Orange County, North Carolina
Precinct data
Results by precinct
40 precincts · 87,807 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -CXCX | 2,943 | 1,774 | 83 | 4,800 | 61.3% | 37.0% | D+24.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -CWCW | 1,730 | 2,319 | 38 | 4,087 | 42.3% | 56.7% | R+14.4 |
| Precinct -UNCUNC | 3,103 | 655 | 60 | 3,818 | 81.3% | 17.2% | D+64.1 |
| Precinct -OGOG | 2,283 | 1,288 | 67 | 3,638 | 62.8% | 35.4% | D+27.4 |
| Precinct -GBGB | 2,631 | 885 | 96 | 3,612 | 72.8% | 24.5% | D+48.3 |
| Precinct -CF1CF1 | 2,782 | 544 | 89 | 3,415 | 81.5% | 15.9% | D+65.5 |
| Precinct -DADA | 2,818 | 442 | 29 | 3,289 | 85.7% | 13.4% | D+72.2 |
| Precinct -WCWC | 1,846 | 881 | 41 | 2,768 | 66.7% | 31.8% | D+34.9 |
| Precinct -CB1CB1 | 2,194 | 248 | 41 | 2,483 | 88.4% | 10.0% | D+78.4 |
| Precinct -SMSM | 1,347 | 1,053 | 60 | 2,460 | 54.8% | 42.8% | D+12.0 |
| Precinct -WHWH | 1,953 | 403 | 16 | 2,372 | 82.3% | 17.0% | D+65.3 |
| Precinct -ENOENO | 1,436 | 881 | 45 | 2,362 | 60.8% | 37.3% | D+23.5 |
| Precinct -OW1OW1 | 2,051 | 208 | 83 | 2,342 | 87.6% | 8.9% | D+78.7 |
| Precinct -TOTO | 1,320 | 929 | 29 | 2,278 | 57.9% | 40.8% | D+17.2 |
| Precinct -RERE | 1,730 | 429 | 64 | 2,223 | 77.8% | 19.3% | D+58.5 |
| Precinct -RFRF | 1,926 | 252 | 32 | 2,210 | 87.1% | 11.4% | D+75.7 |
| Precinct -WDSWDS | 2,158 | 27 | 0 | 2,185 | 98.8% | 1.2% | D+97.5 |
| Precinct -HFHF | 1,739 | 358 | 48 | 2,145 | 81.1% | 16.7% | D+64.4 |
| Precinct -PAPA | 1,641 | 438 | 45 | 2,124 | 77.3% | 20.6% | D+56.6 |
| Precinct -EFEF | 1,097 | 943 | 22 | 2,062 | 53.2% | 45.7% | D+7.5 |
| Precinct -CGCG | 1,132 | 810 | 16 | 1,958 | 57.8% | 41.4% | D+16.4 |
| Precinct -DMDM | 1,694 | 212 | 48 | 1,954 | 86.7% | 10.8% | D+75.8 |
| Precinct -SJSJ | 1,515 | 340 | 40 | 1,895 | 79.9% | 17.9% | D+62.0 |
| Precinct -ESES | 1,632 | 212 | 25 | 1,869 | 87.3% | 11.3% | D+76.0 |
| Precinct -GLGL | 1,462 | 327 | 48 | 1,837 | 79.6% | 17.8% | D+61.8 |
| Precinct -NSNS | 1,462 | 274 | 16 | 1,752 | 83.4% | 15.6% | D+67.8 |
| Precinct -WDWD | 1,391 | 239 | 32 | 1,662 | 83.7% | 14.4% | D+69.3 |
| Precinct -COCO | 1,427 | 155 | 60 | 1,642 | 86.9% | 9.4% | D+77.5 |
| Precinct -CACA | 829 | 783 | 13 | 1,625 | 51.0% | 48.2% | D+2.8 |
| Precinct -HNHN | 1,088 | 500 | 35 | 1,623 | 67.0% | 30.8% | D+36.2 |
| Precinct -HEHE | 1,079 | 412 | 41 | 1,532 | 70.4% | 26.9% | D+43.5 |
| Precinct -CS1CS1 | 1,088 | 394 | 29 | 1,511 | 72.0% | 26.1% | D+45.9 |
| Precinct -EA1EA1 | 1,284 | 190 | 13 | 1,487 | 86.3% | 12.8% | D+73.6 |
| Precinct -WW1WW1 | 1,275 | 128 | 29 | 1,432 | 89.0% | 8.9% | D+80.1 |
| Precinct -KMKM | 1,177 | 226 | 22 | 1,425 | 82.6% | 15.9% | D+66.7 |
| Precinct -TH1TH1 | 1,204 | 75 | 16 | 1,295 | 93.0% | 5.8% | D+87.2 |
| Precinct -EHEH | 1,017 | 155 | 35 | 1,207 | 84.3% | 12.8% | D+71.4 |
| Precinct -CHCH | 1,052 | 111 | 19 | 1,182 | 89.0% | 9.4% | D+79.6 |
| Precinct -NCNC | 990 | 173 | 19 | 1,182 | 83.8% | 14.6% | D+69.1 |
| Precinct -HH | 918 | 133 | 13 | 1,064 | 86.3% | 12.5% | D+73.8 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +6.4% |
