congressional districtFlorida 12th Congressional District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+6.2
2008D+4.1
2012D+2.7
2016R+4.2
2020R+5.8
2024R+15.3
net swing · 2004→2024R+9.1R+6.2 → R+15.3
vs. U.S. · 2024R+13.9R+15.3 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 65.7% of 585,322 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
159,994
218,930
5,523
384,447
585,322
65.7%
2020
185,009
208,312
5,366
398,687
534,620†
74.6%
2016
153,719
168,017
15,450
337,186
483,259†
69.8%
2012
151,546
143,512
4,906
299,964
453,002†
66.2%
2008
151,628
139,445
3,199
294,272
433,076†
67.9%
2004
127,844
144,936
3,143
275,923
413,150†
66.8%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupFL-12FloridaUnited States
American11.4%7.7%5.3%
German11.4%8.9%12.5%
Irish9.8%8.2%9.4%
English9.2%8.2%9.5%
Italian7.6%5.6%4.8%
Polish2.9%2.1%2.2%
French1.9%1.7%1.6%
Scottish1.7%1.3%1.3%
Puerto Rican8.0%5.6%1.8%
Cuban5.1%7.3%0.7%
Mexican4.2%3.3%11.3%
Colombian1.8%2.1%0.4%
Dominican1.6%1.3%0.7%
Venezuelan0.9%1.6%—
Spaniard0.7%——
Ecuadorian0.2%——
African American†7.3%9.5%9.9%
Jamaican0.7%1.5%0.4%
Haitian0.6%2.3%0.3%
African0.4%0.5%0.5%
West Indian0.3%——
Asian Indian1.7%0.9%1.4%
Filipino0.6%0.5%0.9%
Vietnamese0.6%0.4%0.6%
Chinese0.5%0.5%1.3%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
FL-12
Florida
United States
Median age
46.8
43.1
39.1
Age 18–24
7.9%
8.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
19.1%
21.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
FL-12
Florida
United States
Median household income
$65,279
$74,568
$84,427
Poverty rate
12.5%
12.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
32.8%
34.2%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
FL-12
Florida
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
23.7%
30.7%
22.3%
Spanish
16.4%
22.6%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
2.1%
1.9%
2.0%
Religious landscape
Measure
FL-12
Florida
United States
Catholic
—
19.0%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
18.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
53.1%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Florida 12th Congressional District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−6.2%
2008
+4.1%
2012
+2.7%
2016
−4.2%
2020
−5.8%
2024
−15.3%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Congressional elections · 25 House races · 17 Senate races
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
District
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
12
R
29.0%124,949
71.0%306,487
431,436
2022
12
R
29.6%95,390
70.4%226,601
321,995
2020
12
R
37.1%168,194
62.9%284,941
453,135
2018
12
R
39.7%132,844
58.1%194,564
334,918
2016
12
R
31.4%116,110
68.6%253,559
369,669
2014
12
R
0.0%0
100.0%1
1
2012
12
R
32.9%108,770
63.5%209,604
330,167
2010
12
R
41.1%87,769
48.1%102,704
213,330
2008
12
R
42.5%137,465
57.5%185,698
323,163
2006
12
R
0.0%0
69.1%124,452
180,064
2004
12
R
35.1%96,965
64.9%179,204
276,169
2002
12
R
0.0%0
100.0%1
1
2000
12
R
43.0%94,395
57.0%125,224
219,625
1998
12
R
0.0%0
100.0%1
1
1996
12
R
38.4%76,513
61.6%122,584
199,097
1994
12
R
35.0%57,210
65.0%106,140
163,350
1992
12
R
47.9%92,346
52.1%100,484
192,830
1990
12
R
0.0%0
100.0%1
1
1988
12
R
0.0%0
100.0%1
1
1986
12
R
0.0%0
99.4%150,244
151,180
1984
12
R
0.0%0
100.0%1
1
1982
12
R
47.4%73,913
52.6%81,893
155,806
1980
12
R
45.5%107,164
54.5%128,561
235,725
1978
12
D
61.6%107,037
38.4%66,610
173,647
1976
12
R
46.1%91,749
53.9%107,268
199,076
U.S. Senate
The statewide Senate race, counted in this district — aggregated from the precinct-level returns that fall inside its boundaries (not a statewide figure).
Votes · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL) precinct returns (CC BY 4.0); aggregated to the district over VEST precinct geometry (CC BY-NC 4.0).
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
41.9%152,168
55.9%203,223
363,408
2022
R
41.3%3,201,522
57.7%4,474,847
7,758,014
2018
R
49.9%4,089,472
50.1%4,099,505
8,188,977
2016
R
44.3%4,122,088
52.0%4,835,191
9,301,716
2012
D
55.2%4,523,451
42.2%3,458,267
8,189,905
2010
R
20.2%1,092,936
48.9%2,645,743
5,411,016
2006
D
60.3%2,890,548
38.1%1,826,127
4,793,440
2004
R
48.3%3,590,201
49.4%3,672,864
7,429,707
2000
D
51.0%2,989,487
46.2%2,705,348
5,856,643
1998
D
62.5%2,436,407
37.5%1,463,755
3,900,162
1994
R
29.5%1,210,577
70.5%2,895,200
4,105,777
1992
D
65.4%3,245,565
34.6%1,716,505
4,962,070
1988
R
49.6%2,016,553
50.4%2,051,071
4,067,624
1986
D
54.7%1,877,543
45.3%1,552,376
3,429,919
1982
D
61.7%1,637,667
38.3%1,015,330
2,652,997
1980
R
48.3%1,705,409
51.7%1,822,460
3,527,869
1976
D
63.0%1,799,518
37.0%1,057,886
2,857,534
2024 U.S. Senate — every candidate counted in this district
Rick Scott · Republican55.9%203,223
Debbie Mucarsel-Powell · Democrat41.9%152,168
Ben Everidge · No Party Affiliation0.8%2,811
Tuan Tq Nguyen · No Party Affiliation0.7%2,524
Feena Bonoan · Libertarian0.7%2,367
Write-In0.1%315
Florida's 12th congressional district, as drawn for the 2026 elections, takes in parts of Pasco and Hillsborough counties. About 768,300 people live within its 2026 boundaries, with a median age of 46.8.
Measured on those boundaries, the district voted Democratic for president early in the decade and Republican in 2024. The margin was D+2.7 in 2012, R+4.2 in 2016, R+5.8 in 2020, and R+15.3 in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 4.1 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 15.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 9.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 15.3 points.
A population of 768,276, a 56% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,279 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 6 and Congressional District 21.
Akashic
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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Florida 12th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/1212/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Florida 12th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Florida 12th Congressional District voted Republican by 15.3 points (R+15.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 384,447 votes cast, 159,994 went Democratic and 218,930 went Republican.
When did Florida 12th Congressional District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Florida 12th Congressional District voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Florida 12th Congressional District?
Florida 12th Congressional District has a population of 768,276 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Florida 12th Congressional District?
Median household income in Florida 12th Congressional District is $65,279 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Florida 12th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Florida 12th Congressional District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 4 went Republican.
