Soquel, California
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +43.9% |
| 2008 | +54.8% |
| 2012 | +50.4% |
| 2016 | +53.3% |
| 2020 | +58.4% |
| 2024 | +53.4% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 74.8%Harris4,528 | 21.4%Trump1,298 | 3.7% | D+53.4 | R+5.0 | D+54.8 | 6,052 | |
| D | 78.0%Biden5,108 | 19.6%Trump1,284 | 2.4% | D+58.4 | D+5.1 | D+53.9 | 6,548 | |
| D | 72.7%Clinton4,085 | 19.5%Trump1,093 | 7.8% | D+53.3 | D+2.9 | D+51.2 | 5,618 | |
| D | 72.9%Obama3,426 | 22.5%Romney1,059 | 4.6% | D+50.4 | R+4.5 | D+46.5 | 4,701 | |
| D | 77.3%Obama4,013 | 22.5%McCain1,166 | 0.3% | D+54.8 | D+10.9 | D+47.6 | 5,193 | |
| D | 71.2%Kerry3,712 | 27.2%Bush1,420 | 1.6% | D+43.9 | — | D+46.4 | 5,216 |
Soquel sits just inland from Capitola on the edge of Santa Cruz County's urban fringe, drawing a mix of long-term homeowners and university-adjacent renters whose competing interests keep local turnout patterns notably volatile.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 58.4 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 5.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 53.4 points.
A population of 10,679, a 69% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $118,777 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Capitola and Aptos.
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Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Soquel, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/0672688/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.