† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupWarren, PAPennsylvaniaUnited States
German22.7%21.6%12.5%
Irish13.4%14.8%9.4%
English13.4%8.3%9.5%
Swedish8.0%——
Italian7.6%10.6%4.8%
American6.8%4.4%5.3%
Polish3.8%5.4%2.2%
French2.3%—1.6%
Mexican0.4%1.4%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.2%3.7%1.8%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Warren, PA
Pennsylvania
United States
Median age
47.1
41.2
39.1
Age 18–24
6.6%
8.9%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
24.9%
19.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Warren, PA
Pennsylvania
United States
Median household income
$60,480
$77,971
$84,427
Poverty rate
10.8%
11.7%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
19.9%
35.2%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Warren, PA
Pennsylvania
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
2.9%
12.4%
22.3%
Spanish
1.1%
5.6%
13.6%
German or other West Germanic
1.0%
0.9%
0.5%
Religious landscape
Measure
Warren, PA
Pennsylvania
United States
Catholic
8.1%
21.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
11.2%
9.3%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
62.3%
53.1%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
16.1%
10.3%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Warren, PA
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−14.9%
1896
−21.8%
1900
−36.0%
1904
−50.9%
1908
−34.8%
1912
+1.7%
1916
−11.0%
1920
−46.9%
1924
−52.9%
1928
−61.4%
1932
−19.0%
1936
−5.0%
1940
−30.6%
1944
−34.9%
1948
−33.4%
1952
−44.0%
1956
−46.1%
1960
−28.0%
1964
+27.8%
1968
−15.8%
1972
−33.9%
1976
−6.8%
1980
−22.6%
1984
−26.7%
1988
−13.8%
1992
+2.1%
1996
+1.4%
2000
−10.0%
2004
−15.3%
2008
−6.2%
2012
−17.4%
2016
−39.4%
2020
−39.6%
2024
−39.2%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
30.0%Harris6,212
69.2%Trump14,345
0.5%Oliver113 +1
R+39.2
D+0.3
R+37.8
20,723
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican69.2%14,345
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic30.0%6,212
Chase OliverLibertarian0.5%113
Jill SteinIndependent0.3%53
R
29.4%Biden6,066
68.9%Trump14,237
1.7%
R+39.6
R+0.2
R+44.0
20,650
R
27.7%Clinton5,145
67.1%Trump12,477
5.3%
R+39.4
R+22.0
R+41.5
18,606
R
40.4%Obama6,995
57.9%Romney10,010
1.7%
R+17.4
R+11.2
R+21.3
17,299
R
46.1%Obama8,537
52.3%McCain9,685
1.6%
R+6.2
D+9.1
R+13.5
18,517
R
41.7%Kerry8,044
57.1%Bush10,999
1.2%
R+15.3
R+5.3
R+12.9
19,273
R
42.9%Gore7,537
52.9%Bush9,290
4.1%
R+10.0
R+11.4
R+10.5
17,552
D
42.7%Clinton7,291
41.3%Dole7,056
15.9%
D+1.4
R+0.7
R+7.1
17,067
D
37.8%Clinton6,972
35.7%Bush6,585
26.4%
D+2.1
D+15.9
R+3.5
18,426
R
42.5%Dukakis6,790
56.2%Bush8,991
1.3%
R+13.8
D+12.9
R+6.0
15,995
R
36.3%Mondale6,244
62.9%Reagan10,838
0.8%
R+26.7
R+4.1
R+8.5
17,221
R
34.8%Carter5,560
57.4%Reagan9,165
7.8%
R+22.6
R+15.8
R+12.8
15,974
R
45.8%Carter7,412
52.6%Ford8,508
1.5%
R+6.8
D+27.1
R+8.8
16,170
R
32.2%McGovern4,877
66.1%Nixon10,018
1.8%
R+33.9
R+18.1
R+10.7
15,167
R
39.9%Humphrey6,368
55.7%Nixon8,889
4.5%
R+15.8
R+43.6
R+15.1
15,968
D
63.6%Johnson10,598
35.8%Goldwater5,965
0.6%
D+27.8
D+55.8
D+5.2
16,657
R
35.9%Kennedy6,525
63.8%Nixon11,611
0.3%
R+28.0
D+18.2
R+28.1
18,195
R
26.8%Stevenson4,463
72.9%Eisenhower12,145
0.3%
R+46.1
R+2.1
