Lynchburg city, Virginia
Precinct data
Results by precinct
36 precincts · 0 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| First Ward Fifth Precinct51680000105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First Ward First Precinct51680000101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| First Ward Fourth Precinct51680000104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| First Ward Second Precinct51680000102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| First Ward Third Precinct51680000103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Fourth Ward First Precinct51680000401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Fourth Ward Fourth Precinct51680000404 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Fourth Ward Second Precinct51680000402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Fourth Ward Third Precinct51680000403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -101 - W1- P1101 - W1- P1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -102 - W1- P2102 - W1- P2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -103 - W1- P3103 - W1- P3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -104 - W1- P4104 - W1- P4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -105 - W1- P5105 - W1- P5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -201 - W2- P1201 - W2- P1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -202 - W2- P2202 - W2- P2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -203 - W2- P3203 - W2- P3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -204 - W2- P4204 - W2- P4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -301 - W3- P1301 - W3- P1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -302 - W3- P2302 - W3- P2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -303 - W3- P3303 - W3- P3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -304 - W3- P4304 - W3- P4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -305 - W3- P5305 - W3- P5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -401 - W4- P1401 - W4- P1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -402 - W4- P2402 - W4- P2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -403 - W4- P3403 - W4- P3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -404 - W4- P4404 - W4- P4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Second Ward First Precinct51680000201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Second Ward Fourth Precinct51680000204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Second Ward Second Precinct51680000202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Second Ward Third Precinct51680000203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Third Ward Fifth Precinct51680000305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Third Ward First Precinct51680000301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Third Ward Fourth Precinct51680000304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Third Ward Second Precinct51680000302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Third Ward Third Precinct51680000303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +27.9% |
| 1896 | +0.3% |
| 1900 | +24.0% |
| 1904 | +54.0% |
| 1908 | +33.7% |
| 1912 | +74.8% |
| 1916 | +60.4% |
| 1920 | +54.4% |
| 1924 | +52.5% |
| 1928 | −15.8% |
| 1932 | +49.8% |
| 1936 | +45.6% |
| 1940 | +40.6% |
| 1944 | +28.4% |
| 1948 | +1.6% |
| 1952 | −29.6% |
| 1956 | −32.8% |
| 1960 | −18.8% |
| 1964 | −19.5% |
| 1968 | −30.8% |
| 1972 | −54.3% |
| 1976 | −26.6% |
| 1980 | −30.6% |
| 1984 | −35.5% |
| 1988 | −29.4% |
| 1992 | −11.7% |
| 1996 | −5.0% |
| 2000 | −9.1% |
| 2004 | −10.1% |
| 2008 | −4.0% |
| 2012 | −10.6% |
| 2016 | −8.9% |
| 2020 | +2.6% |
| 2024 | −7.9% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 57,048 |
| 2018 | 53,235 |
| 2020 | 55,666 |
| 2022 | 55,964 |
| 2024 | 59,371 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+612 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,786 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $50,647 in average income, against $74,750 for residents who stayed — 32% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+37.1 on average — 29 points more Republican-leaning than Lynchburg city, VA itself (R+7.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Campbell County, VA489R+48.4
- Bedford County, VA418R+50.1
- Amherst County, VA199R+36.4
- Appomattox County, VA62R+50.8
- Pittsylvania County, VA57R+43.1
- Fairfax County, VA39D+34.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Campbell County, VA588
- Bedford County, VA434
- Amherst County, VA236
- Appomattox County, VA80
- Pittsylvania County, VA51
- Roanoke city, VA49
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +674 |
| 2012 | +250 |
| 2013 | +194 |
| 2014 | −397 |
| 2015 | +444 |
| 2016 | −100 |
| 2017 | +158 |
| 2018 | +197 |
| 2019 | +248 |
| 2021 | −201 |
| 2022 | −215 |
| 2023 | −37 |
| 2024 | −41 |
| 2025 | +612 |
Lynchburg's presidential margin has narrowed notably over recent cycles, reflecting demographic shifts at Liberty University and a growing healthcare and education workforce that has gradually reshaped the electorate in this historically conservative independent city.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 74.8 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 54.3 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 10.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 7.9 points.
A population of 79,497, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,947 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Forrest County and Oktibbeha County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Lynchburg city, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51680/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.