Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 1992–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic33.9%474TrumpRepublican63.1%884OtherAll other candidates3.0%42
R+29.3
Lead
410
Total
1,400
vs nation
R+27.8
BidenDemocratic44.3%449TrumpRepublican52.3%530OtherAll other candidates3.5%35
R+8.0
Lead
81
Total
1,014
vs nation
R+12.4
ClintonDemocratic32.6%308TrumpRepublican60.4%571OtherAll other candidates7.1%67
R+27.8
Lead
263
Total
946
vs nation
R+29.9
ObamaDemocratic32.7%252RomneyRepublican63.5%489OtherAll other candidates3.8%29
R+30.8
Lead
237
Total
770
vs nation
R+34.6
ObamaDemocratic41.9%260McCainRepublican57.2%355OtherAll other candidates1.0%6
R+15.3
Lead
95
Total
621
vs nation
R+22.6
KerryDemocratic35.0%227BushRepublican61.3%398OtherAll other candidates3.7%24
R+26.3
Lead
171
Total
649
vs nation
R+23.9
ClintonDemocratic34.7%115DoleRepublican49.8%165OtherAll other candidates15.4%51
R+15.1
Lead
50
Total
331
vs nation
R+23.6
ClintonDemocratic29.4%84BushRepublican40.9%117OtherAll other candidates29.7%85
R+11.5
Lead
32
Total
286
vs nation
R+17.1
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+29.3MIT Election Lab
Population
3,2272024 5-year
Population density
1,898 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
1.7 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$95,4582024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
18.8%2024 5-year
Black
0.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
79.6%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+30.8 in 2012MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20227 cycles · 4 audited
2022 turnout
66.0%769 participants ÷ 1,166 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+10.3 ptsVolatile
Drop-off vs state
-15.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%100%
74.1%
66.0%
2004200820122016201820202022
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
2022Mid
769
1,166 ± 319
66.0%
Audited
E/D
1,028
1,348 ± 325
76.3%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
945
1,276 ± 318
74.1%
Audited
E/D
1,013
1,033 ± 221
98.1%
Audited
E/D
770
1,390
55.4%
Derived
—
621
1,025
60.6%
Derived
—
649
660 extrapolated
98.3%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
San Miguel, CA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1992–2024 · 8 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
44.3%
449 votes · R+8.0
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 41.9%
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
63.5%
489 votes · R+30.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 63.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
474votes
33.9% of the vote · R+29.3
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 449 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
884votes
63.1% of the vote · R+29.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 571 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
−12.4pts D vs U.S.
Place R+8.0 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · −17.1 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
+34.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+30.8 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +29.9 pts
U.S. House elections · 1 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
San Miguel · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are San Luis Obispo County, California, the county containing San Miguel — San Miguel’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in San Miguel, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
San Miguel sits in the Pacific Coast. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 30.8 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 21.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 29.3 points.
A population of 3,227, a 19% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $95,458 describe the city.
In 2024, San Miguel, California voted Republican by 29.3 points (R+29.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,400 votes cast, 474 went Democratic and 884 went Republican.
How many people live in San Miguel, California?
San Miguel, California has a population of 3,227 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in San Miguel, California?
Median household income in San Miguel, California is $95,458 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of San Miguel, California?
Akashic tracks 8 presidential elections in San Miguel, California from 1992 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 8 went Republican.
