† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupWarrensburg, MOMissouriUnited States
German19.2%21.3%12.5%
English12.2%11.9%9.5%
Irish11.0%11.8%9.4%
American7.1%6.8%5.3%
Italian2.7%3.2%4.8%
Scottish2.2%1.8%1.3%
Scotch-Irish1.5%——
French1.4%2.2%1.6%
Mexican3.0%3.2%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.5%0.4%1.8%
Spanish0.4%——
Colombian0.3%—0.4%
Guatemalan0.2%0.2%0.5%
Salvadoran0.2%—0.7%
African American†3.5%10.0%9.9%
Kenyan0.4%——
African0.3%0.3%0.5%
Asian Indian0.5%0.6%1.4%
Filipino0.3%0.2%0.9%
Korean0.3%—0.4%
Japanese0.2%—0.2%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Warrensburg, MO
Missouri
United States
Median age
31.5
39.2
39.1
Age 18–24
18.7%
9.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
13.1%
17.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Warrensburg, MO
Missouri
United States
Median household income
$67,272
$70,702
$84,427
Poverty rate
11.8%
12.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
29.1%
32.4%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Warrensburg, MO
Missouri
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
4.9%
6.7%
22.3%
Spanish
2.0%
2.9%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Warrensburg, MO
Missouri
United States
Catholic
3.3%
12.5%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
20.0%
24.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
70.7%
51.7%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Warrensburg, MO
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+6.8%
1896
+13.6%
1900
+8.2%
1904
+4.5%
1908
+7.4%
1912
+25.9%
1916
+10.9%
1920
−2.3%
1924
+2.5%
1928
−23.9%
1932
+22.5%
1936
+4.1%
1940
−8.6%
1944
−14.7%
1948
−0.2%
1952
−23.8%
1956
−18.6%
1960
−19.3%
1964
+19.2%
1968
−14.5%
1972
−40.7%
1976
+0.3%
1980
−8.0%
1984
−33.0%
1988
−16.6%
1992
+3.4%
1996
−0.4%
2000
−14.4%
2004
−22.1%
2008
−12.2%
2012
−24.2%
2016
−36.5%
2020
−36.7%
2024
−39.6%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
29.5%Harris6,960
69.1%Trump16,298
0.9%Oliver222 +4
R+39.6
R+2.8
R+38.1
23,602
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican69.1%16,298
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic29.5%6,960
Chase OliverLibertarian0.9%222
Jill SteinIndependent0.5%111
Peter SonskiIndependent0.0%7
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.0%3
Future Madam PotusIndependent0.0%1
R
30.1%Biden6,974
66.8%Trump15,489
3.1%
R+36.7
R+0.3
R+41.2
23,172
R
27.8%Clinton5,930
64.2%Trump13,719
8.0%
R+36.5
R+12.2
R+38.6
21,362
R
36.5%Obama7,667
60.7%Romney12,763
2.8%
R+24.2
R+12.0
R+28.1
21,021
R
42.9%Obama9,480
55.2%McCain12,183
1.9%
R+12.2
D+9.8
R+19.5
22,080
R
38.5%Kerry7,790
60.6%Bush12,257
0.9%
R+22.1
R+7.7
R+19.6
20,236
R
41.3%Gore6,926
55.6%Bush9,339
3.1%
R+14.4
R+14.0
R+14.9
16,787
R
42.7%Clinton6,220
43.1%Dole6,276
14.3%
R+0.4
R+3.8
R+8.9
14,574
D
36.5%Clinton5,546
33.1%Bush5,032
30.4%
D+3.4
D+19.9
R+2.2
15,203
R
41.6%Dukakis5,373
58.1%Bush7,512
0.3%
R+16.6
D+16.4
R+8.8
12,921
R
33.5%Mondale4,238
66.5%Reagan8,413
0.0%
R+33.0
R+25.0
R+14.8
12,651
R
43.2%Carter5,441
51.2%Reagan6,449
5.5%
R+8.0
R+8.3
D+1.7
12,585
D
49.5%Carter5,551
49.1%Ford5,513
1.4%
D+0.3
D+41.1
R+1.7
11,220
R
29.6%McGovern3,044
70.4%Nixon7,228
0.0%
R+40.7
R+26.3
R+17.6
10,272
R
37.3%Humphrey3,484
51.8%Nixon4,834
10.9%
R+14.5
R+33.6
R+13.8
9,336
D
59.6%Johnson6,412
40.4%Goldwater4,348
0.0%
D+19.2
D+38.5
R+3.4
10,760
R
40.3%Kennedy4,712
59.7%Nixon6,970
0.0%
R+19.3
R+0.7
R+19.5
11,682
R
40.7%Stevenson4,530
