.7%17.7%12.5%
Polish15.6%7.2%2.2%
Irish9.7%9.9%9.4%
English8.9%10.5%9.5%
French8.1%3.0%1.6%
American3.7%4.2%5.3%
French Canadian2.5%——
Italian2.1%4.2%4.8%
Mexican4.8%4.0%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.2%0.5%1.8%
African American†0.9%12.2%9.9%
West Indian0.1%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Bay City, MI
Michigan
United States
Median age
43.9
40.3
39.1
Age 18–24
7.3%
9.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
21.9%
18.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Bay City, MI
Michigan
United States
Median household income
$61,763
$72,875
$84,427
Poverty rate
13.2%
13.2%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
22.1%
32.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Bay City, MI
Michigan
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
2.3%
10.4%
22.3%
Spanish
1.1%
3.1%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Bay City, MI
Michigan
United States
Catholic
19.9%
14.8%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
15.0%
12.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
60.3%
60.3%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Bay City, MI
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+10.6%
1896
+2.1%
1900
−11.7%
1904
−40.1%
1908
−21.8%
1912
+3.3%
1916
−5.4%
1920
−32.3%
1924
−39.1%
1928
−14.0%
1932
+19.5%
1936
+20.3%
1940
+1.0%
1944
+0.5%
1948
+3.7%
1952
−17.4%
1956
−21.1%
1960
+4.7%
1964
+42.8%
1968
+6.2%
1972
−3.0%
1976
+5.6%
1980
−1.5%
1984
−7.3%
1988
+15.3%
1992
+18.6%
1996
+23.8%
2000
+11.8%
2004
+9.8%
2008
+15.3%
2012
+5.5%
2016
−12.6%
2020
−11.6%
2024
−14.7%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
42.0%Harris25,767
56.7%Trump34,792
0.5%Kennedy288 +7
R+14.7
R+3.1
R+13.2
61,338
All 10 candidates in 2024 · 8 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican56.7%34,792
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic42.0%25,767
Robert F KennedyIndependent0.5%288
Chase OliverLibertarian0.3%195
Jill SteinIndependent0.2%136
Randall TerryIndependent0.1%66
Joseph KishoreIndependent0.1%53
Cornel WestIndependent0.1%34
Peter SonskiIndependent0.0%4
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.0%3
R
43.4%Biden26,151
55.0%Trump33,125
1.6%
R+11.6
D+1.0
R+16.0
60,255
R
40.6%Clinton21,642
53.2%Trump28,328
6.2%
R+12.6
R+18.1
R+14.6
53,274
D
52.0%Obama27,877
46.5%Romney24,911
1.5%
D+5.5
R+9.8
D+1.7
53,586
D
56.7%Obama32,589
41.4%McCain23,795
1.8%
D+15.3
D+5.5
D+8.0
57,428
D
54.4%Kerry31,049
44.6%Bush25,448
1.0%
D+9.8
R+2.0
D+12.3
57,059
D
54.7%Gore28,251
42.9%Bush22,150
2.4%
D+11.8
R+12.0
D+11.3
51,636
D
56.1%Clinton27,835
32.3%Dole16,038
11.6%
D+23.8
D+5.2
D+15.3
49,603
D
48.7%Clinton26,492
30.1%Bush16,383
21.1%
D+18.6
D+3.3
D+13.0
54,355
D
57.4%Dukakis28,225
42.1%Bush20,710
0.4%
D+15.3
D+22.6
D+23.0
49,152
R
46.1%Mondale22,597
53.4%Reagan26,198
0.5%
R+7.3
R+5.9
D+10.9
49,030
R
44.9%Carter24,517
46.4%Reagan25,331
8.7%
R+1.5
R+7.1
D+8.2
54,592
D
52.2%Carter25,958
46.6%Ford23,174
1.1%
D+5.6
D+8.6
D+3.5
49,689
R
47.1%McGovern21,712
50.1%Nixon23,094
2.8%
R+3.0
R+9.2
D+20.2
46,118
D
50.3%Humphrey21,410
44.1%Nixon18,779
5.6%
D+6.2
R+36.6
D+6.9
42,567
D
71.3%Johnson29,754
28.5%Goldwater11,896
0.1%
D+42.8
D+38.1
D+20.2
41,706
D
52.3%Kennedy22,998
47.5%Nixon20,909
0.2%
D+4.7
D+25.8
D+4.6
44,011
R
39.3%Stevenson15,301
60.4%Eisenhower23,519
0.3%
R+21.1
R+3.7
R+5.7
38,948
