† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupMagnolia, ARArkansasUnited States
American10.6%7.5%5.3%
English8.3%12.3%9.5%
Irish6.0%8.9%9.4%
German5.2%9.2%12.5%
Scottish1.6%1.8%1.3%
French1.1%1.3%1.6%
Scotch-Irish1.1%0.6%—
Italian1.0%1.4%4.8%
African American†32.8%13.5%9.9%
African1.4%0.9%0.5%
Mexican3.2%6.3%11.3%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Magnolia, AR
Arkansas
United States
Median age
34.2
38.8
39.1
Age 18–24
16.0%
9.4%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
17.4%
17.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Magnolia, AR
Arkansas
United States
Median household income
$55,334
$60,773
$84,427
Poverty rate
21.1%
16.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
21.9%
26.0%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Magnolia, AR
Arkansas
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
3.4%
8.3%
22.3%
Spanish
2.2%
6.2%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Magnolia, AR
Arkansas
United States
Catholic
1.3%
5.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
47.7%
38.2%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
17.2%
42.5%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
6.5%
5.5%
5.2%
Black Protestant
25.7%
6.2%
2.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Magnolia, AR
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+48.0%
1896
+59.9%
1900
+40.4%
1904
+43.9%
1908
+32.4%
1912
+46.1%
1916
+48.4%
1920
+40.8%
1924
+57.5%
1928
+47.9%
1932
+92.8%
1936
+93.3%
1940
+87.6%
1944
+68.9%
1948
+52.7%
1952
+26.9%
1956
+9.3%
1960
+1.0%
1964
−7.0%
1968
+6.9%
1972
−45.0%
1976
+4.7%
1980
−8.2%
1984
−27.7%
1988
−21.5%
1992
+10.6%
1996
+15.1%
2000
−10.9%
2004
−16.4%
2008
−24.1%
2012
−23.6%
2016
−26.6%
2020
−31.2%
2024
−36.5%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
31.1%Harris2,466
67.6%Trump5,367
1.3%
R+36.5
R+5.4
R+35.1
7,940
R
32.7%Biden2,814
63.8%Trump5,500
3.5%
R+31.2
R+4.6
R+35.6
8,616
R
36.0%Clinton3,140
62.6%Trump5,456
1.3%
R+26.6
R+3.0
R+28.7
8,713
R
37.6%Obama3,557
61.2%Romney5,790
1.1%
R+23.6
D+0.5
R+27.5
9,455
R
37.2%Obama3,554
61.3%McCain5,861
1.5%
R+24.1
R+7.8
R+31.4
9,558
R
41.5%Kerry4,108
57.8%Bush5,729
0.7%
R+16.4
R+5.5
R+13.9
9,909
R
43.0%Gore4,003
53.9%Bush5,018
3.1%
R+10.9
R+26.0
R+11.4
9,307
D
52.7%Clinton4,730
37.6%Dole3,376
9.8%
D+15.1
D+4.4
D+6.6
8,982
D
48.3%Clinton4,747
37.7%Bush3,702
14.0%
D+10.6
D+32.1
D+5.1
9,819
R
37.8%Dukakis3,706
59.3%Bush5,810
2.9%
R+21.5
D+6.2
R+13.7
9,802
R
35.8%Mondale3,680
63.5%Reagan6,526
0.8%
R+27.7
R+19.5
R+9.5
10,285
R
44.6%Carter4,445
52.8%Reagan5,259
2.6%
R+8.2
R+12.8
D+1.6
9,967
D
52.3%Carter4,708
47.6%Ford4,287
0.1%
D+4.7
D+49.6
D+2.6
9,001
R
27.3%McGovern2,193
72.3%Nixon5,801
0.4%
R+45.0
R+51.9
R+21.8
8,023
O
30.2%Humphrey2,487
23.2%Nixon1,916
46.6%
Wallace +16.4
D+13.9
D+7.6
8,246
R
46.3%Johnson3,485
53.2%Goldwater4,009
0.5%
R+7.0
R+7.9
R+29.5
7,533
D
43.3%Kennedy2,427
42.3%Nixon2,372
14.4%
D+1.0
R+8.3
D+0.8
5,605
D
52.7%Stevenson2,845
43.4%Eisenhower2,342
3.8%
D+9.3
R+17.6
D+24.7
5,394
D
63.4%Stevenson3,359
36.4%Eisenhower1,931
0.2%
D+26.9
R+25.8
D+37.7
5,299
D
60.0%Truman1,788
7.3%Dewey217
32.7%
D+52.7
R+16.2
D+48.2
2,981
D
84.3%Roosevelt2,145
