- Lead
- 15,142
- Total
- 31,287
- vs nation
- R+46.9
- Turnout
- 71.5%
Campbell County, VA
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 71.5% of 43,617 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 13,175
- Total
- 29,892
- vs nation
- R+48.5
- Turnout
- 69.9%
- Lead
- 12,887
- Total
- 27,535
- vs nation
- R+48.9
- Turnout
- 64.7%
- Lead
- 10,100
- Total
- 25,696
- vs nation
- R+43.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 9,353
- Total
- 25,814
- vs nation
- R+43.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 9,029
- Total
- 22,997
- vs nation
- R+36.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,503
- Total
- 20,327
- vs nation
- R+32.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,485
- Total
- 18,902
- vs nation
- R+27.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+48.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 55,3122024 5-year
- Population density
- 110 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 503 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $66,1652024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 76.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 14.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+68.8 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+68.0 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Autauga County, AL · twin score 87.8
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 71.5%31,171 participants ÷ 43,617 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +23.8 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- +0.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 47.7%–52.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31,171 | 43,617 ± 378 | 71.5% | Audited | C/A | |
| 2022Mid | 20,126 | 43,616 ± 393 | 46.1% | Audited | A/A |
| 30,248 | 43,264 ± 325 | 69.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 22,075 | 43,304 ± 251 | 51.0% | Audited | A/A |
| 27,681 | 42,761 ± 283 | 64.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 25,696 | 42,395 | 60.6% | Derived | — | |
| 25,814 | 40,565 | 63.6% | Derived | — | |
| 22,997 | 38,735 extrapolated | 59.4% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Campbell County only. The complete district District 5 result is shown below for comparison.
Campbell County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
District District 5 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 32 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
32 precincts · 31,287 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -402 - COURT HOUSE402 - COURT HOUSE | 707 | 2,499 | 28 | 3,234 | 21.9% | 77.3% | R+55.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -702 - GLADYS702 - GLADYS | 746 | 1,994 | 28 | 2,768 | 27.0% | 72.0% | R+45.1 |
| Precinct -501 - SPRING HILL501 - SPRING HILL | 606 | 1,869 | 32 | 2,507 | 24.2% | 74.6% | R+50.4 |
| Precinct -602 - CONCORD602 - CONCORD | 580 | 1,882 | 25 | 2,487 | 23.3% | 75.7% | R+52.4 |
| Precinct -101 - BROOKVILLE101 - BROOKVILLE | 611 | 1,697 | 35 | 2,343 | 26.1% | 72.4% | R+46.4 |
| Precinct -202 - BEDFORD SPRINGS202 - BEDFORD SPRINGS | 541 | 1,741 | 42 | 2,324 | 23.3% | 74.9% | R+51.6 |
| Precinct -102 - NEW LONDON102 - NEW LONDON | 510 | 1,745 | 26 | 2,281 | 22.4% | 76.5% | R+54.1 |
| Precinct -201 - WALKER201 - WALKER | 604 | 1,478 | 29 | 2,111 | 28.6% | 70.0% | R+41.4 |
| Precinct -601 - KINGS601 - KINGS | 507 | 1,328 | 17 | 1,852 | 27.4% | 71.7% | R+44.3 |
| Precinct -401 - THREE FORKS401 - THREE FORKS | 348 | 1,431 | 19 | 1,798 | 19.4% | 79.6% | R+60.2 |
| Precinct -502 - YELLOW BRANCH502 - YELLOW BRANCH | 477 | 1,236 | 25 | 1,738 | 27.4% | 71.1% | R+43.7 |
| Precinct -303 - ALTAVISTA303 - ALTAVISTA | 643 | 962 | 19 | 1,624 | 39.6% | 59.2% | R+19.6 |
| Precinct -302 - OTTER RIVER302 - OTTER RIVER | 347 | 1,175 | 17 | 1,539 | 22.5% | 76.3% | R+53.8 |
| Precinct -301 - EVINGTON301 - EVINGTON | 255 | 904 | 14 | 1,173 | 21.7% | 77.1% | R+55.3 |
| Precinct -703 - MORRIS CHURCH703 - MORRIS CHURCH | 252 | 834 | 6 | 1,092 | 23.1% | 76.4% | R+53.3 |
| Precinct -701 - BROOKNEAL701 - BROOKNEAL | 156 | 257 | 3 | 416 | 37.5% | 61.8% | R+24.3 |
| Altavista51031000303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bedford Springs51031000202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Brookneal51031000701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Brookville51031000101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Concord51031000602 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Court House51031000402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Evington51031000301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gladys51031000702 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kings51031000601 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Morris Church51031000703 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| New London51031000102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Otter River51031000302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Spring Hill51031000501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Three Forks51031000401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Walker51031000201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Yellow Branch51031000502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Campbell County, VA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
84.1%
1,987 votes · D+68.4
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 83.7%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
82.5%
11,676 votes · R+68.0
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 74.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
8,091votes
31.3% of the vote · R+36.2
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 8,070 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
23,032votes
73.6% of the vote · R+48.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 21,245 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+81.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+55.6 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +80.4 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+48.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+46.8 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +48.5 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Campbell County, VA. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 38,082 |
| 2018 | 37,948 |
| 2020 | 39,875 |
| 2022 | 41,104 |
| 2024 | 42,617 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+304 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +765 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $54,596 in average income, against $67,091 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+26.5 on average — 22 points more Democratic-leaning than Campbell County, VA itself (R+48.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lynchburg city, VA588R+7.9
- Bedford County, VA287R+50.1
- Pittsylvania County, VA111R+43.1
- Amherst County, VA99R+36.4
- Appomattox County, VA62R+50.8
- Halifax County, VA24R+21.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lynchburg city, VA489
- Bedford County, VA220
- Amherst County, VA89
- Appomattox County, VA87
- Pittsylvania County, VA82
- Halifax County, VA28
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −217 |
| 2012 | −101 |
| 2013 | +180 |
| 2014 | +117 |
| 2015 | −36 |
| 2016 | −85 |
| 2017 | −121 |
| 2018 | −103 |
| 2019 | −185 |
| 2021 | +40 |
| 2022 | +80 |
| 2023 | +508 |
| 2024 | +384 |
| 2025 | +304 |
Campbell County, anchored by Lynchburg's southern suburbs and a largely rural, working-class base, has posted Republican presidential margins above 40 points in each of the last three cycles, making it among the least competitive counties in the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 68.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 68.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.4 points.
A population of 55,312, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,165 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Autauga County and Pulaski County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Campbell County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.