† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
5 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupLynchburg, VAVirginiaUnited States
American15.8%8.4%5.3%
English15.2%12.0%9.5%
German9.1%10.1%12.5%
Irish8.6%9.1%9.4%
Italian2.8%3.9%4.8%
Scottish2.0%1.9%1.3%
French1.2%1.3%1.6%
Scotch-Irish1.0%——
African American†14.8%15.6%9.9%
African0.7%0.9%0.5%
Nigerian0.2%0.2%0.2%
Mexican1.4%2.4%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.5%1.4%1.8%
Guatemalan0.2%0.7%0.5%
Honduran0.2%0.7%0.3%
Salvadoran0.2%2.1%0.7%
Asian Indian0.3%1.8%1.4%
Chinese0.3%0.8%1.3%
Vietnamese0.3%0.7%0.6%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Lynchburg, VA
Virginia
United States
Median age
40.1
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
12.6%
9.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
19.9%
16.7%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Lynchburg, VA
Virginia
United States
Median household income
$67,702
$93,170
$84,427
Poverty rate
12.5%
10.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
31.6%
42.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Lynchburg, VA
Virginia
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
4.8%
17.5%
22.3%
Spanish
2.3%
7.9%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Lynchburg, VA
Virginia
United States
Catholic
4.6%
10.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
38.1%
19.9%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
44.0%
54.3%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
9.9%
8.4%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Lynchburg, VA
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+22.1%
1896
+12.7%
1900
+16.7%
1904
+54.8%
1908
+50.7%
1912
+71.8%
1916
+68.5%
1920
+57.0%
1924
+60.9%
1928
+9.6%
1932
+62.5%
1936
+59.4%
1940
+54.7%
1944
+44.4%
1948
+19.8%
1952
−10.3%
1956
−12.3%
1960
−2.7%
1964
−14.8%
1968
−25.4%
1972
−58.1%
1976
−15.7%
1980
−25.8%
1984
−38.7%
1988
−33.5%
1992
−16.9%
1996
−11.7%
2000
−24.1%
2004
−29.3%
2008
−24.3%
2012
−29.6%
2016
−35.1%
2020
−32.1%
2024
−37.5%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
30.5%Harris44,721
68.0%Trump99,608
0.4%Oliver620 +4
R+37.5
R+5.4
R+36.0
146,434
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican68.0%99,608
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic30.5%44,721
OtherAll other candidates0.5%773
Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%620
Jill SteinIndependent0.2%341
Cornel R WestIndependent0.1%186
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%185
R
32.9%Biden46,384
64.9%Trump91,685
2.2%
R+32.1
D+3.0
R+36.5
141,197
R
29.7%Clinton38,304
64.8%Trump83,626
5.6%
R+35.1
R+5.5
R+37.2
129,110
R
34.4%Obama42,105
64.0%Romney78,396
1.6%
R+29.6
R+5.3
R+33.5
122,474
R
37.3%Obama44,112
61.6%McCain72,875
1.1%
R+24.3
D+4.9
R+31.6
118,315
R
34.9%Kerry35,790
64.1%Bush65,812
1.0%
R+29.3
R+5.2
R+26.8
102,633
R
36.7%Gore32,137
60.7%Bush53,218
2.6%
R+24.1
R+12.3
R+24.6
87,621
R
39.7%Clinton31,958
51.5%Dole41,388
8.8%
R+11.7
D+5.2
R+20.2
80,424
R
34.6%Clinton28,398
51.5%Bush42,257
13.8%
R+16.9
D+16.6
R+22.5
82,010
R
32.5%Dukakis24,526
66.0%Bush49,772
1.4%
R+33.5
D+5.2
R+25.8
75,360
R
30.3%Mondale23,580
69.0%Reagan53,749
0.8%
R+38.7
R+12.9
R+20.5
77,948
R
34.7%Carter23,094
60.5%Reagan40,226
4.7%
R+25.8
R+10.1
R+16.0
66,458
R
40.3%Carter23,846
56.0%Ford33,158
3.8%
R+15.7
D+42.4
R+17.8
59,228
R
19.2%McGovern7,766
77.2%Nixon31,295
3.6%
R+58.1
R+32.7
R+34.9
40,514
R
20.6%Humphrey10,743
46.0%Nixon23,937
33.4%
R+25.4
R+10.6
R+24.7
52,041
R
42.5%Johnson18,304
57.3%Goldwater24,682
0.3%
R+14.8
R+12.1
R+37.4
43,094