15.5%Dewey394
0.2%
D+68.9
R+18.7
D+61.4
2,543
D
93.7%Roosevelt2,270
6.2%Willkie149
0.1%
D+87.6
R+5.7
D+77.6
2,422
D
96.7%Roosevelt1,847
3.3%Landon64
0.0%
D+93.3
D+0.5
D+69.0
1,911
D
96.2%Roosevelt2,420
3.4%Hoover85
0.4%
D+92.8
D+45.0
D+75.1
2,515
D
73.9%Smith1,752
26.0%Hoover617
0.0%
D+47.9
R+9.6
D+65.4
2,370
D
77.0%Davis1,382
19.5%Coolidge350
3.5%
D+57.5
D+16.7
D+82.7
1,795
D
70.1%Cox2,052
29.3%Harding857
0.6%
D+40.8
R+7.6
D+67.0
2,926
D
74.2%Wilson2,074
25.8%Hughes721
0.0%
D+48.4
D+2.3
D+45.3
2,795
D
66.7%Wilson1,101
20.6%Taft340
12.7%
D+46.1
D+13.8
D+26.6
1,650
D
65.6%Bryan1,613
33.2%Taft817
1.2%
D+32.4
R+11.5
D+41.9
2,460
D
71.2%Parker1,445
27.3%Roosevelt554
1.5%
D+43.9
D+3.4
D+63.6
2,030
D
69.8%Bryan1,440
29.4%McKinley606
0.8%
D+40.4
R+19.5
D+48.0
2,062
D
79.8%Bryan2,159
19.8%McKinley537
0.4%
D+59.9
D+12.0
D+66.0
2,707
D
66.4%Cleveland1,714
18.4%Harrison475
15.3%
D+48.0
—
D+46.3
2,583
Congressional elections · 2 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2022
R
28.9%1,752
69.0%4,177
6,053
2020
R
0.0%0
71.4%5,776
8,091
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Magnolia, AR
Year
Total registered
2018
14,282
2020
13,163
2022
12,267
2024
12,145
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−64 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,964 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Magnolia, AR in Magnolia, AR: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−33
2012
−339
2013
−129
2014
−297
2015
+7
2016
−109
2017
−304
2018
−64
2019
−120
2021
−180
2022
−140
2023
−42
2024
−150
2025
−64
Magnolia anchors Columbia County in the pine-belt corner of southwest Arkansas, a region where Democratic registration lingers from an earlier era but Republican candidates have carried federal races by wide margins for over a decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 93.3 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 45.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 5.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 36.5 points.
A population of 22,349, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,334 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of El Dorado, AR and Jackson, TN.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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Magnolia, AR, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/31620/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Magnolia, AR, Arkansas voted Republican by 36.5 points (R+36.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 7,940 votes cast, 2,466 went Democratic and 5,367 went Republican.
When did Magnolia, AR, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Magnolia, AR, Arkansas voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Magnolia, AR, Arkansas?
Magnolia, AR, Arkansas has a population of 22,349 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Magnolia, AR, Arkansas?
Median household income in Magnolia, AR, Arkansas is $55,334 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Magnolia, AR, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Magnolia, AR, Arkansas from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.
