Lynchburg, VA · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.
Presidential nominating contests in Lynchburg, VA, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Lynchburg, VA
Year
Total registered
2016
183,294
2018
180,179
2020
190,149
2022
195,019
2024
203,764
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+2,214 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +13,425 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Lynchburg, VA in Lynchburg, VA: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+674
2012
+893
2013
+588
2014
+374
2015
+766
2016
+293
2017
+702
2018
+774
2019
+376
2021
+1,332
2022
+1,270
2023
+1,776
2024
+1,393
2025
+2,214
Lynchburg's electorate leans conservative even by Virginia standards, anchored by a large evangelical institutional presence and a blue-collar manufacturing base that has historically produced wide Republican margins in federal races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 71.8 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 58.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 5.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 37.5 points.
A population of 263,798, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,702 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hattiesburg, MS and Greenville-Anderson-Greer, SC.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lynchburg, VA, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/31340/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Lynchburg, VA, Virginia voted Republican by 37.5 points (R+37.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 146,434 votes cast, 44,721 went Democratic and 99,608 went Republican.
When did Lynchburg, VA, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lynchburg, VA, Virginia voted Democratic was 1948.
How many people live in Lynchburg, VA, Virginia?
Lynchburg, VA, Virginia has a population of 263,798 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lynchburg, VA, Virginia?
Median household income in Lynchburg, VA, Virginia is $67,702 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Lynchburg, VA, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Lynchburg, VA, Virginia from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.
