† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupFlagstaff, AZArizonaUnited States
German13.4%12.6%12.5%
English10.4%10.2%9.5%
Irish9.4%8.9%9.4%
Italian4.0%4.1%4.8%
American2.6%4.0%5.3%
Scottish2.2%1.7%1.3%
Polish2.1%2.0%2.2%
French1.6%1.8%1.6%
Navajo21.9%1.9%—
Hopi1.3%——
Mexican10.9%26.9%11.3%
Spanish0.8%0.4%—
Puerto Rican0.4%0.7%1.8%
Cuban0.4%0.3%0.7%
Honduran0.3%—0.3%
Spaniard0.3%0.5%—
Guatemalan0.2%0.4%0.5%
Colombian0.2%0.2%0.4%
Chinese0.4%0.6%1.3%
Asian Indian0.3%0.9%1.4%
Filipino0.3%0.7%0.9%
Korean0.2%0.3%0.4%
African American†0.9%3.6%9.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Flagstaff, AZ
Arizona
United States
Median age
32.8
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
19.4%
9.5%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
14.5%
18.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Flagstaff, AZ
Arizona
United States
Median household income
$72,966
$79,964
$84,427
Poverty rate
16.8%
12.5%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
40.3%
33.5%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Flagstaff, AZ
Arizona
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
22.1%
25.8%
22.3%
Spanish
7.0%
19.3%
13.6%
Other languages
12.9%
2.0%
0.8%
Religious landscape
Measure
Flagstaff, AZ
Arizona
United States
Catholic
11.9%
21.3%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
7.1%
10.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
67.6%
55.8%
51.5%
Latter-day Saints
9.3%
6.1%
2.0%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Flagstaff, AZ
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1912
+11.9%
1916
+17.8%
1920
−26.4%
1924
−14.4%
1928
−18.8%
1932
+41.0%
1936
+37.6%
1940
+22.5%
1944
+11.2%
1948
+4.9%
1952
−22.8%
1956
−27.2%
1960
−9.0%
1964
−4.4%
1968
−28.6%
1972
−25.1%
1976
−7.4%
1980
−25.9%
1984
−20.4%
1988
−6.2%
1992
+12.0%
1996
+17.7%
2000
+6.6%
2004
+12.8%
2008
+17.0%
2012
+15.5%
2016
+18.9%
2020
+24.0%
2024
+19.9%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
59.2%Harris41,504
39.4%Trump27,576
0.7%Oliver508 +1
D+19.9
R+4.1
D+21.3
70,067
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic59.2%41,504
Donald J TrumpRepublican39.4%27,576
Chase OliverLibertarian0.7%508
Jill SteinIndependent0.7%479
D
60.7%Biden44,698
36.7%Trump27,052
2.6%
D+24.0
D+5.1
D+19.5
73,632
D
54.2%Clinton32,404
35.3%Trump21,108
10.5%
D+18.9
D+3.4
D+16.8
59,784
D
56.3%Obama29,257
40.8%Romney21,220
2.9%
D+15.5
R+1.5
D+11.6
51,962
D
57.8%Obama31,433
40.8%McCain22,186
1.3%
D+17.0
D+4.2
D+9.7
54,344
D
55.8%Kerry29,243
43.0%Bush22,526
1.2%
D+12.8
D+6.2
D+15.3
52,391
D
49.6%Gore20,280
43.0%Bush17,562
7.4%
D+6.6
R+11.1
D+6.1
40,883
D
53.2%Clinton20,475
35.4%Dole13,638
11.4%
D+17.7
D+5.7
D+9.2
38,522
D
44.3%Clinton18,888
32.3%Bush13,769
23.4%
D+12.0
D+18.2
D+6.5
42,618
R
45.6%Dukakis14,660
51.8%Bush16,649
2.6%
R+6.2
D+14.2
D+1.5
32,140
R
38.8%Mondale11,528
59.1%Reagan17,581
2.1%
R+20.4
D+5.5
R+2.1
29,735
R
29.9%Carter7,832
55.8%Reagan14,613
14.3%
R+25.9
R+18.5
R+16.1
26,199
R
44.1%Carter9,450
51.5%Ford11,036
4.4%
R+7.4
D+17.7
R+9.5
21,418
R
35.9%McGovern6,250
61.0%Nixon10,611
3.0%
R+25.1
D+3.5
R+1.9
17,389
R
30.8%Humphrey3,504
59.4%Nixon6,765
9.9%
R+28.6
R+24.2
R+27.9
11,392
R
47.7%Johnson5,270