| 1896 | +14.6% |
| 1900 | −0.2% |
| 1904 | +23.1% |
| 1908 | −2.7% |
| 1912 | +41.4% |
| 1916 | +3.0% |
| 1920 | +6.9% |
| 1924 | +27.0% |
| 1928 | −17.5% |
| 1932 | +43.1% |
| 1936 | +45.5% |
| 1940 | +53.9% |
| 1944 | +38.1% |
| 1948 | +29.3% |
| 1952 | +15.0% |
| 1956 | +3.8% |
| 1960 | +15.7% |
| 1964 | +22.8% |
| 1968 | +12.4% |
| 1972 | +4.1% |
| 1976 | +25.6% |
| 1980 | +20.9% |
| 1984 | +13.7% |
| 1988 | +21.1% |
| 1992 | +33.0% |
| 1996 | +29.1% |
| 2000 | +26.3% |
| 2004 | +34.5% |
| 2008 | +44.8% |
| 2012 | +42.2% |
| 2016 | +50.2% |
| 2020 | +51.1% |
| 2024 | +50.8% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | D | 76.9%51,125 | 21.4%14,213 | 66,525 |
| 2020 | D | 72.4%61,214 | 24.7%20,862 | 84,525 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 18 points more Republican.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 98,263 | 52,520 | 18,307 | 27,320 | 116 |
| 2012 | 112,371 | 56,078 | 19,239 | 36,557 | 497 |
| 2016 | 116,793 | 54,379 | 17,424 | 44,280 | 710 |
| 2020 | 112,362 | 52,830 | 15,070 | 43,696 | 766 |
| 2022 | 111,452 | 52,012 | 13,869 | 44,941 | 630 |
| 2024 | 115,633 | 51,982 | 13,989 | 48,783 | 879 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−452 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +9,051 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $89,939 in average income, against $142,992 for residents who stayed — 37% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+32.4 on average — 18 points more Republican-leaning than Orange County, NC itself (D+50.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Durham County, NC1,135D+61.7
- Wake County, NC583D+25.4
- Alamance County, NC395R+8.1
- Chatham County, NC179D+12.4
- Mecklenburg County, NC130D+32.7
- Guilford County, NC119D+21.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Durham County, NC1,356
- Wake County, NC758
- Alamance County, NC607
- Chatham County, NC313
- Mecklenburg County, NC174
- Guilford County, NC125
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −84 |
| 2012 | +1,736 |
| 2013 | +300 |
| 2014 | −133 |
| 2015 | −56 |
| 2016 | +453 |
| 2017 | −191 |
| 2018 | +3,465 |
| 2019 | −305 |
| 2021 | +5,056 |
| 2022 | +820 |
| 2023 | +32 |
| 2024 | −1,590 |
| 2025 | −452 |
Orange County's D+50.8 margin in 2024 reflects the outsized influence of a flagship research university on local political composition — a pattern common to college-dominated counties nationwide but rarely this pronounced in the South.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 53.9 points in 1940 and a Republican high of 17.5 points in 1928. The 2024 margin was 50.8 points.
A population of 149,678, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $90,089 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Boulder County and Washtenaw County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Orange County, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/37135/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.