Lake Mathews, California
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −36.3% |
| 2008 | −17.8% |
| 2012 | −26.6% |
| 2016 | −32.3% |
| 2020 | −28.7% |
| 2024 | −34.5% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 31.2%Harris849 | 65.7%Trump1,789 | 3.2% | R+34.5 | R+5.8 | R+33.0 | 2,724 | |
| R | 34.8%Biden1,035 | 63.6%Trump1,888 | 1.6% | R+28.7 | D+3.6 | R+33.2 | 2,970 | |
| R | 31.3%Clinton725 | 63.7%Trump1,473 | 5.0% | R+32.3 | R+5.7 | R+34.4 | 2,313 | |
| R | 35.5%Obama731 | 62.1%Romney1,279 | 2.4% | R+26.6 | R+8.8 | R+30.5 | 2,059 | |
| R | 40.8%Obama774 | 58.6%McCain1,111 | 0.6% | R+17.8 | D+18.5 | R+25.0 | 1,896 | |
| R | 31.2%Kerry553 | 67.5%Bush1,195 | 1.2% | R+36.3 | — | R+33.8 | 1,770 |
Lake Mathews is a census-designated place built around a Metropolitan Water District reservoir, leaving its small population concentrated in low-density residential clusters that skew toward the conservative end of Riverside County's shifting electorate.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 36.3 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 5.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 34.5 points.
A population of 6,527, a 46% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $94,444 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hughson and Giddings.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Lake Mathews, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/0639645/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.