Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 1992–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic68.1%1,360TrumpRepublican27.7%553OtherAll other candidates4.3%85
D+40.4
Lead
807
Total
1,998
vs nation
D+41.9
BidenDemocratic69.4%1,585TrumpRepublican29.0%661OtherAll other candidates1.6%37
D+40.5
Lead
924
Total
2,283
vs nation
D+36.0
ClintonDemocratic61.4%1,205TrumpRepublican31.0%608OtherAll other candidates7.6%149
D+30.4
Lead
597
Total
1,962
vs nation
D+28.3
ObamaDemocratic59.8%1,074RomneyRepublican37.5%673OtherAll other candidates2.7%48
D+22.3
Lead
401
Total
1,795
vs nation
D+18.5
ObamaDemocratic63.0%1,194McCainRepublican36.6%694OtherAll other candidates0.4%8
D+26.4
Lead
500
Total
1,896
vs nation
D+19.1
KerryDemocratic54.3%949BushRepublican43.8%766OtherAll other candidates1.8%32
D+10.5
Lead
183
Total
1,747
vs nation
D+12.9
ClintonDemocratic44.4%682DoleRepublican42.7%656OtherAll other candidates12.9%198
D+1.7
Lead
26
Total
1,536
vs nation
R+6.8
ClintonDemocratic42.5%739BushRepublican29.0%505OtherAll other candidates28.5%496
D+13.4
Lead
234
Total
1,740
vs nation
D+7.9
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+40.4MIT Election Lab
Population
3,9342024 5-year
Population density
1,639 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
2.4 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$70,1922024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
62.4%2024 5-year
Black
0.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
21.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+40.5 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2008–20247 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
73.6%2,044 participants ÷ 2,776 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+30.2 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state
+4.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
43.4%–50.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%100%
73.5%
55.9%
2008201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
2,044
2,776 ± 565
73.6%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
1,532
2,743 ± 388
55.9%
Audited
E/D
2,322
2,698 ± 458
86.1%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
1,764
2,401 ± 355
73.5%
Audited
E/D
2,038
2,297 ± 401
88.7%
Audited
E/D
1,795
2,472
72.6%
Derived
—
1,896
2,024
93.7%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
presidential history
Party record book
Meiners Oaks, CA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1992–2024 · 8 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
69.4%
1,585 votes · D+40.5
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 68.1%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
43.8%
766 votes · D+10.5
Runner-up · Bob Dole, 1996 · 42.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
1,585votes
69.4% of the vote · D+40.5
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 1,360 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
766votes
43.8% of the vote · D+10.5
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 694 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+41.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+40.4 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +36.0 pts
Republican
Bob Dole1996
+6.8pts R vs U.S.
Place D+1.7 · U.S. D+8.5
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1992 · −7.9 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Meiners Oaks · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Ventura County, California, the county containing Meiners Oaks — Meiners Oaks’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Meiners Oaks, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Meiners Oaks sits just west of Ojai in Ventura County, a census-designated place whose unincorporated status keeps land-use and water policy at the center of resident civic engagement.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 40.5 points in 2020. The 2024 margin was 40.4 points.
A population of 3,934, a 62% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,192 describe the city.
In 2024, Meiners Oaks, California voted Democratic by 40.4 points (D+40.4), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,998 votes cast, 1,360 went Democratic and 553 went Republican.
How many people live in Meiners Oaks, California?
Meiners Oaks, California has a population of 3,934 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Meiners Oaks, California?
Median household income in Meiners Oaks, California is $70,192 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Meiners Oaks, California?
Akashic tracks 8 presidential elections in Meiners Oaks, California from 1992 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
