† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupSan Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CACaliforniaUnited States
German9.1%6.8%12.5%
English8.0%6.3%9.5%
Irish7.8%5.9%9.4%
Italian4.2%3.4%4.8%
American2.5%2.8%5.3%
French1.8%1.3%1.6%
Polish1.6%0.9%2.2%
Scottish1.6%0.9%1.3%
Mexican29.7%32.3%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.8%0.6%1.8%
Guatemalan0.6%1.3%0.5%
Spanish0.5%0.3%—
Spaniard0.4%0.3%—
Salvadoran0.3%2.0%0.7%
Colombian0.3%0.3%0.4%
Cuban0.2%—0.7%
Filipino4.6%3.3%0.9%
Chinese2.0%3.9%1.3%
Asian Indian1.5%2.3%1.4%
Vietnamese1.4%1.7%0.6%
Korean0.7%1.2%0.4%
Japanese0.5%0.6%0.2%
Cambodian0.2%——
Laotian0.2%——
African American†3.2%4.4%9.9%
African0.4%0.3%0.5%
Jamaican0.2%—0.4%
Aztec0.3%0.3%—
Maya0.2%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
California
United States
Median age
37.3
37.9
39.1
Age 18–24
9.8%
9.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
15.4%
15.6%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
California
United States
Median household income
$106,268
$99,122
$84,427
Poverty rate
10.3%
12.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
43.2%
36.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
California
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
37.3%
44.4%
22.3%
Spanish
24.1%
28.4%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
2.1%
3.4%
2.0%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)
1.7%
3.5%
1.1%
Tagalog (incl. Filipino)
2.7%
2.1%
0.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
California
United States
Catholic
22.9%
26.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
9.4%
9.0%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
58.6%
55.2%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−15.4%
1896
+3.6%
1900
−16.2%
1904
−40.2%
1908
−32.1%
1912
+44.8%
1916
−0.4%
1920
−36.5%
1924
−42.6%
1928
−35.2%
1932
+12.1%
1936
+28.4%
1940
+12.3%
1944
+8.5%
1948
−1.6%
1952
−26.3%
1956
−29.3%
1960
−13.1%
1964
−0.6%
1968
−20.2%
1972
−27.5%
1976
−14.1%
1980
−33.5%
1984
−31.9%
1988
−21.8%
1992
+1.5%
1996
−1.5%
2000
−4.0%
2004
−6.1%
2008
+10.2%
2012
+7.6%
2016
+19.6%
2020
+22.8%
2024
+16.8%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
56.9%Harris841,372
40.1%Trump593,270
1.1%Kennedy16,379 +4
D+16.8
R+6.0
D+18.3
1,477,786
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic56.9%841,372
Donald J TrumpRepublican40.1%593,270
Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent1.1%16,379
Jill SteinIndependent1.0%14,198
Chase OliverLibertarian0.5%7,486
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.3%5,063
OtherAll other candidates0.0%18
D
60.2%Biden964,650
37.5%Trump600,094
2.3%
D+22.8
D+3.1
D+18.3
1,602,143
D
56.1%Clinton735,476
36.4%Trump477,766
7.5%
D+19.6
D+12.1
D+17.6
1,311,618
D
52.5%Obama626,957
45.0%Romney536,726
2.5%
D+7.6
R+2.6
D+3.7
1,193,949
D
54.0%Obama666,581
43.8%McCain541,032
2.3%
D+10.2
D+16.3
D+2.9
1,235,503
R
46.3%Kerry526,437
52.5%Bush596,033
1.2%
R+6.1
R+2.2
R+3.7
1,136,351
R
45.7%Gore437,666
49.6%Bush475,736
4.7%
R+4.0
R+2.5
R+4.5
958,634
R
44.1%Clinton389,964
45.6%Dole402,876
10.3%
R+1.5
R+3.0
R+10.0
884,151
D
37.2%Clinton367,397
35.7%Bush352,125
27.1%
D+1.5
D+23.4
R+4.0
986,646
R
38.3%Dukakis333,264
60.2%Bush523,143
1.5%
R+21.8
D+10.0
R+14.1
869,195
R
33.4%Mondale257,029
65.3%Reagan502,344
1.3%
R+31.9
D+1.7
R+13.7
769,267
R
27.3%Carter195,410
60.8%Reagan435,910
11.9%
R+33.5
R+19.4
R+23.8
716,866
R
41.6%Carter263,654
55.7%Ford353,302
2.7%
R+14.1
D+13.3
R+16.2
633,795
R
34.3%McGovern206,455
61.8%Nixon371,627
3.8%
R+27.5
R+7.3
R+4.3
601,137
R
36.1%Humphrey167,669
56.3%Nixon261,540
7.7%
R+20.2
R+19.6
R+19.5
464,863
R
49.7%Johnson211,808
50.3%Goldwater214,445
0.0%
