congressional districtHawaii 2nd Congressional District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004D+13.6
2008D+48.4
2012D+44.6
2016D+31.8
2020D+29.5
2024D+21.6
net swing · 2004→2024D+8.0D+13.6 → D+21.6
vs. U.S. · 2024D+23.1D+21.6 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 50.6% of 529,120 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
159,849
102,042
5,750
267,641
529,120
50.6%
2020
187,034
100,400
6,264
293,698
512,039†
57.4%
2016
135,208
65,235
19,845
220,288
503,922†
43.7%
2012
155,560
58,367
4,153
218,080
481,409†
45.3%
2008
168,820
57,395
4,213
230,428
452,730†
50.9%
2004
119,813
90,991
1,525
212,329
424,052†
50.1%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupHI-2HawaiiUnited States
German8.1%5.8%12.5%
English7.3%5.1%9.5%
Irish6.6%4.7%9.4%
Portuguese4.7%3.2%—
Italian3.0%2.1%4.8%
French1.6%1.2%1.6%
American1.2%1.0%5.3%
Scottish0.8%—1.3%
Filipino9.8%14.3%0.9%
Japanese7.7%11.7%0.2%
Chinese2.5%4.1%1.3%
Korean0.8%1.4%0.4%
Vietnamese0.5%0.8%0.6%
Native Hawaiian10.1%6.1%—
Samoan1.3%0.9%—
Marshallese0.9%0.6%—
Tongan0.5%0.3%—
Chamorro0.3%0.2%—
Chuukese0.3%0.3%—
Mexican3.9%3.4%11.3%
Puerto Rican3.7%3.3%1.8%
Spanish1.5%1.3%—
Spaniard0.8%0.7%—
African American†0.8%1.1%9.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
HI-2
Hawaii
United States
Median age
40.8
41
39.1
Age 18–24
7.9%
8.0%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
20.7%
20.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
HI-2
Hawaii
United States
Median household income
$95,891
$100,389
$84,427
Poverty rate
11.1%
10.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
35.5%
36.2%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
HI-2
Hawaii
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
24.2%
24.7%
22.3%
Spanish
2.1%
2.1%
13.6%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)
2.2%
2.5%
1.1%
Tagalog (incl. Filipino)
4.3%
4.4%
0.6%
Other Asian & Pacific Island
11.7%
11.6%
1.1%
Religious landscape
Measure
HI-2
Hawaii
United States
Catholic
—
18.6%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
8.9%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
59.7%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Hawaii 2nd Congressional District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+13.6%
2008
+48.4%
2012
+44.6%
2016
+31.8%
2020
+29.5%
2024
+21.6%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Congressional elections · 25 House races · 19 Senate races
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
District
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
2
D
66.5%166,251
30.2%75,471
250,156
2022
2
D
62.2%128,407
35.3%72,874
206,411
2020
2
D
63.0%171,517
30.9%84,027
272,102
2018
2
D
77.4%153,271
22.6%44,850
198,121
2016
2
D
81.2%170,848
18.8%39,668
210,516
2014
2
D
78.7%142,010
18.6%33,630
180,333
2012
2
D
80.5%168,503
19.5%40,707
209,210
2010
2
D
72.2%132,290
25.3%46,404
183,258
2008
2
D
76.1%165,748
20.4%44,425
217,914
2006
2
D
61.0%106,906
39.0%68,244
175,150
2004
2
D
62.8%133,317
37.2%79,072
212,389
2002
2
D
56.2%100,671
40.0%71,661
179,251
2000
2
D
61.6%112,856
36.0%65,906
183,230
1998
2
D
69.4%144,254
24.3%50,423
207,871
1996
2
D
60.3%109,178
30.8%55,729
180,963
1994
2
D
70.1%124,431
24.2%42,891
177,396
1992
2
D
72.6%131,454
22.1%40,070
180,955
1990
2
D
66.3%118,155
30.6%54,625
178,288
1988
2
D
88.9%144,802
0.0%0
162,808
1986
2
D
76.1%123,830
21.7%35,371
162,819
1984
2
D
82.2%112,377
14.6%20,000
136,741
1982
2
D
89.2%132,072
0.0%0
148,008
1980
2
D
89.9%141,477
0.0%0
157,380
1978
2
D
85.7%118,272
11.4%15,697
137,957
1976
2
D
79.5%124,116
15.3%23,917
156,099
U.S. Senate
The statewide Senate race, counted in this district — aggregated from the precinct-level returns that fall inside its boundaries (not a statewide figure).
Votes · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL) precinct returns (CC BY 4.0); aggregated to the district over VEST precinct geometry (CC BY-NC 4.0).
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
64.6%167,339
31.7%82,051
258,992
2022
D
71.2%290,894
26.0%106,358
408,517
2018
D
71.2%276,316
28.8%112,035
388,351
2016
D
73.6%306,604
22.2%92,653
416,562
2014
D
69.8%246,827
27.7%98,006
353,774
2012
D
62.6%269,489
37.4%160,994
430,483
2010
D
74.8%277,228
21.6%79,939
370,583
2006
D
61.3%210,330
36.8%126,097
342,842
2004
D
75.5%313,629
21.0%87,172
415,347
2000
D
72.7%251,215
24.5%84,701
345,623
1998
D
79.2%315,252
17.8%70,964
398,124
1994
D
71.8%256,189
24.2%86,320
356,902
1992
D
57.3%208,266
26.9%97,928
363,662
1990
D
54.0%188,901
44.6%155,978
349,666
1988
D
76.6%247,941
20.7%66,987
323,876
1986
D
73.6%241,887
26.4%86,910
328,797
1982
D
80.1%245,386
17.0%52,071
306,410
1980
D
77.9%224,485
18.4%53,068
288,006
1976
D
53.7%162,305
40.6%122,724
302,092
2024 U.S. Senate — every candidate counted in this district
Mazie K Hirono · Democrat64.6%167,339
Bob McDermott · Republican31.7%82,051
Shelby Pikachu Billionaire · We The People1.9%4,843
Emma Jane Avila Pohlman · Green1.8%4,759
Hawaii's 2nd district covers the outer islands and rural Oahu, producing consistent Democratic margins above 20 points while presenting unique logistical challenges — candidates must campaign across open ocean to reach dispersed, multiethnic constituencies.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 48.4 points in 2008. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.6 points.
A population of 724,712, a 28% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $95,891 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 1 and Congressional District 6.
Akashic
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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Hawaii 2nd Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/1502/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Hawaii 2nd Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Hawaii 2nd Congressional District voted Democratic by 21.6 points (D+21.6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 267,641 votes cast, 159,849 went Democratic and 102,042 went Republican.
How many people live in Hawaii 2nd Congressional District?
Hawaii 2nd Congressional District has a population of 724,712 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hawaii 2nd Congressional District?
Median household income in Hawaii 2nd Congressional District is $95,891 — above the national median of $80,734. The Hawaii state median is $100,389.
What is the political history of Hawaii 2nd Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Hawaii 2nd Congressional District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
