Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 1992–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic68.8%275TrumpRepublican29.3%117OtherAll other candidates2.0%8
D+39.5
Lead
158
Total
400
vs nation
D+41.0
BidenDemocratic82.3%419TrumpRepublican15.9%81OtherAll other candidates1.8%9
D+66.4
Lead
338
Total
509
vs nation
D+61.9
ClintonDemocratic87.5%351TrumpRepublican6.7%27OtherAll other candidates5.7%23
D+80.8
Lead
324
Total
401
vs nation
D+78.7
ObamaDemocratic84.3%258RomneyRepublican13.4%41OtherAll other candidates2.3%7
D+70.9
Lead
217
Total
306
vs nation
D+67.1
ObamaDemocratic76.4%136McCainRepublican22.5%40OtherAll other candidates1.1%2
D+53.9
Lead
96
Total
178
vs nation
D+46.7
KerryDemocratic68.1%98BushRepublican29.2%42OtherAll other candidates2.8%4
D+38.9
Lead
56
Total
144
vs nation
D+41.3
ClintonDemocratic60.9%56DoleRepublican27.2%25OtherAll other candidates12.0%11
D+33.7
Lead
31
Total
92
vs nation
D+25.2
ClintonDemocratic49.5%47BushRepublican25.3%24OtherAll other candidates25.3%24
D+24.2
Lead
23
Total
95
vs nation
D+18.7
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+39.5MIT Election Lab
Population
4,0512024 5-year
Population density
207 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
19.6 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$38,7692024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
0.8%2024 5-year
Black
0.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
96.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+80.8 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2012–20246 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
35.8%408 participants ÷ 1,140 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+58.7 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state
+32.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
0.0%–3.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%100%
61.0%
32.3%
201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
408
1,140 ± 210
35.8%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
313
968 ± 244
32.3%
Audited
E/D
518
569 ± 117
91.0%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
347
569 ± 142
61.0%
Audited
E/D
411
618 ± 166
66.5%
Audited
E/D
306
841
36.4%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
presidential history
Party record book
Oasis, CA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1992–2024 · 8 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
87.5%
351 votes · D+80.8
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 84.3%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
29.3%
117 votes · D+39.5
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 29.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
419votes
82.3% of the vote · D+66.4
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 351 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
117votes
29.3% of the vote · D+39.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 81 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
+78.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+80.8 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +67.1 pts
Republican
George H. W. Bush1992
−18.7pts R vs U.S.
Place D+24.2 · U.S. D+5.6
Runner-up · Bob Dole, 1996 · −25.2 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Oasis · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Riverside County, California, the county containing Oasis — Oasis’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Oasis, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Oasis is an unincorporated agricultural CDP in Riverside County where the population is predominantly Latino and tied to the region's date-palm and citrus economy, producing low voter-registration rates relative to its census count.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 80.8 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 26.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.5 points.
A population of 4,051, a 1% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $38,769 describe the city.
In 2024, Oasis, California voted Democratic by 39.5 points (D+39.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 400 votes cast, 275 went Democratic and 117 went Republican.
How many people live in Oasis, California?
Oasis, California has a population of 4,051 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Oasis, California?
Median household income in Oasis, California is $38,769 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Oasis, California?
Akashic tracks 8 presidential elections in Oasis, California from 1992 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.