R
48.4%Kennedy14,661
51.2%Nixon15,491
0.4%
R+2.7
D+9.6
R+2.9
30,262
R
41.6%Stevenson11,697
53.9%Eisenhower15,163
4.5%
R+12.3
R+2.0
D+3.1
28,140
R
44.7%Stevenson12,022
55.0%Eisenhower14,789
0.2%
R+10.3
R+30.1
D+0.5
26,871
D
47.5%Truman8,253
27.8%Dewey4,823
24.7%
D+19.8
R+24.6
D+15.3
17,364
D
72.1%Roosevelt12,525
27.7%Dewey4,810
0.2%
D+44.4
R+10.3
D+36.9
17,378
D
77.2%Roosevelt12,741
22.5%Willkie3,720
0.2%
D+54.7
R+4.7
D+44.7
16,500
D
79.5%Roosevelt11,069
20.1%Landon2,802
0.4%
D+59.4
R+3.1
D+35.1
13,924
D
80.5%Roosevelt10,556
18.1%Hoover2,369
1.4%
D+62.5
D+52.9
D+44.7
13,105
D
54.8%Smith6,717
45.2%Hoover5,542
0.0%
D+9.6
R+51.3
D+27.1
12,259
D
78.2%Davis7,409
17.3%Coolidge1,640
4.5%
D+60.9
D+3.9
D+86.1
9,477
D
78.0%Cox7,142
21.0%Harding1,925
0.9%
D+57.0
R+11.5
D+83.2
9,152
D
83.4%Wilson5,942
14.9%Hughes1,062
1.7%
D+68.5
R+3.3
D+65.3
7,127
D
78.9%Wilson4,935
7.1%Taft442
14.1%
D+71.8
D+21.1
D+52.3
6,256
D
74.6%Bryan4,343
23.9%Taft1,391
1.5%
D+50.7
R+4.1
D+60.3
5,820
D
76.3%Parker4,532
21.6%Roosevelt1,280
2.1%
D+54.8
D+38.1
D+74.4
5,937
D
57.8%Bryan7,553
41.2%McKinley5,377
1.0%
D+16.7
D+3.9
D+24.2
13,065
D
55.9%Bryan9,554
43.1%McKinley7,379
1.0%
D+12.7
R+9.4
D+18.8
17,106
D
57.1%Cleveland9,845
35.1%Harrison6,039
7.8%
D+22.1
—
D+20.4
17,228
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
32.4%46,966
67.5%97,800
144,962
2020
R
36.3%50,751
63.6%88,882
139,773
2018
R
34.6%35,888
63.0%65,308
103,598
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Lynchburg, VA
Year
Total registered
2016
183,294
2018
180,179
2020
190,149
2022
195,019
2024
203,764
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+2,214 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +13,425 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Lynchburg, VA in Lynchburg, VA: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+674
2012
+893
2013
+588
2014
+374
2015
+766
2016
+293
2017
+702
2018
+774
2019
+376
2021
+1,332
2022
+1,270
2023
+1,776
2024
+1,393
2025
+2,214
Lynchburg's electorate leans conservative even by Virginia standards, anchored by a large evangelical institutional presence and a blue-collar manufacturing base that has historically produced wide Republican margins in federal races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 71.8 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 58.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 5.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 37.5 points.
A population of 263,798, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,702 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hattiesburg, MS and Greenville-Anderson-Greer, SC.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lynchburg, VA, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/31340/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Lynchburg, VA, Virginia voted Republican by 37.5 points (R+37.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 146,434 votes cast, 44,721 went Democratic and 99,608 went Republican.
When did Lynchburg, VA, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lynchburg, VA, Virginia voted Democratic was 1948.
How many people live in Lynchburg, VA, Virginia?
Lynchburg, VA, Virginia has a population of 263,798 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lynchburg, VA, Virginia?
Median household income in Lynchburg, VA, Virginia is $67,702 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Lynchburg, VA, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Lynchburg, VA, Virginia from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.