52.2%Goldwater5,756
0.1%
R+4.4
D+4.6
R+27.0
11,037
R
45.4%Kennedy4,065
54.4%Nixon4,870
0.1%
R+9.0
D+18.2
R+9.2
8,944
R
36.3%Stevenson2,314
63.5%Eisenhower4,044
0.2%
R+27.2
R+4.4
R+11.8
6,369
R
38.6%Stevenson2,408
61.4%Eisenhower3,827
0.0%
R+22.8
R+27.6
R+12.0
6,235
D
52.0%Truman2,309
47.1%Dewey2,093
0.9%
D+4.9
R+6.3
D+0.4
4,441
D
55.5%Roosevelt2,236
44.3%Dewey1,786
0.1%
D+11.2
R+11.3
D+3.7
4,028
D
61.1%Roosevelt3,025
38.6%Willkie1,913
0.3%
D+22.5
R+15.1
D+12.5
4,951
D
67.3%Roosevelt2,578
29.8%Landon1,140
2.9%
D+37.6
R+3.4
D+13.3
3,829
D
69.8%Roosevelt2,689
28.8%Hoover1,110
1.4%
D+41.0
D+59.8
D+23.2
3,853
R
40.4%Smith1,172
59.2%Hoover1,717
0.4%
R+18.8
R+4.4
R+1.3
2,901
R
30.7%Davis711
45.1%Coolidge1,045
24.2%
R+14.4
D+12.0
D+10.8
2,317
R
36.8%Cox781
63.2%Harding1,342
0.0%
R+26.4
R+44.2
R+0.2
2,123
D
56.5%Wilson1,171
38.7%Hughes802
4.8%
D+17.8
D+5.9
D+14.7
2,072
D
39.6%Wilson339
27.7%Taft237
32.6%
D+11.9
—
R+7.6
855
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Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
61.7%42,924
35.7%24,825
69,563
2022
D
63.8%35,149
33.9%18,697
55,101
2018
D
61.9%34,240
34.8%19,249
55,280
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026D+11.8
vs
Presidential vote · 2024D+19.9
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 8.1 points more Republican.
Domestic migration in Flagstaff, AZ in Flagstaff, AZ: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−1,559
2012
+672
2013
−629
2014
−364
2015
+370
2016
+501
2017
−162
2018
+890
2019
+313
2021
−2,460
2022
+771
2023
−143
2024
−725
2025
−879
Home to Northern Arizona University and a large Native American population from surrounding tribal lands, Flagstaff's Coconino County posts Democratic margins uncommon in rural Arizona, driven by student voters and reservation turnout patterns.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 41.0 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 28.6 points in 1968. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 4.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.9 points.
A population of 144,508, a 52% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,966 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lawrence, KS and Corvallis, OR.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Flagstaff, AZ, Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/22380/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Flagstaff, AZ, Arizona voted Democratic by 19.9 points (D+19.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 70,067 votes cast, 41,504 went Democratic and 27,576 went Republican.
When did Flagstaff, AZ, Arizona last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Flagstaff, AZ, Arizona voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Flagstaff, AZ, Arizona?
Flagstaff, AZ, Arizona has a population of 144,508 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Flagstaff, AZ, Arizona?
Median household income in Flagstaff, AZ, Arizona is $72,966 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Flagstaff, AZ, Arizona?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Flagstaff, AZ, Arizona from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.
