† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupArroyo GrandeCaliforniaUnited States
German16.4%6.8%12.5%
English15.9%6.3%9.5%
Irish14.0%5.9%9.4%
Italian7.0%3.4%4.8%
Scottish3.1%0.9%1.3%
French2.8%1.3%1.6%
American2.4%2.8%5.3%
Portuguese2.3%——
Mexican17.6%32.3%11.3%
Spanish0.8%0.3%—
Spaniard0.5%0.3%—
Puerto Rican0.3%0.6%1.8%
Salvadoran0.3%2.0%0.7%
Cuban0.2%—0.7%
Guatemalan0.2%1.3%0.5%
Peruvian0.2%——
Chinese0.9%3.9%1.3%
Filipino0.9%3.3%0.9%
Japanese0.6%0.6%0.2%
Korean0.4%1.2%0.4%
Asian Indian0.3%2.3%1.4%
Vietnamese0.2%1.7%0.6%
Aztec1.6%0.3%—
Maya0.5%——
Samoan0.5%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Arroyo Grande
California
United States
Median age
45.8
37.9
39.1
Age 18–24
7.1%
9.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
27.3%
15.6%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Arroyo Grande
California
United States
Median household income
$102,553
$99,122
$84,427
Poverty rate
4.8%
12.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
45.3%
36.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Arroyo Grande
California
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
9.3%
44.4%
22.3%
Spanish
5.4%
28.4%
13.6%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)
1.4%
3.5%
1.1%
Religious landscape
Measure
Arroyo Grande
California
United States
Catholic
—
26.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
9.0%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
55.2%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Arroyo Grande, California
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−15.3%
2008
−2.7%
2012
−5.3%
2016
+3.0%
2020
+11.4%
2024
+9.2%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
53.1%Harris5,799
43.9%Trump4,797
3.0%
D+9.2
R+2.2
D+10.6
10,929
D
54.3%Biden6,346
42.9%Trump5,016
2.7%
D+11.4
D+8.4
D+6.9
11,681
D
47.6%Clinton4,612
44.6%Trump4,321
7.9%
D+3.0
D+8.3
D+0.9
9,699
R
45.5%Obama4,238
50.8%Romney4,729
3.8%
R+5.3
R+2.6
R+9.1
9,318
R
48.4%Obama4,720
51.1%McCain4,984
0.4%
R+2.7
D+12.6
R+10.0
9,744
R
41.7%Kerry4,071
57.0%Bush5,565
1.2%
R+15.3
—
R+12.9
9,756
Arroyo Grande sits in San Luis Obispo County, a coastal corridor that has trended competitive over successive election cycles. Its modest population and relatively high homeownership rate shape an electorate that leans older and suburban.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 11.4 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 15.3 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.2 points.
A population of 18,372, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $102,553 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Casa de Oro-Mount Helix and Fair Oaks.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Arroyo Grande, California voted Democratic by 9.2 points (D+9.2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 10,929 votes cast, 5,799 went Democratic and 4,797 went Republican.
When did Arroyo Grande, California last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Arroyo Grande, California voted Republican was 2012.
How many people live in Arroyo Grande, California?
Arroyo Grande, California has a population of 18,372 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arroyo Grande, California?
Median household income in Arroyo Grande, California is $102,553 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Arroyo Grande, California?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Arroyo Grande, California from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 3 went Republican.