59.3%Eisenhower6,599
0.0%
R+18.6
D+5.3
R+3.2
11,129
R
38.0%Stevenson4,294
61.8%Eisenhower6,990
0.2%
R+23.8
R+23.7
R+13.1
11,307
R
49.9%Truman4,888
50.0%Dewey4,903
0.1%
R+0.2
D+14.6
R+4.6
9,805
R
42.6%Roosevelt4,419
57.3%Dewey5,949
0.1%
R+14.7
R+6.1
R+22.2
10,378
R
45.6%Roosevelt5,441
54.2%Willkie6,468
0.2%
R+8.6
R+12.7
R+18.6
11,928
D
52.0%Roosevelt6,294
47.9%Landon5,797
0.2%
D+4.1
R+18.4
R+20.2
12,113
D
60.9%Roosevelt6,481
38.4%Hoover4,088
0.7%
D+22.5
D+46.4
D+4.7
10,645
R
38.0%Smith4,316
61.9%Hoover7,032
0.2%
R+23.9
R+26.4
R+6.4
11,367
D
50.2%Davis5,526
47.7%Coolidge5,248
2.1%
D+2.5
D+4.8
D+27.7
11,006
R
48.4%Cox5,444
50.7%Harding5,700
1.0%
R+2.3
R+13.1
D+23.9
11,252
D
54.7%Wilson3,701
43.8%Hughes2,966
1.5%
D+10.9
R+15.0
D+7.7
6,767
D
52.9%Wilson3,468
27.0%Taft1,772
20.1%
D+25.9
D+18.5
D+6.3
6,559
D
52.8%Bryan3,483
45.4%Taft2,997
1.7%
D+7.4
D+2.9
D+16.9
6,595
D
51.1%Parker3,277
46.6%Roosevelt2,989
2.4%
D+4.5
R+3.7
D+24.2
6,419
D
53.0%Bryan3,612
44.8%McKinley3,051
2.2%
D+8.2
R+5.4
D+15.8
6,816
D
56.5%Bryan4,240
42.9%McKinley3,219
0.6%
D+13.6
D+6.8
D+19.7
7,507
D
48.1%Cleveland3,109
41.3%Harrison2,667
10.6%
D+6.8
—
D+5.2
6,461
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
31.9%7,462
65.2%15,269
23,401
2022
R
32.8%5,134
63.9%10,019
15,672
2018
R
36.5%6,476
59.0%10,465
17,724
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Warrensburg, MO
Year
Total registered
2016
32,462
2018
32,048
2020
33,100
2022
33,191
2024
35,427
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+415 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,537 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Warrensburg, MO in Warrensburg, MO: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+250
2012
+205
2013
−432
2014
−646
2015
−1,020
2016
−363
2017
−76
2018
−422
2019
+94
2021
−34
2022
+18
2023
+184
2024
+290
2025
+415
Warrensburg anchors Johnson County, where the University of Central Missouri and nearby Whiteman Air Force Base produce an unusually mixed demographic base for a rural Missouri market, tempering the region's otherwise lopsided Republican margins.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.9 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 40.7 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.6 points.
A population of 54,732, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,272 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kirksville, MO and Fort Leonard Wood, MO.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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Warrensburg, MO, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/47660/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Warrensburg, MO, Missouri voted Republican by 39.6 points (R+39.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 23,602 votes cast, 6,960 went Democratic and 16,298 went Republican.
When did Warrensburg, MO, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Warrensburg, MO, Missouri voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Warrensburg, MO, Missouri?
Warrensburg, MO, Missouri has a population of 54,732 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Warrensburg, MO, Missouri?
Median household income in Warrensburg, MO, Missouri is $67,272 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Warrensburg, MO, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Warrensburg, MO, Missouri from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 21 went Republican.
