Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 1992–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic71.4%1,507TrumpRepublican24.9%525OtherAll other candidates3.8%80
D+46.5
Lead
982
Total
2,112
vs nation
D+48.0
BidenDemocratic73.2%1,864TrumpRepublican24.3%620OtherAll other candidates2.5%63
D+48.8
Lead
1,244
Total
2,547
vs nation
D+44.4
ClintonDemocratic69.8%1,520TrumpRepublican24.7%539OtherAll other candidates5.5%119
D+45.0
Lead
981
Total
2,178
vs nation
D+43.0
ObamaDemocratic65.8%1,170RomneyRepublican29.6%527OtherAll other candidates4.6%82
D+36.1
Lead
643
Total
1,779
vs nation
D+32.3
ObamaDemocratic72.4%1,416McCainRepublican27.4%537OtherAll other candidates0.2%4
D+44.9
Lead
879
Total
1,957
vs nation
D+37.6
KerryDemocratic66.0%1,309BushRepublican32.8%650OtherAll other candidates1.2%24
D+33.2
Lead
659
Total
1,983
vs nation
D+35.7
ClintonDemocratic46.2%912DoleRepublican35.4%699OtherAll other candidates18.4%363
D+10.8
Lead
213
Total
1,974
vs nation
D+2.3
ClintonDemocratic50.4%1,030BushRepublican27.4%561OtherAll other candidates22.2%454
D+22.9
Lead
469
Total
2,045
vs nation
D+17.4
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+46.5MIT Election Lab
Population
3,5792024 5-year
Population density
193 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
18.5 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$155,0002024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
77.6%2024 5-year
Black
0.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
17.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+48.8 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
77.5%2,151 participants ÷ 2,775 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+18.3 ptsVolatile
Drop-off vs state
-7.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
59.2%–63.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%100%
75.3%
73.3%
20042008201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
2,151
2,775 ± 354
77.5%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
1,867
2,548 ± 394
73.3%
Audited
E/D
2,584
2,822 ± 399
91.6%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
2,092
2,778 ± 365
75.3%
Audited
E/D
2,263
2,683 ± 352
84.3%
Audited
E/D
1,779
2,342
76.0%
Derived
—
1,957
2,404
81.4%
Derived
—
1,983
2,466 extrapolated
80.4%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
Day Valley, CA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1992–2024 · 8 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
73.2%
1,864 votes · D+48.8
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 72.4%
Republican
Bob Dole1996
35.4%
699 votes · D+10.8
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 32.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
1,864votes
73.2% of the vote · D+48.8
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 1,520 votes
Republican
Bob Dole1996
699votes
35.4% of the vote · D+10.8
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 650 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+48.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+46.5 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +44.4 pts
Republican
Bob Dole1996
−2.3pts R vs U.S.
Place D+10.8 · U.S. D+8.5
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1992 · −17.4 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Day Valley · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Santa Cruz County, California, the county containing Day Valley — Day Valley’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Day Valley, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Day Valley sits in the Pacific Coast. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 48.8 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 46.5 points.
A population of 3,579, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $155,000 describe the city.
In 2024, Day Valley, California voted Democratic by 46.5 points (D+46.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,112 votes cast, 1,507 went Democratic and 525 went Republican.
How many people live in Day Valley, California?
Day Valley, California has a population of 3,579 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Day Valley, California?
Median household income in Day Valley, California is $155,000 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Day Valley, California?
Akashic tracks 8 presidential elections in Day Valley, California from 1992 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
