Lincoln, Illinois
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −32.4% |
| 2008 | −12.8% |
| 2012 | −28.4% |
| 2016 | −31.2% |
| 2020 | −31.3% |
| 2024 | −32.2% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 32.6%Harris1,909 | 64.7%Trump3,794 | 2.7% | R+32.2 | R+0.8 | R+30.7 | 5,863 | |
| R | 33.0%Biden2,065 | 64.3%Trump4,026 | 2.7% | R+31.3 | R+0.2 | R+35.8 | 6,258 | |
| R | 30.5%Clinton1,763 | 61.6%Trump3,565 | 7.9% | R+31.2 | R+2.7 | R+33.2 | 5,784 | |
| R | 34.7%Obama2,035 | 63.1%Romney3,701 | 2.2% | R+28.4 | R+15.6 | R+32.3 | 5,865 | |
| R | 42.3%Obama2,631 | 55.1%McCain3,426 | 2.7% | R+12.8 | D+19.6 | R+20.0 | 6,223 | |
| R | 33.7%Kerry2,137 | 66.1%Bush4,193 | 0.2% | R+32.4 | — | R+30.0 | 6,344 |
Lincoln City has shed roughly 15% of its population since 2000, a trajectory common to small Illinois county seats caught between agricultural consolidation and outmigration of working-age residents. Competitive in federal races, it tilts Republican in statewide contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 32.4 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 0.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 32.2 points.
A population of 13,281, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,340 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Huntington and Ontario.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Lincoln, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/1743536/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.