R+0.6
D+12.5
R+23.2
426,286
R
43.3%Kennedy171,259
56.4%Nixon223,056
0.3%
R+13.1
D+16.2
R+13.3
395,421
R
35.1%Stevenson106,716
64.5%Eisenhower195,742
0.4%
R+29.3
R+3.0
R+13.9
303,605
R
36.5%Stevenson101,880
62.9%Eisenhower175,281
0.6%
R+26.3
R+24.7
R+15.6
278,751
R
47.8%Truman98,217
49.4%Dewey101,552
2.8%
R+1.6
R+10.1
R+6.1
205,459
D
53.9%Roosevelt89,959
45.4%Dewey75,746
0.6%
D+8.5
R+3.8
D+1.0
166,764
D
55.6%Roosevelt71,188
43.3%Willkie55,434
1.2%
D+12.3
R+16.1
D+2.4
128,110
D
63.5%Roosevelt64,628
35.0%Landon35,686
1.5%
D+28.4
D+16.3
D+4.2
101,854
D
53.6%Roosevelt45,622
41.5%Hoover35,305
5.0%
D+12.1
D+47.3
R+5.7
85,150
R
32.0%Smith22,749
67.1%Hoover47,769
0.9%
R+35.2
D+7.5
R+17.7
71,151
R
6.3%Davis2,944
49.0%Coolidge22,726
44.7%
R+42.6
R+6.1
R+17.5
46,391
R
27.3%Cox8,478
63.8%Harding19,826
9.0%
R+36.5
R+36.1
R+10.3
31,087
R
46.0%Wilson16,815
46.5%Hughes16,978
7.5%
R+0.4
R+45.2
R+3.6
36,537
O
44.8%Wilson9,731
0.0%Taft0
55.2%
Roosevelt +10.4
D+76.9
D+25.2
21,728
R
25.4%Bryan2,393
57.6%Taft5,412
17.0%
R+32.1
D+8.1
R+22.6
9,403
R
19.3%Parker1,398
59.5%Roosevelt4,303
21.1%
R+40.2
R+24.0
R+20.5
7,230
R
38.7%Bryan2,678
54.9%McKinley3,800
6.4%
R+16.2
R+19.8
R+8.7
6,921
D
50.4%Bryan3,908
46.9%McKinley3,631
2.7%
D+3.6
D+19.0
D+9.7
7,748
R
30.3%Cleveland2,334
45.7%Harrison3,525
24.0%
R+15.4
—
R+17.1
7,712
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
56.7%817,805
43.3%625,129
1,442,934
2022
D
57.6%586,284
42.4%432,027
1,018,311
2018
D
100.0%995,192
0.0%0
995,192
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024D+13.5
vs
Presidential vote · 2024D+16.8
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 3.3 points more Republican.
1,938,487 registered voters · 2024 · up from 1,909,948 in 2022
Domestic migration in San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA in San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+99
2012
−334
2013
−817
2014
+987
2015
−8,380
2016
−11,285
2017
−15,748
2018
−10,815
2019
−19,731
2021
−40,718
2022
−16,848
2023
−29,397
2024
−22,231
2025
−23,876
San Diego's large active-duty and veteran population coexists with a majority-minority electorate shaped by Latino growth along the South Bay corridor, producing a metro that swings on suburban turnout in mid-cycle elections.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 44.8 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 42.6 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 6.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.8 points.
A population of 3,288,774, a 42% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $106,268 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA and Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/41740/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
How did San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA, California voted Democratic by 16.8 points (D+16.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,477,786 votes cast, 841,372 went Democratic and 593,270 went Republican.
When did San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA, California last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA, California voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA, California?
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA, California has a population of 3,288,774 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA, California?
Median household income in San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA, California is $106,268 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA, California?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA, California from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.
