Hillsborough County, Florida: New American county. In 2024, voted R+3%. Democratic peak: D+96 in 1892.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+3MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- New AmericanAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,522,7482024 5-year
- Median household income
- $79,5402024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 50.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 16.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 30.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+96 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- San Bernardino County, CA · similarity 0.95
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | +56.1% |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +95.6% |
| 1896 | +52.8% |
| 1900 | +58.8% |
| 1904 | +46.3% |
| 1908 | +63.2% |
| 1912 | +63.6% |
| 1916 | +59.5% |
| 1920 | +25.9% |
| 1924 | +40.2% |
| 1928 | −7.7% |
| 1932 | +60.5% |
| 1936 | +58.1% |
| 1940 | +59.5% |
| 1944 | +50.5% |
| 1948 | +12.9% |
| 1952 | −4.4% |
| 1956 | −4.1% |
| 1960 | +12.0% |
| 1964 | +17.0% |
| 1968 | −2.5% |
| 1972 | −40.4% |
| 1976 | +9.2% |
| 1980 | −8.7% |
| 1984 | −29.4% |
| 1988 | −20.4% |
| 1992 | −4.9% |
| 1996 | +2.5% |
| 2000 | −3.1% |
| 2004 | −6.8% |
| 2008 | +7.1% |
| 2012 | +6.7% |
| 2016 | +6.9% |
| 2020 | +6.9% |
| 2024 | −3.1% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 321,348 | 341,963 | 671,827 | ||
| D | 376,367 | 327,398 | 712,063 | ||
| D | 307,896 | 266,870 | 597,660 | ||
| D | 286,467 | 250,186 | 542,102 | ||
| D | 272,963 | 236,355 | 513,312 | ||
| R | 214,132 | 245,576 | 463,222 | ||
| R | 169,576 | 180,794 | 360,354 | ||
| D | 144,266 | 136,656 | 308,271 | ||
| R | 115,282 | 130,643 | 310,502 | ||
| R | 99,014 | 150,151 | 250,716 | ||
| R | 86,230 | 157,926 | 244,208 | ||
| R | 88,271 | 106,160 | 205,314 | ||
| D | 94,589 | 78,504 | 175,145 | ||
| R | 45,305 | 106,956 | 152,510 | ||
| R | 45,848 | 49,441 | 142,202 | ||
| D | 71,289 | 50,616 | 121,905 | ||
| D | 62,240 | 48,887 | 111,127 | ||
| R | 38,610 | 41,889 | 80,499 | ||
| R | 33,252 | 36,316 | 69,568 | ||
| D | 18,854 | 13,529 | 41,286 | ||
| D | 31,146 | 10,252 | 41,398 | ||
| D | 30,738 | 7,805 | 38,543 | ||
| D | 20,202 | 5,361 | 25,563 | ||
| D | 19,143 | 4,711 | 23,854 | ||
| R | 9,993 | 11,703 | 22,088 | ||
| D | 4,470 | 1,585 | 7,180 | ||
| D | 6,976 | 3,772 | 12,349 | ||
| D | 4,627 | 691 | 6,615 | ||
| D | 2,641 | 159 | 3,905 | ||
| D | 2,703 | 367 | 3,694 | ||
| D | 1,976 | 516 | 3,151 | ||
| D | 2,257 | 349 | 3,245 | ||
| D | 2,115 | 584 | 2,899 | ||
| D | 2,718 | 0 | 2,843 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| D | 1,257 | 353 | 1,610 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Hillsborough County, anchored by Tampa, had trended Democratic for a decade before returning an R+3.1 margin in 2024—a shift driven in part by movement among Hispanic voters in the county's growing suburban and urban precincts.
Hillsborough County has leaned Republican in recent presidential elections, reaching a Democratic margin of ninety-six points in 1892. Between 2020 and 2024 it moved ten points toward the Republican candidate — part of the sharpest rightward shift recorded among any group of places in the country.
Its demographics describe the shift: a 51% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $79,540, and a population of 1,522,748. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of San Bernardino County and Will County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Hillsborough County, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/12057/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
