Nocatee, Florida
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −49.1% |
| 2008 | −44.8% |
| 2012 | −45.6% |
| 2016 | −30.8% |
| 2020 | −23.4% |
| 2024 | −30.3% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 34.1%Harris6,081 | 64.4%Trump11,472 | 1.5% | R+30.3 | R+6.8 | R+28.8 | 17,821 | |
| R | 37.7%Biden5,551 | 61.1%Trump8,999 | 1.2% | R+23.4 | D+7.4 | R+27.9 | 14,722 | |
| R | 32.3%Clinton2,885 | 63.1%Trump5,640 | 4.6% | R+30.8 | D+14.8 | R+32.9 | 8,940 | |
| R | 26.7%Obama818 | 72.3%Romney2,212 | 0.9% | R+45.6 | R+0.8 | R+49.4 | 3,059 | |
| R | 27.2%Obama932 | 72.0%McCain2,465 | 0.7% | R+44.8 | D+4.3 | R+52.1 | 3,422 | |
| R | 25.1%Kerry714 | 74.2%Bush2,112 | 0.7% | R+49.1 | — | R+46.6 | 2,847 |
One of the fastest-growing census-designated places in the U.S., Nocatee draws high-income suburban transplants whose voting patterns have made St. Johns County a closely watched bellwether for Florida's shifting exurban coalitions.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 49.1 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 6.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.3 points.
A population of 27,442, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $141,868 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Fruit Cove and World Golf Village.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Nocatee, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/1248850/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.