Warrensburg, MO · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain, and this place is a single county: Johnson County, Missouri. The figures below are that county’s, which is the same territory — not a larger unit standing in for it.
Presidential nominating contests in Warrensburg, MO, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Warrensburg, MO
Year
Total registered
2016
32,462
2018
32,048
2020
33,100
2022
33,191
2024
35,427
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+415 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,537 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Warrensburg, MO in Warrensburg, MO: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+250
2012
+205
2013
−432
2014
−646
2015
−1,020
2016
−363
2017
−76
2018
−422
2019
+94
2021
−34
2022
+18
2023
+184
2024
+290
2025
+415
Warrensburg anchors Johnson County, where the University of Central Missouri and nearby Whiteman Air Force Base produce an unusually mixed demographic base for a rural Missouri market, tempering the region's otherwise lopsided Republican margins.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.9 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 40.7 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.6 points.
A population of 54,732, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,272 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kirksville, MO and Fort Leonard Wood, MO.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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Warrensburg, MO, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/47660/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Warrensburg, MO, Missouri voted Republican by 39.6 points (R+39.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 23,602 votes cast, 6,960 went Democratic and 16,298 went Republican.
When did Warrensburg, MO, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Warrensburg, MO, Missouri voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Warrensburg, MO, Missouri?
Warrensburg, MO, Missouri has a population of 54,732 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Warrensburg, MO, Missouri?
Median household income in Warrensburg, MO, Missouri is $67,272 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Warrensburg, MO, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Warrensburg, MO, Missouri from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 21 went Republican.
