Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic58.5%1,223TrumpRepublican38.2%798OtherAll other candidates3.3%69
D+20.3
Lead
425
Total
2,090
vs nation
D+21.8
BidenDemocratic60.0%1,422TrumpRepublican37.1%879OtherAll other candidates3.0%70
D+22.9
Lead
543
Total
2,371
vs nation
D+18.4
ClintonDemocratic48.7%985TrumpRepublican41.1%832OtherAll other candidates10.2%206
D+7.6
Lead
153
Total
2,023
vs nation
D+5.5
ObamaDemocratic50.6%920RomneyRepublican47.3%859OtherAll other candidates2.1%38
D+3.4
Lead
61
Total
1,817
vs nation
R+0.5
ObamaDemocratic56.4%829McCainRepublican41.6%611OtherAll other candidates2.0%29
D+14.8
Lead
218
Total
1,469
vs nation
D+7.6
KerryDemocratic48.1%617BushRepublican50.1%642OtherAll other candidates1.8%23
R+2.0
Lead
25
Total
1,282
vs nation
D+0.5
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+20.3MIT Election Lab
Population
4,8062024 5-year
Population density
1,335 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
3.6 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$81,5242024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
51.3%2024 5-year
Black
14.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
25.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+22.9 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+2.0 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2012–20246 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
65.8%2,133 participants ÷ 3,244 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+23.3 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state
+2.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
42.5%–49.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%100%
54.4%
46.8%
201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
2,133
3,244 ± 668
65.8%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
1,795
3,839 ± 655
46.8%
Audited
E/D
2,427
3,465 ± 654
70.0%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
1,852
3,407 ± 403
54.4%
Audited
E/D
2,096
3,329 ± 464
63.0%
Audited
E/D
1,817
3,790
47.9%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
presidential history
Party record book
Dove Valley, CO · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
60.0%
1,422 votes · D+22.9
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 58.5%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
50.1%
642 votes · R+2.0
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 47.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
1,422votes
60.0% of the vote · D+22.9
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 1,223 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
879votes
37.1% of the vote · D+22.9
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 859 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+21.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+20.3 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +18.4 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
+0.5pts R vs U.S.
Place D+3.4 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · −0.5 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Dove Valley · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Arapahoe County, Colorado, the county containing Dove Valley — Dove Valley’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Dove Valley, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Dove Valley sits in the Rocky Mountain West. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 22.9 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 2.0 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 20.3 points.
A population of 4,806, a 51% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $81,524 describe the city.
In 2024, Dove Valley, Colorado voted Democratic by 20.3 points (D+20.3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,090 votes cast, 1,223 went Democratic and 798 went Republican.
When did Dove Valley, Colorado last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Dove Valley, Colorado voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Dove Valley, Colorado?
Dove Valley, Colorado has a population of 4,806 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Dove Valley, Colorado?
Median household income in Dove Valley, Colorado is $81,524 — above the national median of $80,734. The Colorado state median is $95,470.
What is the political history of Dove Valley, Colorado?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Dove Valley, Colorado from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 1 went Republican.
