Bay County, Michigan
Precinct data
Results by precinct
84 precincts · 59,440 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Kawkawlin Township, Precinct 1Kawkawlin Township, Precinct 1 | 976 | 1,915 | 36 | 2,927 | 33.3% | 65.4% | R+32.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Monitor Township, Precinct 3Monitor Township, Precinct 3 | 985 | 1,864 | 36 | 2,885 | 34.1% | 64.6% | R+30.5 |
| Precinct -Monitor Township, Precinct 2Monitor Township, Precinct 2 | 1,175 | 1,454 | 32 | 2,661 | 44.2% | 54.6% | R+10.5 |
| Precinct -Frankenlust Township, Precinct 1Frankenlust Township, Precinct 1 | 879 | 1,579 | 35 | 2,493 | 35.3% | 63.3% | R+28.1 |
| Precinct -City of Bay City, Ward 5, Precinct 1City of Bay City, Ward 5, Precinct 1 | 1,092 | 988 | 26 | 2,106 | 51.9% | 46.9% | D+4.9 |
| Precinct -Williams Township, Precinct 1Williams Township, Precinct 1 | 695 | 1,373 | 26 | 2,094 | 33.2% | 65.6% | R+32.4 |
| Precinct -Bangor Township, Precinct 5Bangor Township, Precinct 5 | 819 | 1,128 | 25 | 1,972 | 41.5% | 57.2% | R+15.7 |
| Precinct -City of Bay City, Ward 9, Precinct 1City of Bay City, Ward 9, Precinct 1 | 918 | 974 | 25 | 1,917 | 47.9% | 50.8% | R+2.9 |
| Precinct -City of Bay City, Ward 2, Precinct 1City of Bay City, Ward 2, Precinct 1 | 1,172 | 720 | 20 | 1,912 | 61.3% | 37.7% | D+23.6 |
| Precinct -City of Bay City, Ward 1, Precinct 1City of Bay City, Ward 1, Precinct 1 | 1,036 | 807 | 27 | 1,870 | 55.4% | 43.2% | D+12.2 |
| Precinct -City of Bay City, Ward 7, Precinct 1City of Bay City, Ward 7, Precinct 1 | 941 | 897 | 23 | 1,861 | 50.6% | 48.2% | D+2.4 |
| Precinct -City of Bay City, Ward 4, Precinct 1City of Bay City, Ward 4, Precinct 1 | 964 | 802 | 41 | 1,807 | 53.3% | 44.4% | D+9.0 |
| Precinct -Beaver Township, Precinct 1Beaver Township, Precinct 1 | 510 | 1,277 | 17 | 1,804 | 28.3% | 70.8% | R+42.5 |
| Precinct -City of Bay City, Ward 8, Precinct 1City of Bay City, Ward 8, Precinct 1 | 894 | 886 | 24 | 1,804 | 49.6% | 49.1% | D+0.4 |
| Precinct -City of Bay City, Ward 6, Precinct 1City of Bay City, Ward 6, Precinct 1 | 868 | 829 | 26 | 1,723 | 50.4% | 48.1% | D+2.3 |
| Precinct -City of Bay City, Ward 3, Precinct 1City of Bay City, Ward 3, Precinct 1 | 963 | 727 | 29 | 1,719 | 56.0% | 42.3% | D+13.7 |
| Precinct -Monitor Township, Precinct 1Monitor Township, Precinct 1 | 649 | 911 | 14 | 1,574 | 41.2% | 57.9% | R+16.6 |
| Precinct -Bangor Township, Precinct 6Bangor Township, Precinct 6 | 667 | 818 | 20 | 1,505 | 44.3% | 54.4% | R+10.0 |
| Precinct -Bangor Township, Precinct 2Bangor Township, Precinct 2 | 535 | 887 | 7 | 1,429 | 37.4% | 62.1% | R+24.6 |
| Precinct -Pinconning Township, Precinct 1Pinconning Township, Precinct 1 | 419 | 985 | 16 | 1,420 | 29.5% | 69.4% | R+39.9 |
| Precinct -Bangor Township, Precinct 3Bangor Township, Precinct 3 | 572 | 829 | 16 | 1,417 | 40.4% | 58.5% | R+18.1 |
| Precinct -Hampton Township, Precinct 4Hampton Township, Precinct 4 | 721 | 640 | 27 | 1,388 | 51.9% | 46.1% | D+5.8 |
| Precinct -City of Auburn, Precinct 1City of Auburn, Precinct 1 | 517 | 737 | 26 | 1,280 | 40.4% | 57.6% | R+17.2 |
| Precinct -Bangor Township, Precinct 4Bangor Township, Precinct 4 | 542 | 661 | 19 | 1,222 | 44.4% | 54.1% | R+9.7 |
| Precinct -Portsmouth Township, Precinct 2Portsmouth Township, Precinct 2 | 505 | 678 | 9 | 1,192 | 42.4% | 56.9% | R+14.5 |
| Precinct -Hampton Township, Precinct 2Hampton Township, Precinct 2 | 503 | 680 | 7 | 1,190 | 42.3% | 57.1% | R+14.9 |
| Precinct -Hampton Township, Precinct 3Hampton Township, Precinct 3 | 530 | 624 | 17 | 1,171 | 45.3% | 53.3% | R+8.0 |
| Precinct -City of Essexville, Precinct 2City of Essexville, Precinct 2 | 535 | 586 | 13 | 1,134 | 47.2% | 51.7% | R+4.5 |
| Precinct -Bangor Township, Precinct 1Bangor Township, Precinct 1 | 445 | 670 | 12 | 1,127 | 39.5% | 59.4% | R+20.0 |
