Paola, Kansas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −21.3% |
| 2008 | −14.5% |
| 2012 | −17.9% |
| 2016 | −27.5% |
| 2020 | −29.2% |
| 2024 | −28.5% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 34.7%Harris950 | 63.2%Trump1,729 | 2.0% | R+28.5 | D+0.7 | R+27.0 | 2,735 | |
| R | 34.3%Biden927 | 63.6%Trump1,716 | 2.1% | R+29.2 | R+1.7 | R+33.7 | 2,700 | |
| R | 32.4%Clinton728 | 59.9%Trump1,347 | 7.7% | R+27.5 | R+9.6 | R+29.6 | 2,247 | |
| R | 39.9%Obama910 | 57.9%Romney1,318 | 2.2% | R+17.9 | R+3.4 | R+21.8 | 2,278 | |
| R | 41.6%Obama982 | 56.1%McCain1,325 | 2.3% | R+14.5 | D+6.8 | R+21.8 | 2,362 | |
| R | 39.2%Kerry833 | 60.5%Bush1,285 | 0.2% | R+21.3 | — | R+18.8 | 2,123 |
Paola functions as the commercial and civic hub of Miami County, a historically competitive exurban corridor south of Kansas City where suburban growth has gradually shifted the electorate's composition over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 29.2 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 0.7 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 28.5 points.
A population of 5,770, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,662 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Brookville and Geneseo.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Paola, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/2054250/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.