Bay City, MI · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain, and this place is a single county: Bay County, Michigan. The figures below are that county’s, which is the same territory — not a larger unit standing in for it.
Presidential nominating contests in Bay City, MI, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Bay City, MI
Year
Total registered
2016
80,236
2018
79,416
2020
84,901
2022
86,010
2024
87,842
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+112 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −2,349 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Bay City, MI in Bay City, MI: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−322
2012
−364
2013
−76
2014
−696
2015
−545
2016
−638
2017
−114
2018
−137
2019
−384
2021
+26
2022
+238
2023
+386
2024
+165
2025
+112
Bay City anchors a mid-Michigan metro where decades of manufacturing decline reshaped the electorate; the 2024 presidential margin of R+32.3 reflects a broader working-class realignment that has accelerated across the Saginaw Bay region since 2016.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 40.1 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 3.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.7 points.
A population of 103,008, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,763 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Monroe, MI and Alpena, MI.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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Bay City, MI, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/13020/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Bay City, MI, Michigan voted Republican by 14.7 points (R+14.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 61,338 votes cast, 25,767 went Democratic and 34,792 went Republican.
When did Bay City, MI, Michigan last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Bay City, MI, Michigan voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Bay City, MI, Michigan?
Bay City, MI, Michigan has a population of 103,008 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bay City, MI, Michigan?
Median household income in Bay City, MI, Michigan is $61,763 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Bay City, MI, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Bay City, MI, Michigan from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.
