congressional districtNorth Carolina 4th Congressional District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004D+23.6
2008D+37.5
2012D+34.9
2016D+43.1
2020D+46.0
2024D+45.1
net swing · 2004→2024D+21.5D+23.6 → D+45.1
vs. U.S. · 2024D+46.6D+45.1 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 81.3% of 537,144 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
312,412
115,447
9,042
436,901
537,144
81.3%
2020
303,334
109,940
6,877
420,151
507,109†
82.9%
2016
246,913
93,000
17,392
357,305
460,657†
77.6%
2012
214,509
102,388
4,505
321,402
417,627†
77.0%
2008
204,247
91,957
3,332
299,536
390,086†
76.8%
2004
149,727
92,349
1,230
243,306
362,545†
67.1%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupNC-4North CarolinaUnited States
English13.6%12.7%9.5%
German10.1%9.4%12.5%
Irish8.9%8.4%9.4%
American4.8%8.3%5.3%
Italian4.4%3.3%4.8%
Scottish2.7%2.3%1.3%
Polish2.1%1.0%2.2%
French1.4%—1.6%
African American†17.6%18.3%9.9%
African0.6%0.7%0.5%
Nigerian0.4%0.2%0.2%
Jamaican0.3%0.2%0.4%
Ghanaian0.2%——
Ethiopian0.2%——
Mexican5.1%5.6%11.3%
Honduran1.3%0.7%0.3%
Puerto Rican0.9%1.2%1.8%
Salvadoran0.9%0.7%0.7%
Guatemalan0.6%0.4%0.5%
Colombian0.4%0.3%0.4%
Cuban0.3%0.3%0.7%
Dominican0.3%0.3%0.7%
Asian Indian4.0%1.2%1.4%
Chinese2.4%0.4%1.3%
Korean0.8%0.2%0.4%
Filipino0.8%0.2%0.9%
Vietnamese0.6%0.3%0.6%
Japanese0.3%—0.2%
Pakistani0.3%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
NC-4
North Carolina
United States
Median age
37.5
39.5
39.1
Age 18–24
11.2%
9.5%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
14.6%
17.2%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
NC-4
North Carolina
United States
Median household income
$95,912
$72,388
$84,427
Poverty rate
9.9%
13.1%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
57.0%
35.8%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
NC-4
North Carolina
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
19.6%
13.5%
22.3%
Spanish
10.8%
8.7%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
2.1%
1.1%
2.0%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)
1.4%
0.4%
1.1%
Other Asian & Pacific Island
1.4%
0.9%
1.1%
Religious landscape
Measure
NC-4
North Carolina
United States
Catholic
—
8.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
26.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
48.0%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
North Carolina 4th Congressional District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+23.6%
2008
+37.5%
2012
+34.9%
2016
+43.1%
2020
+46.0%
2024
+45.1%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Congressional elections · 25 House races
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
District
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
4
D
71.8%308,064
26.1%112,084
428,780
2022
4
D
66.9%194,983
33.1%96,442
291,425
2020
4
D
67.3%332,421
32.7%161,298
493,719
2018
4
D
72.4%247,067
24.0%82,052
341,403
2016
4
D
68.2%279,380
31.8%130,161
409,541
2014
4
D
74.7%169,946
25.3%57,416
227,362
2012
4
D
74.5%259,534
25.5%88,951
348,485
2010
4
D
57.2%155,384
42.8%116,448
271,832
2008
4
D
63.3%265,751
36.7%153,947
419,698
2006
4
D
65.0%127,340
35.0%68,599
195,939
2004
4
D
64.1%217,441
35.9%121,717
339,234
2002
4
D
61.2%132,185
36.1%78,095
216,046
2000
4
D
61.6%200,885
36.6%119,412
325,870
1998
4
D
57.4%129,157
41.6%93,469
224,910
1996
4
D
54.4%157,194
43.8%126,466
288,984
1994
4
R
49.6%76,558
50.4%77,773
154,331
1992
4
D
64.6%171,299
33.7%89,345
265,060
1990
4
D
58.1%139,396
41.9%100,661
240,057
1988
4
D
58.0%131,896
42.0%95,482
227,378
1986
4
D
55.7%92,216
44.3%73,469
165,685
1984
4
R
49.4%114,462
50.6%117,436
231,898
1982
4
D
51.3%70,369
47.4%64,955
137,044
1980
4
D
52.6%97,167
45.8%84,631
184,631
1978
4
D
94.4%74,249
0.0%0
78,685
1976
4
D
60.6%92,165
39.4%59,917
152,082
North Carolina's 4th district, anchored by Durham and Chapel Hill, delivered a 42-point Democratic margin in 2024—driven by a dense concentration of university communities, research-sector workers, and a majority-minority population.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 46.0 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 45.1 points.
A population of 745,685, a 53% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $95,912 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 2 and Congressional District 7.
Akashic
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
North Carolina 4th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3704/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did North Carolina 4th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, North Carolina 4th Congressional District voted Democratic by 45.1 points (D+45.1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 436,901 votes cast, 312,412 went Democratic and 115,447 went Republican.
How many people live in North Carolina 4th Congressional District?
North Carolina 4th Congressional District has a population of 745,685 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in North Carolina 4th Congressional District?
Median household income in North Carolina 4th Congressional District is $95,912 — above the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of North Carolina 4th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in North Carolina 4th Congressional District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
