† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupBay City, TXTexasUnited States
Mexican38.9%32.1%11.3%
Spaniard0.9%0.3%—
Spanish0.7%——
Puerto Rican0.4%0.8%1.8%
Salvadoran0.3%1.2%0.7%
Honduran0.2%0.8%0.3%
Argentinean0.2%——
German11.5%8.3%12.5%
English8.3%7.9%9.5%
Irish6.6%6.0%9.4%
American4.3%4.6%5.3%
French2.4%1.5%1.6%
Czech2.2%——
Italian1.9%1.9%4.8%
Scottish0.9%1.3%1.3%
African American†9.2%10.3%9.9%
South African0.3%——
Vietnamese0.9%1.0%0.6%
Asian Indian0.6%1.8%1.4%
Filipino0.3%0.5%0.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Bay City, TX
Texas
United States
Median age
37.8
35.7
39.1
Age 18–24
7.7%
9.7%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
18.1%
13.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Bay City, TX
Texas
United States
Median household income
$58,628
$78,476
$84,427
Poverty rate
20.7%
13.8%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
22.2%
33.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Bay City, TX
Texas
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
27.2%
35.2%
22.3%
Spanish
24.9%
28.2%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Bay City, TX
Texas
United States
Catholic
20.6%
20.1%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
26.7%
23.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
44.2%
45.2%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Bay City, TX
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1912
+54.3%
1916
+45.5%
1920
+3.5%
1924
+19.4%
1928
−18.0%
1932
+66.3%
1936
+57.3%
1940
+53.5%
1944
+47.0%
1948
+18.6%
1952
−32.5%
1956
−34.2%
1960
−0.1%
1964
+26.5%
1968
+5.9%
1972
−33.8%
1976
+14.8%
1980
−9.2%
1984
−23.7%
1988
−8.8%
1992
−4.3%
1996
−4.0%
2000
−23.2%
2004
−30.1%
2008
−27.4%
2012
−33.5%
2016
−39.9%
2020
−44.5%
2024
−50.5%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
24.3%Harris3,231
74.8%Trump9,957
0.5%Oliver67 +2
R+50.5
R+6.0
R+49.1
13,312
All 5 candidates in 2024 · 3 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican74.8%9,957
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic24.3%3,231
Chase OliverLibertarian0.5%67
Jill SteinIndependent0.4%53
OtherAll other candidates0.0%4
R
27.2%Biden3,733
71.7%Trump9,845
1.1%
R+44.5
R+4.6
R+49.0
13,727
R
28.7%Clinton3,500
68.6%Trump8,366
2.7%
R+39.9
R+6.4
R+42.0
12,196
R
32.8%Obama3,980
66.3%Romney8,040
0.9%
R+33.5
R+6.0
R+37.3
12,133
R
35.9%Obama4,440
63.3%McCain7,835
0.8%
R+27.4
D+2.6
R+34.7
12,373
R
34.8%Kerry4,355
64.8%Bush8,119
0.4%
R+30.1
R+6.9
R+27.6
12,521
R
37.7%Gore4,696
60.9%Bush7,584
1.4%
R+23.2
R+19.2
R+23.7
12,459
R
43.0%Clinton5,374
47.0%Dole5,876
10.0%
R+4.0
D+0.3
R+12.5
12,494
R
36.1%Clinton4,759
40.5%Bush5,328
23.4%
R+4.3
D+4.5
R+9.9
13,165
R
45.2%Dukakis5,675
54.0%Bush6,787
0.8%
R+8.8
D+14.9
R+1.1
12,566
R
38.0%Mondale5,201
61.7%Reagan8,452
0.3%
R+23.7
R+14.5
R+5.5
13,694
R
44.2%Carter4,585
53.4%Reagan5,545
2.4%
R+9.2
R+24.0
D+0.5
10,382
D
56.9%Carter4,971
42.1%Ford3,679
0.9%
D+14.8
D+48.6
D+12.7
8,731
R
33.0%McGovern2,473
66.8%Nixon5,003
0.3%
R+33.8
R+39.7
R+10.6
7,495
D
42.5%Humphrey3,595
36.5%Nixon3,094
21.0%
D+5.9
R+20.6
D+6.6
8,466
D
63.2%Johnson4,143
36.7%Goldwater2,407
0.1%
D+26.5
D+26.6
D+3.9
6,555
R
49.5%Kennedy2,971
49.6%Nixon2,975
0.9%
R+0.1
D+34.2
R+0.2
5,998
R
32.2%Stevenson1,904
66.5%Eisenhower3,927
1.3%
R+34.2
R+1.8
R+18.8
5,909
R
33.8%Stevenson2,101
66.2%Eisenhower4,122
0.0%
R+32.5
R+51.0
R+21.7
6,224
D
49.3%Truman1,628
30.8%Dewey1,016
19.9%
D+18.6
R+28.5
D+14.1
3,299
D
60.4%Roosevelt1,854
13.4%Dewey412
26.1%
D+47.0
R+6.5
D+39.5
3,067
D
76.6%Roosevelt2,156
23.1%Willkie651
0.2%
D+53.5
R+3.8
D+43.6
2,813
D
78.6%Roosevelt1,700
21.2%Landon459
0.2%
D+57.3
R+8.9
D+33.1
2,164
D
82.9%Roosevelt2,039
16.6%Hoover408
0.6%
D+66.3
D+84.3
D+48.5
2,461
R
40.9%Smith829
58.8%Hoover1,194
0.3%
R+18.0
R+37.4
R+0.5
2,029
D
57.0%Davis1,353
37.6%Coolidge893
5.4%
D+19.4
D+15.8
D+44.6
2,374
D
47.4%Cox992
43.9%Harding918
8.7%
D+3.5
R+41.9
D+29.7
2,091
D
68.6%Wilson748
23.1%Hughes252
8.3%
D+45.5
R+8.8
D+42.3
1,091
D
63.9%Wilson710
9.6%Taft107
26.5%
D+54.3
—
D+34.7
1,111
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Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
26.4%3,486
71.8%9,482
13,209
2020
R
26.3%3,551
71.6%9,647
13,482
2018
R
29.2%3,049
70.1%7,330
10,457
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Bay City, TX
Year
Total registered
2016
21,536
2018
21,662
2020
22,026
2022
21,681
2024
22,394
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+65 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −2,351 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Bay City, TX in Bay City, TX: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−226
2012
−341
2013
−135
2014
−192
2015
+110
2016
+152
2017
−457
2018
−410
2019
−79
2021
−10
2022
−449
2023
−34
2024
−345
2025
+65
Bay City, TX sits in the Gulf South and Southern Plains. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 66.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 50.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 6.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 50.5 points.
A population of 36,329, a 41% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,628 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Big Spring, TX and Hereford, TX.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Bay City, TX, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/13060/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Bay City, TX, Texas voted Republican by 50.5 points (R+50.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 13,312 votes cast, 3,231 went Democratic and 9,957 went Republican.
When did Bay City, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Bay City, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Bay City, TX, Texas?
Bay City, TX, Texas has a population of 36,329 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bay City, TX, Texas?
Median household income in Bay City, TX, Texas is $58,628 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Bay City, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Bay City, TX, Texas from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.
