Pasco County, Florida: Florida Surge county. In 2024, voted R+25%. Democratic peak: D+83 in 1892.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+25MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Florida SurgeAkashic typology
- Population
- 611,4442024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,4922024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 71.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 18.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+83 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Hernando County, FL · similarity 0.98
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Pasco CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Pasco County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +83.2% |
| 1896 | +73.3% |
| 1900 | +79.2% |
| 1904 | +62.6% |
| 1908 | +62.3% |
| 1912 | +59.1% |
| 1916 | +45.6% |
| 1920 | +28.5% |
| 1924 | +21.2% |
| 1928 | −9.7% |
| 1932 | +51.3% |
| 1936 | +31.6% |
| 1940 | +38.8% |
| 1944 | +30.2% |
| 1948 | +11.0% |
| 1952 | −12.5% |
| 1956 | −13.6% |
| 1960 | −10.4% |
| 1964 | +3.4% |
| 1968 | −15.0% |
| 1972 | −44.1% |
| 1976 | +8.6% |
| 1980 | −18.2% |
| 1984 | −23.8% |
| 1988 | −11.7% |
| 1992 | +4.0% |
| 1996 | +13.6% |
| 2000 | +0.7% |
| 2004 | −9.7% |
| 2008 | −3.6% |
| 2012 | −6.6% |
| 2016 | −21.5% |
| 2020 | −20.1% |
| 2024 | −25.2% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 117,424 | 197,767 | 318,431 | ||
| R | 119,073 | 179,621 | 301,970 | ||
| R | 90,142 | 142,101 | 241,139 | ||
| R | 98,263 | 112,427 | 213,573 | ||
| R | 102,417 | 110,104 | 214,866 | ||
| R | 84,749 | 103,230 | 190,916 | ||
| D | 69,576 | 68,607 | 142,769 | ||
| D | 66,475 | 48,355 | 133,471 | ||
| D | 53,130 | 47,735 | 135,962 | ||
| R | 50,385 | 63,820 | 114,803 | ||
| R | 40,962 | 66,618 | 107,588 | ||
| R | 34,054 | 50,120 | 88,442 | ||
| D | 33,710 | 28,306 | 62,747 | ||
| R | 11,330 | 29,249 | 40,676 | ||
| R | 6,292 | 9,743 | 23,001 | ||
| D | 8,135 | 7,606 | 15,741 | ||
| R | 5,832 | 7,188 | 13,020 | ||
| R | 4,181 | 5,501 | 9,682 | ||
| R | 3,549 | 4,562 | 8,111 | ||
| D | 2,375 | 1,839 | 4,881 | ||
| D | 2,523 | 1,352 | 3,875 | ||
| D | 3,091 | 1,362 | 4,453 | ||
| D | 2,229 | 1,159 | 3,388 | ||
| D | 2,504 | 806 | 3,310 | ||
| R | 1,308 | 1,591 | 2,932 | ||
| D | 780 | 472 | 1,456 | ||
| D | 1,166 | 630 | 1,884 | ||
| D | 779 | 236 | 1,191 | ||
| D | 485 | 60 | 719 | ||
| D | 436 | 81 | 570 | ||
| D | 453 | 96 | 570 | ||
| D | 492 | 32 | 581 | ||
| D | 482 | 70 | 562 | ||
| D | 471 | 0 | 566 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
14.2%
German
12.3%
Irish
10.3%
English
9.5%
Italian
8.2%
Polish
3.1%
French
2.0%
African American
5.1%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 43.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$70,492
Pasco County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Pasco County$70,492
Florida$74,568
United States$80,734
Pasco County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.1%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1814.6%
Working age (18–64)10.0%
Seniors (65+)11.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
81.0%
speak English only
Spanish11.9%
Other Indo-European4.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.0%
Other languages1.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 70.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Pasco's population has surged with retirees and families relocating from Tampa's urban core, a demographic wave that has coincided with a Republican margin climbing from single digits in the early 2000s to over 25 points in 2024.
The Democratic margin here once reached eighty-three points in 1892. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved five points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-five points.
A population of 611,444, a 72% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,492 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hernando County and Chautauqua County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Pasco County, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/12101/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions
How did Pasco County, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Pasco County, Florida voted Republican by 25.2 points (R+25), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 318,431 votes cast, 117,424 went Democratic and 197,767 went Republican.
What is Pasco County, Florida's political typology?
Akashic places Pasco County, Florida in the "Florida Surge" typology — Florida coastal and retiree counties that moved sharply Republican across the Trump era. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 19 times, Republican 15 times, and other 0 times.
When did Pasco County, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Pasco County, Florida voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Pasco County, Florida?
Pasco County, Florida has a population of 611,444 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Pasco County, Florida?
Median household income in Pasco County, Florida is $70,492 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Pasco County, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Pasco County, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 15 went Republican. The county's typology — "Florida Surge" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.