San Diego County, California: New American county. In 2024, voted D+17%. Democratic peak: D+45 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+17MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- New AmericanAkashic typology
- Population
- 3,288,7742024 5-year
- Median household income
- $106,2682024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 48.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 34.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+45 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Ventura County, CA · similarity 0.99
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | −8.6% |
| 1880 | −15.1% |
| 1884 | −16.3% |
| 1888 | −18.0% |
| 1892 | −15.4% |
| 1896 | +3.6% |
| 1900 | −16.2% |
| 1904 | −40.2% |
| 1908 | −32.1% |
| 1912 | +44.8% |
| 1916 | −0.4% |
| 1920 | −36.5% |
| 1924 | −42.6% |
| 1928 | −35.2% |
| 1932 | +12.1% |
| 1936 | +28.4% |
| 1940 | +12.3% |
| 1944 | +8.5% |
| 1948 | −1.6% |
| 1952 | −26.3% |
| 1956 | −29.3% |
| 1960 | −13.1% |
| 1964 | −0.6% |
| 1968 | −20.2% |
| 1972 | −27.5% |
| 1976 | −14.1% |
| 1980 | −33.5% |
| 1984 | −31.9% |
| 1988 | −21.8% |
| 1992 | +1.5% |
| 1996 | −1.5% |
| 2000 | −4.0% |
| 2004 | −6.1% |
| 2008 | +10.2% |
| 2012 | +7.6% |
| 2016 | +19.6% |
| 2020 | +22.8% |
| 2024 | +16.8% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 841,372 | 593,270 | 1,478,028 | ||
| D | 964,650 | 600,094 | 1,602,143 | ||
| D | 735,476 | 477,766 | 1,311,618 | ||
| D | 626,957 | 536,726 | 1,193,949 | ||
| D | 666,581 | 541,032 | 1,235,503 | ||
| R | 526,437 | 596,033 | 1,136,351 | ||
| R | 437,666 | 475,736 | 958,634 | ||
| R | 389,964 | 402,876 | 884,151 | ||
| D | 367,397 | 352,125 | 986,646 | ||
| R | 333,264 | 523,143 | 869,195 | ||
| R | 257,029 | 502,344 | 769,267 | ||
| R | 195,410 | 435,910 | 716,866 | ||
| R | 263,654 | 353,302 | 633,795 | ||
| R | 206,455 | 371,627 | 601,137 | ||
| R | 167,669 | 261,540 | 464,863 | ||
| R | 211,808 | 214,445 | 426,286 | ||
| R | 171,259 | 223,056 | 395,421 | ||
| R | 106,716 | 195,742 | 303,605 | ||
| R | 101,880 | 175,281 | 278,751 | ||
| R | 98,217 | 101,552 | 205,459 | ||
| D | 89,959 | 75,746 | 166,764 | ||
| D | 71,188 | 55,434 | 128,110 | ||
| D | 64,628 | 35,686 | 101,854 | ||
| D | 45,622 | 35,305 | 85,150 | ||
| R | 22,749 | 47,769 | 71,151 | ||
| R | 2,944 | 22,726 | 46,391 | ||
| R | 8,478 | 19,826 | 31,087 | ||
| R | 16,815 | 16,978 | 36,537 | ||
| O | 9,731 | 0 | 21,728 | ||
| R | 2,393 | 5,412 | 9,403 | ||
| R | 1,398 | 4,303 | 7,230 | ||
| R | 2,678 | 3,800 | 6,921 | ||
| D | 3,908 | 3,631 | 7,748 | ||
| R | 2,334 | 3,525 | 7,712 | ||
| R | 3,189 | 4,661 | 8,194 | ||
| R | 800 | 1,120 | 1,965 | ||
| R | 546 | 743 | 1,308 | ||
| R | 668 | 794 | 1,462 |
Demographics
San Diego County's political center of gravity has shifted steadily leftward over two decades, driven by a growing Latino population and college-educated suburban voters in communities like Chula Vista and Carlsbad. The 2024 margin of D+16.8 marks its widest Democratic spread yet.
San Diego County has leaned Democratic in recent presidential elections, reaching a Democratic margin of forty-five points in 1912. Between 2020 and 2024 it moved six points toward the Republican candidate — part of the sharpest rightward shift recorded among any group of places in the country.
Its demographics describe the shift: a 48% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $106,268, and a population of 3,288,774. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Ventura County and Arapahoe County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
San Diego County, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/06073/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