| Precinct -City of Essexville, Precinct 1City of Essexville, Precinct 1 | 573 | 524 | 15 | 1,112 | 51.5% | 47.1% | D+4.4 |
| Precinct -Williams Township, Precinct 2Williams Township, Precinct 2 | 382 | 700 | 18 | 1,100 | 34.7% | 63.6% | R+28.9 |
| Precinct -Garfield Township, Precinct 1Garfield Township, Precinct 1 | 311 | 734 | 16 | 1,061 | 29.3% | 69.2% | R+39.9 |
| Precinct -Hampton Township, Precinct 5Hampton Township, Precinct 5 | 398 | 525 | 13 | 936 | 42.5% | 56.1% | R+13.6 |
| Precinct -Portsmouth Township, Precinct 1Portsmouth Township, Precinct 1 | 343 | 579 | 12 | 934 | 36.7% | 62.0% | R+25.3 |
| Precinct -Merritt Township, Precinct 1Merritt Township, Precinct 1 | 224 | 659 | 10 | 893 | 25.1% | 73.8% | R+48.7 |
| Precinct -Mount Forest Township, Precinct 1Mount Forest Township, Precinct 1 | 213 | 631 | 11 | 855 | 24.9% | 73.8% | R+48.9 |
| Precinct -Hampton Township, Precinct 1Hampton Township, Precinct 1 | 316 | 409 | 4 | 729 | 43.3% | 56.1% | R+12.8 |
| Precinct -Gibson Township, Precinct 1Gibson Township, Precinct 1 | 150 | 474 | 7 | 631 | 23.8% | 75.1% | R+51.3 |
| Precinct -City of Pinconning, Precinct 1City of Pinconning, Precinct 1 | 245 | 336 | 4 | 585 | 41.9% | 57.4% | R+15.6 |
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Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +10.6% |
| 1896 | +2.1% |
| 1900 | −11.7% |
| 1904 | −40.1% |
| 1908 | −21.8% |
| 1912 | +3.3% |
| 1916 | −5.4% |
| 1920 | −32.3% |
| 1924 | −39.1% |
| 1928 | −14.0% |
| 1932 | +19.5% |
| 1936 | +20.3% |
| 1940 | +1.0% |
| 1944 | +0.5% |
| 1948 | +3.7% |
| 1952 | −17.4% |
| 1956 | −21.1% |
| 1960 | +4.7% |
| 1964 | +42.8% |
| 1968 | +6.2% |
| 1972 | −3.0% |
| 1976 | +5.6% |
| 1980 | −1.5% |
| 1984 | −7.3% |
| 1988 | +15.3% |
| 1992 | +18.6% |
| 1996 | +23.8% |
| 2000 | +11.8% |
| 2004 | +9.8% |
| 2008 | +15.3% |
| 2012 | +5.5% |
| 2016 | −12.6% |
| 2020 | −11.6% |
| 2024 | −14.7% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 80,236 |
| 2018 | 79,416 |
| 2020 | 84,901 |
| 2022 | 86,010 |
| 2024 | 87,842 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+112 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −2,349 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $50,904 in average income, against $67,079 for residents who stayed — 24% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+12.3 on average — 2.4 points more Democratic-leaning than Bay County, MI itself (R+14.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Saginaw County, MI502R+3.3
- Midland County, MI336R+15.2
- Arenac County, MI95R+40.6
- Tuscola County, MI94R+43.0
- Genesee County, MI84D+4.2
- Oakland County, MI64D+10.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Saginaw County, MI480
- Midland County, MI311
- Oakland County, MI102
- Genesee County, MI97
- Arenac County, MI87
- Tuscola County, MI79
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −322 |
| 2012 | −364 |
| 2013 | −76 |
| 2014 | −696 |
| 2015 | −545 |
| 2016 | −638 |
| 2017 | −114 |
| 2018 | −137 |
| 2019 | −384 |
| 2021 | +26 |
| 2022 | +238 |
| 2023 | +386 |
| 2024 | +165 |
| 2025 | +112 |
Bay County's blue-collar manufacturing heritage once made it a reliable Democratic anchor on Saginaw Bay, but the county has moved roughly 20 points rightward over the past decade, mirroring broader shifts among working-class voters in the Great Lakes region.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 40.1 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.7 points.
A population of 103,008, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,763 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Monroe County and Alpena County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Bay County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26017/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.