Chatham County, North Carolina
Precinct data
Results by precinct
18 precincts · 52,301 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -NWM117NWM117 | 3,848 | 1,501 | 85 | 5,434 | 70.8% | 27.6% | D+43.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -ECL109ECL109 | 3,916 | 1,275 | 112 | 5,303 | 73.8% | 24.0% | D+49.8 |
| Precinct -7878 | 3,483 | 1,615 | 74 | 5,172 | 67.3% | 31.2% | D+36.1 |
| Precinct -WPP114WPP114 | 2,683 | 1,989 | 69 | 4,741 | 56.6% | 42.0% | D+14.6 |
| Precinct -7575 | 2,479 | 1,830 | 65 | 4,374 | 56.7% | 41.8% | D+14.8 |
| Precinct -WCL108WCL108 | 2,315 | 984 | 53 | 3,352 | 69.1% | 29.4% | D+39.7 |
| Precinct -EPP112EPP112 | 1,946 | 1,170 | 45 | 3,161 | 61.6% | 37.0% | D+24.5 |
| Precinct -ESC114ESC114 | 1,425 | 1,460 | 24 | 2,909 | 49.0% | 50.2% | R+1.2 |
| Precinct -GLD118GLD118 | 901 | 1,660 | 34 | 2,595 | 34.7% | 64.0% | R+29.2 |
| Precinct -4242 | 975 | 1,195 | 32 | 2,202 | 44.3% | 54.3% | R+10.0 |
| Precinct -1515 | 1,304 | 720 | 43 | 2,067 | 63.1% | 34.8% | D+28.3 |
| Precinct -8585 | 916 | 1,080 | 27 | 2,023 | 45.3% | 53.4% | R+8.1 |
| Precinct -MON113MON113 | 681 | 1,155 | 29 | 1,865 | 36.5% | 61.9% | R+25.4 |
| Precinct -3030 | 638 | 920 | 29 | 1,587 | 40.2% | 58.0% | R+17.8 |
| Precinct -33 | 397 | 1,081 | 19 | 1,497 | 26.5% | 72.2% | R+45.7 |
| Precinct -2121 | 647 | 739 | 20 | 1,406 | 46.0% | 52.6% | R+6.5 |
| Precinct -CRD118CRD118 | 155 | 1,218 | 9 | 1,382 | 11.2% | 88.1% | R+76.9 |
| Precinct -99 | 305 | 915 | 11 | 1,231 | 24.8% | 74.3% | R+49.6 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +19.1% |
| 1896 | +31.9% |
| 1900 | −20.0% |
| 1904 | +2.4% |
| 1908 | +0.8% |
| 1912 | +51.6% |
| 1916 | +10.1% |
| 1920 | +4.6% |
| 1924 | +11.1% |
| 1928 | −10.6% |
| 1932 | +24.2% |
| 1936 | +33.4% |
| 1940 | +37.5% |
| 1944 | +22.7% |
| 1948 | +24.0% |
| 1952 | +8.8% |
| 1956 | +5.4% |
| 1960 | +4.2% |
| 1964 | +12.6% |
| 1968 | −2.9% |
| 1972 | −25.7% |
| 1976 | +19.7% |
| 1980 | +13.1% |
| 1984 | −7.1% |
| 1988 | +4.1% |
| 1992 | +15.9% |
| 1996 | +8.8% |
| 2000 | +1.0% |
| 2004 | +0.0% |
| 2008 | +9.7% |
| 2012 | +4.8% |
| 2016 | +9.9% |
| 2020 | +11.5% |
| 2024 | +12.4% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | D | 57.0%22,493 | 41.3%16,275 | 39,446 |
| 2020 | D | 53.2%25,697 | 43.5%21,039 | 48,338 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 2.3 points.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 40,607 | 20,117 | 10,550 | 9,912 | 28 |
| 2012 | 46,692 | 20,889 | 12,261 | 13,419 | 123 |
| 2016 | 51,520 | 20,800 | 13,176 | 17,329 | 215 |
| 2020 | 58,038 | 21,353 | 14,200 | 22,144 | 341 |
| 2022 | 60,145 | 21,436 | 14,196 | 24,190 | 323 |
| 2024 | 63,795 | 21,537 | 15,093 | 26,681 | 484 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+1,182 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +18,692 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $137,706 in average income, against $129,753 for residents who stayed — 6% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+24.8 on average — 12 points more Democratic-leaning than Chatham County, NC itself (D+12.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Wake County, NC704D+25.4
- Orange County, NC313D+50.8
- Durham County, NC269D+61.7
- Lee County, NC117R+17.4
- Randolph County, NC80R+57.1
- Alamance County, NC57R+8.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Wake County, NC355
- Orange County, NC179
- Durham County, NC174
- Lee County, NC150
- Randolph County, NC136
- Alamance County, NC96
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +197 |
| 2012 | +429 |
| 2013 | +744 |
| 2014 | +1,426 |
| 2015 | +1,574 |
| 2016 | +1,368 |
| 2017 | +1,684 |
| 2018 | +1,978 |
| 2019 | +1,448 |
| 2021 | +1,736 |
| 2022 | +1,781 |
| 2023 | +1,637 |
| 2024 | +1,508 |
| 2025 | +1,182 |
Chatham's proximity to the Research Triangle has drawn a wave of educated newcomers, shifting a historically competitive rural county to a consistent Democratic lean — a pattern visible in every presidential contest since 2016.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 51.6 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 25.7 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.9 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.4 points.
A population of 80,151, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $94,317 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Albemarle County and Marin County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Chatham County, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/37037/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.