R+30.7
16,651
R
27.5%Stevenson4,442
71.5%Eisenhower11,555
0.9%
R+44.0
R+10.7
R+33.3
16,150
R
32.0%Truman4,103
65.4%Dewey8,378
2.6%
R+33.4
D+1.5
R+37.8
12,814
R
32.1%Roosevelt4,440
67.0%Dewey9,276
1.0%
R+34.9
R+4.3
R+42.4
13,853
R
34.4%Roosevelt5,825
65.0%Willkie11,016
0.6%
R+30.6
R+25.6
R+40.6
16,942
R
45.3%Roosevelt8,495
50.3%Landon9,440
4.4%
R+5.0
D+14.0
R+29.3
18,767
R
38.2%Roosevelt5,254
57.2%Hoover7,872
4.6%
R+19.0
D+42.3
R+36.8
13,753
R
18.8%Smith2,835
80.2%Hoover12,077
1.0%
R+61.4
R+8.5
R+43.9
15,056
R
18.0%Davis2,161
70.9%Coolidge8,502
11.0%
R+52.9
R+6.0
R+27.7
11,986
R
18.2%Cox2,180
65.1%Harding7,791
16.7%
R+46.9
R+35.9
R+20.7
11,974
R
36.8%Wilson2,628
47.8%Hughes3,413
15.4%
R+11.0
R+12.7
R+14.1
7,141
O
23.2%Wilson1,686
21.5%Taft1,564
55.2%
Roosevelt +32.0
D+36.4
R+17.9
7,258
R
27.3%Bryan2,054
62.0%Taft4,672
10.7%
R+34.8
D+16.1
R+25.2
7,532
R
17.7%Parker1,222
68.6%Roosevelt4,737
13.7%
R+50.9
R+14.9
R+31.2
6,908
R
28.9%Bryan2,500
64.9%McKinley5,609
6.2%
R+36.0
R+14.2
R+28.4
8,645
R
36.9%Bryan3,048
58.7%McKinley4,846
4.4%
R+21.8
R+6.9
R+15.7
8,255
R
37.0%Cleveland2,735
51.9%Harrison3,838
11.1%
R+14.9
—
R+16.6
7,394
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
31.0%6,415
66.1%13,655
20,667
2022
R
33.6%5,420
63.1%10,175
16,120
2018
R
37.5%5,390
60.8%8,734
14,369
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+35.0
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+39.2
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 4.3 points more Democratic.
Domestic migration in Warren, PA in Warren, PA: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−206
2012
−130
2013
−181
2014
−197
2015
−237
2016
−234
2017
−212
2018
−43
2019
−250
2021
−122
2022
−2
2023
+24
2024
−105
2025
−48
Warren County anchors a small metro that has trended toward Republican presidential margins since 2008, reflecting a broader realignment among working-class white voters across Pennsylvania's northwest corridor.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 61.4 points in 1928. The 2024 margin was 39.2 points.
A population of 37,920, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,480 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Meadville, PA and DuBois, PA.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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Warren, PA, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/47620/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Warren, PA, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 39.2 points (R+39.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 20,723 votes cast, 6,212 went Democratic and 14,345 went Republican.
When did Warren, PA, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Warren, PA, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Warren, PA, Pennsylvania?
Warren, PA, Pennsylvania has a population of 37,920 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Warren, PA, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Warren, PA, Pennsylvania is $60,480 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Warren, PA, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Warren, PA, Pennsylvania from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 30 went Republican.
