Lynchburg city, Virginia: Industrial Catholic Metro county. In 2024, voted R+8%. Democratic peak: D+75 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+8MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 79,4972024 5-year
- Median household income
- $57,9472024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 61.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 27.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+75 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Morris County, NJ · similarity 0.97
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Lynchburg cityPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Lynchburg city, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +27.9% |
| 1896 | +0.3% |
| 1900 | +24.0% |
| 1904 | +54.0% |
| 1908 | +33.7% |
| 1912 | +74.8% |
| 1916 | +60.4% |
| 1920 | +54.4% |
| 1924 | +52.5% |
| 1928 | −15.8% |
| 1932 | +49.8% |
| 1936 | +45.6% |
| 1940 | +40.6% |
| 1944 | +28.4% |
| 1948 | +1.6% |
| 1952 | −29.6% |
| 1956 | −32.8% |
| 1960 | −18.8% |
| 1964 | −19.5% |
| 1968 | −30.8% |
| 1972 | −54.3% |
| 1976 | −26.6% |
| 1980 | −30.6% |
| 1984 | −35.5% |
| 1988 | −29.4% |
| 1992 | −11.7% |
| 1996 | −5.0% |
| 2000 | −9.1% |
| 2004 | −10.1% |
| 2008 | −4.0% |
| 2012 | −10.6% |
| 2016 | −8.9% |
| 2020 | +2.6% |
| 2024 | −7.9% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 16,664 | 19,574 | 37,023 | ||
| D | 18,048 | 17,097 | 36,363 | ||
| R | 14,792 | 17,982 | 35,657 | ||
| R | 15,948 | 19,806 | 36,448 | ||
| R | 16,269 | 17,638 | 34,341 | ||
| R | 11,727 | 14,400 | 26,340 | ||
| R | 10,374 | 12,518 | 23,506 | ||
| R | 10,281 | 11,441 | 23,012 | ||
| R | 9,587 | 12,518 | 24,969 | ||
| R | 8,279 | 15,323 | 23,926 | ||
| R | 8,542 | 18,047 | 26,772 | ||
| R | 7,783 | 15,245 | 24,417 | ||
| R | 8,227 | 14,564 | 23,804 | ||
| R | 1,485 | 5,229 | 6,891 | ||
| R | 4,305 | 9,943 | 18,299 | ||
| R | 6,758 | 10,044 | 16,834 | ||
| R | 4,961 | 7,271 | 12,256 | ||
| R | 3,362 | 6,806 | 10,502 | ||
| R | 3,848 | 7,090 | 10,949 | ||
| D | 2,480 | 2,373 | 6,747 | ||
| D | 4,302 | 2,396 | 6,713 | ||
| D | 4,656 | 1,966 | 6,631 | ||
| D | 3,697 | 1,373 | 5,092 | ||
| D | 3,656 | 1,200 | 4,936 | ||
| R | 1,987 | 2,730 | 4,717 | ||
| D | 2,086 | 606 | 2,820 | ||
| D | 2,096 | 609 | 2,731 | ||
| D | 1,465 | 353 | 1,842 | ||
| D | 1,487 | 111 | 1,840 | ||
| D | 962 | 473 | 1,449 | ||
| D | 995 | 292 | 1,301 | ||
| D | 1,081 | 660 | 1,753 | ||
| D | 1,657 | 1,647 | 3,367 | ||
| D | 2,422 | 1,358 | 3,811 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
18.4%
English
13.2%
German
8.9%
Irish
6.2%
Italian
2.8%
Scottish
2.1%
French
1.3%
African American
21.8%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 28.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$57,947
Lynchburg city ranks near the middle of US counties.
Lynchburg city$57,947
Virginia$93,170
United States$80,734
Lynchburg city ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
18.6%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1822.8%
Working age (18–64)18.1%
Seniors (65+)10.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
92.2%
speak English only
Spanish3.0%
Other Indo-European1.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.8%
Other languages1.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 28.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Lynchburg's presidential margin has narrowed notably over recent cycles, reflecting demographic shifts at Liberty University and a growing healthcare and education workforce that has gradually reshaped the electorate in this historically conservative independent city.
Its margins are typically close. The Democratic margin reached seventy-five points in 1912; the Republican margin reached fifty-four points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved ten points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was eight points.
Its demographics sit near national norms: a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $57,947, and a 19% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Morris County and Hunterdon County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lynchburg city, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51680/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in Virginia
More industrial catholic metro counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Lynchburg city, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lynchburg city, Virginia voted Republican by 7.9 points (R+8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 37,023 votes cast, 16,664 went Democratic and 19,574 went Republican.
What is Lynchburg city, Virginia's political typology?
Akashic places Lynchburg city, Virginia in the "Industrial Catholic Metro" typology — Mid-size industrial metros with Catholic ethnic roots — among the most competitive, swing-prone ground in the country. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 15 times, Republican 19 times, and other 0 times.
When did Lynchburg city, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lynchburg city, Virginia voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Lynchburg city, Virginia?
Lynchburg city, Virginia has a population of 79,497 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lynchburg city, Virginia?
Median household income in Lynchburg city, Virginia is $57,947 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Lynchburg city, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lynchburg city, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican. The county's typology — "Industrial Catholic Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.