R
41.0%Stevenson14,113
58.4%Eisenhower20,087
0.6%
R+17.4
R+21.0
R+6.6
34,396
D
51.3%Truman14,349
47.6%Dewey13,321
1.2%
D+3.7
D+3.2
R+0.8
27,997
D
50.0%Roosevelt15,602
49.5%Dewey15,459
0.5%
D+0.5
R+0.5
R+7.0
31,204
D
50.4%Roosevelt14,902
49.4%Willkie14,618
0.2%
D+1.0
R+19.4
R+9.0
29,587
D
55.4%Roosevelt13,789
35.1%Landon8,729
9.5%
D+20.3
D+0.8
R+3.9
24,885
D
58.6%Roosevelt14,708
39.1%Hoover9,816
2.3%
D+19.5
D+33.5
D+1.7
25,092
R
42.9%Smith9,395
56.9%Hoover12,467
0.3%
R+14.0
D+25.1
D+3.5
21,917
R
25.6%Davis5,881
64.8%Coolidge14,861
9.6%
R+39.1
R+6.9
R+13.9
22,951
R
32.7%Cox7,011
64.9%Harding13,933
2.4%
R+32.3
R+26.8
R+6.1
21,460
R
45.7%Wilson5,996
51.1%Hughes6,708
3.2%
R+5.4
R+8.7
R+8.6
13,130
O
26.7%Wilson2,990
23.4%Taft2,625
49.9%
Roosevelt +23.2
D+25.1
R+16.3
11,205
R
36.4%Bryan4,223
58.2%Taft6,760
5.4%
R+21.8
D+18.2
R+12.3
11,611
R
28.2%Parker3,142
68.3%Roosevelt7,609
3.6%
R+40.1
R+28.4
R+20.4
11,148
R
42.9%Bryan5,081
54.6%McKinley6,462
2.5%
R+11.7
R+13.7
R+4.1
11,836
D
50.2%Bryan6,296
48.1%McKinley6,037
1.8%
D+2.1
R+8.5
D+8.1
12,553
D
53.5%Cleveland5,714
43.0%Harrison4,587
3.5%
D+10.6
—
D+8.9
10,678
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
43.7%26,313
53.4%32,145
60,151
2020
R
45.5%27,072
52.7%31,314
59,472
2018
R
48.6%22,502
49.1%22,752
46,333
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Bay City, MI
Year
Total registered
2016
80,236
2018
79,416
2020
84,901
2022
86,010
2024
87,842
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+112 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −2,349 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Bay City, MI in Bay City, MI: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−322
2012
−364
2013
−76
2014
−696
2015
−545
2016
−638
2017
−114
2018
−137
2019
−384
2021
+26
2022
+238
2023
+386
2024
+165
2025
+112
Bay City anchors a mid-Michigan metro where decades of manufacturing decline reshaped the electorate; the 2024 presidential margin of R+32.3 reflects a broader working-class realignment that has accelerated across the Saginaw Bay region since 2016.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 40.1 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 3.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.7 points.
A population of 103,008, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,763 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Monroe, MI and Alpena, MI.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Bay City, MI, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/13020/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
In 2024, Bay City, MI, Michigan voted Republican by 14.7 points (R+14.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 61,338 votes cast, 25,767 went Democratic and 34,792 went Republican.
When did Bay City, MI, Michigan last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Bay City, MI, Michigan voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Bay City, MI, Michigan?
Bay City, MI, Michigan has a population of 103,008 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bay City, MI, Michigan?
Median household income in Bay City, MI, Michigan is $61,763 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Bay City, MI, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Bay City, MI, Michigan from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.
